You are here

Features

Features section

Understanding herd immunity

By - May 07,2020 - Last updated at May 07,2020

Photo courtesy of geneticliteracyproject.org

The concept of herd immunity, or community immunity, has sparked debate about whether it would control the spread of COIVD-19. According to the Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), herd immunity is a situation in which sufficient proportions of a population are immune to an infectious disease to make its spread from person to person unlikely.

Dr Gregory Poland, a Mayo Clinic infectious diseases expert and director of the Vaccine Research Group, explains the idea behind herd immunity.

“Herd immunity basically means, if you could envision a circle, let’s say, of 100 people inside this circle and if you can imagine the susceptible people being in the centre of that, the more immune people around the susceptible people, the less likely is it that the virus can penetrate in and actually infect somebody,” says Poland.

Acquiring herd immunity can happen with two approaches, and can come with a deadly cost, according to Poland.

“There are really only two ways. [The first is] you become immune because you got infected. In the context of COVID-19 that means you have to be willing to accept a lot of severe illnesses and even deaths to get there,” he explains. “You’ve seen some countries do this and say, ‘No restrictions, we’re going to go for herd immunity.’ In some countries, for example, some of them have done that and they’ve had very high death rates compared to countries that didn’t.”

“Or you have a strategy like a vaccine, where you can make somebody immune by tricking the body into thinking it has seen the virus, make antibodies and that antibody be protective,” says Poland.

Poland says the consequence of going the latter route and implementing social distancing practices means waiting for a vaccine to be developed.

“That means we have lower number of cases, but we push them out longer and slower so we don’t overwhelm the medical system. And at some point we have therapies or a vaccine and overall reduce the burden of infection,” says Poland.

The next big question tends to be how much herd immunity is needed to effectively control the spread of COVID-19? Poland says that’s not yet known.

“We know with influenza we need somewhere around 60 per cent of the population to be immune to have herd protection, with measles it’s about 95 per cent. The novel coronavirus is probably going to fall into the neighbourhood of 70 per cent or so,” says Poland.

Chiptalk: Technology – the same old double-edged sword

By - May 07,2020 - Last updated at May 07,2020

AFP photo by Meriel Jane Waissman

It is a fact – and plain logic – that the overwhelming number of news articles regarding information technology (IT), in the last couple of months, were one way or another, directly or indirectly, linked to the COVID-19 crisis.

Just, for example, call any supplier of computer hardware in Amman and ask to buy a webcam. They will all tell you that this item is out of stock and that they have sold hundreds and thousands of these small cameras in the past weeks, to respond to the market demand. Quality high-definition webcams are critical components that are required to make good video calls and to meet online when using a computer. The demand surged because of the lockdown created by the virus situation.

Whereas IT and the web helped tremendously to alleviate the pain and to keep things going, even if sometime only partially, questions were raised again about the excessive population control that would be the unavoidable consequence of digital-only transactions, street cameras surveillance, online meetings and remote biometric identification. Once everything is digitally identified, scanned, monitored, recorded and registered, freedom is reduced by a few degrees at the same time.

What can really be scary is the prospect of increased Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods and processes that are going to be more and more integrated in computer programming. In other words, surveillance is going to become significantly, dramatically more efficient, for better or for worse. 

Two weeks ago on cnbc.com, Arjun Kharpal mentioned China, Israel, South Korea and Singapore, among the countries using mass surveillance tools like drones, credit card information, camera footage and CCTV to monitor people quarantined because of the coronavirus situation. The combination of all the information gathered this way, followed by an analysis done through AI algorithms, makes an “alarmingly” efficient tool, to decide in the end if you are a nice person, or on the contrary, if you did anything wrong, if you are a bad citizen who didn’t play by the rules!

You can look at it as excessive government control with a hidden agenda or as a better way to protect the citizens – an honest, genuine action. The tool is a double edged-sword. Polish scholar Sergiusz Prokurat put it quite eloquently: “It can both liberate and enslave.” It has always been like that, except that this time Information Technology and AI have made the tool a particularly powerful one. 

Making payments using the various and many cashless means available today certainly, definitely reduces the risk of viral contamination by physical contact with the banknotes. It also makes it virtually impossible, or at least much more difficult, to conceal illegal payments. Even before the COVID-19 crisis was upon us we were already heading towards a cashless society. The crisis has merely accelerated the trend. In the end we need to know what we want and are willing to accept and live with, to what extent do we want to be “protected”.

Our location can easily be tracked through our smartphone. There are as many jokes about this old subject as there are illustrations of it in movies and TV series, with villains smashing and discarding a phone after making a call, so as not to be traced by whoever is after them. Naturally geo-tracking, or localisation, can also be of great help and even a real life-saver in countless situations. It is another example of how technology can be a double-edged sword.

It is the same old story, except that perhaps the current crisis has sharpened the sword a little more.

 

In Finland, basic income boosts well-being but not jobs — study

By - May 06,2020 - Last updated at May 06,2020

AFP photo

HELSINKI — An experiment giving 2,000 unemployed an unconditional, tax-free payment every month created happier citizens but failed to markedly increase employment levels, Finnish researchers said on Wednesday.

The Helsinki government allocated 20 million euros ($21.6 million) to the two-year trial which guaranteed a "basic income" of 560 euros ($604) to a randomly selected group of jobless people.

Researchers studied whether the no-strings-attached income could incentivise them to find work more than traditional unemployment benefits, which may be docked as soon as the recipient starts earning money.

However, researchers said basic income led to participants being employed for an average of just six extra days during a one-year period of the trial.

The "small" effect on work suggested that for some benefit recipients, "the problems related to finding employment are not related to bureaucracy or to financial incentives," Kari Hamalainen of Finland's VATT Institute for Economic Research said in a statement.

A basic income has been widely touted as a possible solution to the economic fallout of the coronavirus crisis, which has put tens of millions of jobs at risk worldwide.

Although the Finnish study did not produce the hoped-for job market stimulus, participants "were more satisfied with their lives and experienced less mental strain, depression, sadness and loneliness," researchers said.

The guaranteed monthly payment also led to participants becoming more trusting of others and in the institutions of society.

Although the widest such study to be conducted in recent years in Europe, the Finnish trial was limited to participants who were already unemployed.

Proponents of a true "universal income" call for a monthly payment, sometimes described as a citizens' wage, to be given to everyone regardless of their wealth, family or work situation.

Similar schemes have been trialled in Kenya, Canada, India and parts of the United States.

The experiment has not been without detractors. Prior to the coronavirus crisis, Finnish trade unions called instead for employers to pay living wages that do not need to be subsidised by benefits.

The Paris-based Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development has in the past claimed that a basic income programme in Finland would not be economically viable and could leave significant numbers of people worse off.

In 2017, Swiss voters rejected a proposed universal basic income in a referendum after critics slammed the idea as rewarding the lazy and the feckless.

Waititi to direct new 'Star Wars' film

By - May 06,2020 - Last updated at May 06,2020

Filmmaker Taika Waititi (AFP photo)

LOS ANGELES — New Zealand filmmaker Taika Waititi will write and direct a new "Star Wars" film, Disney announced Monday.

Waititi has shot from indie acclaim to mainstream Hollywood success in recent years, overseeing Marvel superhero smash hit "Thor: Ragnarok" in 2017 before winning a screenplay Oscar for Nazi satire "Jojo Rabbit" in February.

He also directed the first season finale of "The Mandalorian," the hit television show set in the blockbuster sci-fi franchise universe.

No date was set for the new movie. But the first of three currently scheduled "Star Wars" on Disney's release calendar is penciled in for December 2022.

Announcing the news on May 4 — a date typically celebrated by "Star Wars" fans around the world who wish each other "May the 4th be with you" — Disney also confirmed reports that "Russian Doll" co-creator Leslye Headland will develop a new television series set in the same universe.

"Headland will write, executive produce, and serve as showrunner for the series, which adds to a growing list of 'Star Wars' stories for Disney's streaming platform including 'The Mandalorian,' now in post-production on Season Two," said the announcement on StarWars.com.

According to Hollywood trade reports, Headland's live-action show will be a "female-driven action thriller" and "set in an alternate timeline from the usual 'Star Wars' universe."

"The Mandalorian," featuring the viral internet sensation Baby Yoda, was the flagship launch show for on-demand streaming platform Disney+ last year, proving a hit with critics and audiences.

In addition, two other new live-action "Star Wars" television series are in the works for Disney+, including the return of Ewan McGregor as Obi-Wan Kenobi, and a prequel to movie spin-off "Rogue One."

Disney has slowed down the release of its upcoming "Star Wars" films, with its recently concluded trilogy seeing diminishing box office returns and mixed reviews.

Waititi will co-write his "Star Wars" film with Krysty Wilson-Cairns, the Oscar-nominated screenwriter for World War I epic "1917."

Virus detectives tracking COVID-19 to its genetic origins

May 05,2020 - Last updated at May 05,2020

To find the origins of the new coronavirus, scientists are tracing its 'family tree' (AFP photo)

PARIS — China reported its first cases of the new coronavirus in December. But was COVID-19 already silently circulating? To find out scientists are looking for "patient zeros" by tracking the evolution of the virus itself.

This genetic detective work is tracing the family tree of the coronavirus that has killed tens of thousands in its relentless spread across the planet.

It could also help find out if the virus was spreading in other countries before the first infections were officially recorded.

In France, a cluster of cases was discovered in late January.

But a new study published in the International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents has suggested the virus was already in the country a month earlier.

A retrospective analysis of samples taken from 14 intensive care patients with influenza-like symptoms at the Avicenne and Jean-Verdier hospitals in Paris found one positive COVID-19 case — a 42-year-old French resident who had not visited China. He was hospitalised on December 27.

Olivier Bouchaud, head of the infectious diseases department at Avicenne said at first the virus spreads "quietly in the population, without anyone detecting its presence".

So evidence of earlier infections would only confirm what many scientists had suspected, he told AFP.

It might also help explain cases like that of Aicha, a 57-year-old medical secretary who was hospitalised in Marseille in mid-January with severe respiratory symptoms.

At the time the mysterious outbreak of pneumonia cases in the Chinese city of Wuhan was still seen as a faraway problem.

France did not have a single case and the World Health Organisation was still weeks away from giving it the name COVID-19.

Aicha's husband Jacques, a doctor, said she had "all the clinical signs" of the disease, including loss of taste and smell. But her tests have been inconclusive.

Other countries are discovering they may have had earlier infections. In the United States, autopsies performed on suspicious deaths in California have revealed infections before the first official case on January 21.

But Samuel Alizon, of the French National Centre for Scientific Research at Montpellier University, has cautioned that it is important to distinguish between isolated cases and the origin of the "epidemic wave".

 

China origins

 

In China, Wuhan health authorities have spoken of an initial case on December 8.

A study published in The Lancet in January said the first patient identified in the city started showing symptoms on December 1.

The timeline has been roughly corroborated by research mapping out the genetic evolution of the virus.

So far the genomes of more than 15,000 samples of the new coronavirus have been sequenced. As it replicates it produces multiple mutations, although none has been found to change its virulence.

Alizon said that about twice a month a mutation happens that stays in the genetic sequence, giving researchers a trail to follow.

So "if you compare two viruses, you can count how many mutations separate them," he said. Following the chain we find the "ancestor common to all infections".

Using publicly shared genome sequences, Andrew Rambaut of the University of Edinburgh found that the "lack of diversity is indicative of a relatively recent common ancestor for all these viruses".

He estimated that this ancestor could have emerged around November 17 last year (with a range of uncertainty between August 27 and December 29).

Imperial College London, in collaboration with the WHO, has also traced the virus' family tree, estimating that it appeared in China on December 5 (with a margin of uncertainty between November 6 and December 13).

Erik Volz, an epidemiologist at Imperial College, said all of the very earliest genetic sequences of the virus collected in Wuhan in December and January "have almost identical genomes".

"And all viruses currently circulating elsewhere in the world are descended from these closely related lineages in Wuhan," he told AFP.

But experts do not think of an epidemic as having a single starting point in time, he added: rather, they are seeded "multiple times from multiple points of origin".

He said estimates of the dates of these "seeding events" suggests the epidemics in many European and North American cities began in mid-January or early February.

 

'We will never know'

 

Italian research suggests the virus arrived in Lombardy between the second half of January and the beginning of February — weeks before the first infections were confirmed on February 20.

Football players for Inter Milan have said they suffered symptoms of the virus at the beginning of the year. Could they have had it?

"We had a week off in December and then we went back to work and I swear that 23 out of 25 players were sick," Belgian Inter Milan striker Romelu Lukaku said in a recent radio interview.

The players were not tested for the virus at the time.

Even if they took serological tests now and antibodies were found in their blood, it would not confirm when they were infected.

"We will never know," said Lukaku.

 

By Amélie Bottollier-Depois

Virus could keep theatres shut for a year, producers warn

By - May 05,2020 - Last updated at May 05,2020

AFP photo

PARIS — To reopen, or not to reopen with social distancing? That is the question haunting theatres and cinemas that were shuttered overnight by coronavirus lockdowns.

Theatrical impresario Cameron Mackintosh, the legendary British producer behind a half century of hit shows from "Cats" to "Hamilton", said it could be next year before the lights go back on in New York's Broadway and London's West End.

With British actor Stephen Fry warning that it could be as long as next April, Mackintosh said it was impossible for theatres to open their doors again while social distancing measures were still in force.

With some out-of-work actors and musicians on Broadway telling AFP that were considering changing careers, French star Isabelle Adjani said Tuesday it would be curtains unless governments "declare a cultural emergency".

"We are going to be the last to go back," Mackintosh told BBC radio. "The truth is until social distancing doesn't exist any more, we can't even plan to reopen," he said.

Commercial theatre depends on shows being at least two-thirds full as a rule of thumb to keep ticking over.

With people meant to sit up to two metres apart, that would mean at least two empty seats around each masked audience member, official French official guidelines recommended Monday.

 

'Impossible'

 

Such restrictions were socially and economically impossible, producers insisted.

Even in Texas whose governor Greg Abbott has been gung-ho about lifting restrictions, only a tiny number of cinemas grabbed the chance to reopen at the weekend.

Few cinemagoers were tempted to brave the temperature checks at the door, with their screening rooms allowed to be no more than a quarter full.

"We either reopen completely or we don't at all. It's black and white," said French theatrical tycoon Jean-Marc Dumontet, who owns six Paris theatres.

People simply "will not want to go back to the theatre if they feel it is dangerous," he told AFP.

Fry agreed, saying distancing restrictions go against the whole theatrical experience.

"The very quality that makes theatre so thrilling — the united presence of an audience clustered together to experience live performance — is what makes the enterprise so unsuited in a period of necessary social distancing," he said.

Hollywood too is sceptical about a quick return to normal despite US President Donald Trump saying he wanted American cinemas to reopen as soon as possible.

 

Blockbusters put back

 

Studios have pushed back the release of most of their big budget "tent-pole" blockbusters until August or later, reluctant to risk them on a still jittery public.

Even so, some Czech cinemas will open next week and German industry body HDF Kino is lobbying for a July restart, saying the lockdown has already cost them 186 million euros ($201 million).

Some cinema chains in the UK — which has been hit much harder by the virus — also want to open in July, although neighbouring Ireland is not contemplating a return until mid-August.

While the outlook is bleak for live theatre, the major US chain Cinemark believes cinemas can weather the storm — and any recession that might follow.

 

'Recession proof'

 

"Historically the exhibition industry has been recession-resilient and we believe it will rebound and benefit from pent-up demand as home sheltering subsides and people seek a communal experience," it said in a note to investors.

However, it warned that any return to normal "may span multiple months" because of "lingering social distancing" and consumer discomfort with public gatherings.

Despite everything, Cinemark said many cinemas could still make a profit even when two-thirds empty.

Theatres do not have that luxury. With dire warnings of venues going dark and shows closing forever, French President Emmanuel Macron was expected to announce a bail-out for the country's live entertainment sector Wednesday.

In Britain, where theatre plays an even bigger role in country's cultural and economic life, the government has so far been silent despite a growing clamour for aid.

With little hope of state help on Broadway, the outlook is even bleaker.

"I think we're all a bit hopeless," violinist Maxim Moston, who is in the orchestra of the musical "Moulin Rouge", told AFP.

"I think a lot of people are thinking about other careers at this point."

By Fiachra Gibbons

Chrysler Pacifica: A modern take on the mini-van

By - May 04,2020 - Last updated at May 04,2020

Photo courtesy of Chrysler

The headlining brand of the US wing of the Italian-American Fiat Chrysler Group (FCA) and one of Detroit’s traditional ‘big three’, Chrysler has in recent years been somewhat eclipsed by its Dodge and Jeep subsidiaries in popularity and product diversity. But despite the more recent demise of its more compact offerings, Chrysler has instead honed down its current model range to concentrate on what it does best, namely the large luxurious and statuesque 300 saloon and Pacifica mini-van, MPV or people carrier.

Dedicated to and excelling in the declining mini-van segment even as similar vehicles are dropped by other manufacturers, Chrysler has become a go-to choice for much of what remains of the MPV-buying public in the wake of ever-expanding crossover and SUV segments. Introduced in 2016 as a modern interpretation of the traditional large family mini-van, the Pacifica succeeded both Chrysler’s Grand Voyager and Town and Country people carriers, with a sleek bullet-like shape similar to the former, but much different to the latter’s boxy form.

Swept style

Sharper and sleeker than its predecessors, the Pacifica features a fashionably higher waistline and smaller glasshouse than either, with more detailed surfacing and more prominent and flowing lines and creases across the flanks and along the bonnet. Swept back, the Pacifica features a swooping front fascia combo, with strongly browed headlights and slim grille. Dramatic either with blacked out or chrome lined accents and darker colours, the Pacifica’s wedge-like shape, descending roofline and angled rear pillar lend it a sense of forward momentum.

Built on a front-wheel-drive platform fed through a slick-shifting 9-speed automatic gearbox to best utilize its output for economy, performance, flexibility and refinement, the Pacifica is powered by FCA’s sweet, eager and relatively high-revving naturally-aspirated 3.6-litre V6 Pentastar engine. A welcome antidote to ever-more popular small turbocharged engines with more sudden bursts of mid-range heroics, the Pentastar’s delivery is seamlessly smooth and progressive as it urgently builds momentum through revs and unlocks its full 287BHP at 6,000rpm and 262lb/ft torque at 4,000rpm.

 

Progressive and perky

Responsive from standstill and with a quick jerk from the steering wheel as its front 235/60R18 tyres briefly chirp and find traction under full throttle launch, the Pacifica briskly carries its not insubstantial 1,964kg mass through 0-100km/h in 7.4-seconds. Best when hunting its 6,400rpm rev limit, the Pacifica nevertheless matches its eager top-end with good low-end response and versatile mid-range delivery when cruising. Returning relatively moderate 12l/100km city and 8.4l/100km highway economy, the Pentastar’s eager-revving rewards make less economical driving all too tempting.

Precise in its throttle response and progressive in delivery, the Pacifica allows power and torque modulation to maintain traction and grip through corners. With its revvy and progressive engine and its car-like unibody construction and ground clearance, the Pacifica drives in a sportier and more agile manner than anticipated. Granted that it is not a sporty vehicle outright, but for a vast three row mini-van it handles pretty well, and is tidy and eager into corners with reasonably quick and direct steering.

Unexpectedly eager

Unexpectedly eager, the Pacifica feels more agile into corners than out of corners, where its length becomes quite apparent. That it is not perky or playful through corners is, however, not a bad thing for a mini-van, but is entirely expected and means that it delivers reassuringly high rear grip levels. If pushed to its dynamic limits, the Pacifica’s instinct would be for slight understeer, but that is not how people tend to drive MPVs. Meanwhile, body roll is also reasonably well controlled through corners.

A comfortable drive in town and on highway, the Pacifica takes most road imperfections in its stride and remains smooth, stable and reassuringly refined at speed. Seated high in its relatively low cabin, one has excellent front visibility over its low bonnet, while reversing sensors and cameras, and a comparatively tight 12.1-metre turning circle make it easy to manoeuvre for such a long vehicle. Seating is meanwhile comfortable and well-adjustable in front and there is plenty of room for second and third row passengers.

 

Classy and cavernous

Classy, comfortable and conveniently laid out inside, the Pacifica has an accessibly luxurious and warm ambiance inside without seeming too ‘precious’ or overdone. Featuring plenty of storage spaces and useful features for front and rear passengers, the Pacifica can be specified as an 8- or 9-seater with either middle row captain’s or bench seats. Practical with its low lift-over and step in height, wide swing angle front doors and large sliding rear doors, the Pacifica also features huge cargo configurations, including van-like volume with rear seats folded flat.

Well-equipped and practical, the Pacifica features easy to fold forward middle seats for rear row access and electric seat folding controls accessible from the cargo area. Its intuitive Uconnect infotainment system can be supplemented with an optional dual 10-inch rear touchscreen family entertainment system. Meanwhile, safety equipment is similarly generous with all versions featuring child seat latches and blindspot and rear crosspath warning systems, while top spec Limited models also receive a 360° surround view camera, brake assistance, advanced collision warning and lane departure systems. 

Specifications 

  • Engine: 3.6-litre, transverse V6-cylinders
  • Bore x Stroke: 96 x 83mm
  • Compression ratio: 11.3:1
  • Valve-train: DOHC, 24-valve, variable timing
  • Gearbox:9-speed automatic, front-wheel-drive
  • Ratios: 1st 4.7; 2nd 2.84; 3rd 1.91; 4th 1.38; 5th 1.0; 6th 0.81; 7th 0.7; 8th 0.58; 9th 0.48
  • Reverse / final drive: 3.81 / 3.25
  • Power, BHP (PS) [kW]: 287 (291) [214] @6,400rpm
  • Specific power: 79.6BHP/litre
  • Power-to-weight: 146.1BHP/tonne
  • Torque, lb/ft (Nm): 262 (355) @4,000rpm
  • Specific torque: 98.4Nm/litre
  • Torque-to-weight: 180.7Nm/tonne
  • Rev limit: 6,400mm
  • 0-100km/h: 7.4-seconds (estimate)
  • Fuel consumption, city / highway 12-/8.4-litres/100km
  • Fuel capacity: 71.9-litres
  • Length: 5,176mm
  • Width: 2,022mm
  • Height: 1,777mm
  • Wheelbase: 3,089mm
  • Overhang, F/R: 960/1,127
  • Track, F/R: 1,735/1,736mm
  • Ground clearance: 131mm
  • Approach / break-over / departure angles: 14° / 12.5° / 18.7°
  • Drag co-efficient: 0.30
  • Seating: 7/8
  • Headroom, F/M/R: 1,020/1,006/984mm
  • Legroom, F/M/R: 1,045/992/929mm
  • Shoulder room, F/M/R: 1,622/1,602/1,555mm
  • Hip room, F/M/R: 1,500/1,646/1,258mm
  • Lift-over height: 617mm
  • Cargo volume behind 3rd / 2nd / 1st rows: 914-/2,477-/3,978-litres
  • Kerb weight: 1,964kg
  • Weight distribution, F/R; 55 per cent / 45 per cent
  • Towing capacity: 1,633kg
  • Gross vehicle weight rating: 2,747kg
  • Steering: Electric-assisted rack & pinion
  • Steering ratio: 16.2:1
  • Lock-to-lock: 3.13-turns
  • Turning circle: 12.1-metres
  • Suspension, F/R: Macpherson struts / twin blade, coil springs
  • Brakes, F/R: Ventilated disc, 330 x 28mm / disc, 330 x 12mm
  • Tyres: 235/60R18

One in five coronavirus infected asymptomatic: German study

By - May 04,2020 - Last updated at May 04,2020

Students wearing facemasks keep their distance as they talk to each other during a break at the Friedrich-Schiller-Gymnasium in Ludwigsburg, Germany, in undated photo (AFP photo by Thomas Kienzle)

BERLIN — One in five people infected with the novel coronavirus shows no symptoms, according to results published Monday of a German study into infections in a small district which could have an impact on disease containment measures.

Researchers interviewed and tested 919 people in 405 households in the western district of Gangelt, where one of Germany's biggest clusters of contagion had emerged following a carnival attended by an infected couple.

Through antibodies tests as well as infections tests, researchers found that 15 per cent of the population in Gangelt had been infected, with a fatality rate of 0.37 per cent.

Projecting this nationwide, the study estimates that 1.8 million people across Germany may have already contracted the disease — 10 times more than what is reflected in data of officially confirmed cases.

But crucially, the study also shows that the proportion of asymptomatic people reached 22 per cent.

"The fact that apparently every fifth infection progresses without noticeable disease symptoms suggests that infected persons who shed the virus and who can thereby infect others cannot be reliably identified on the basis of recognisable disease symptoms," said Martin Exner, head of Bonn University's Institute for Hygiene and Public Health and co-author of the study.

Researchers noted that this underlined the importance of maintaining a social distance as well as basic hygiene practices to keep the disease at bay.

"Every supposedly healthy person we encounter can unknowingly carry the virus. We must be aware of this and act accordingly," said the expert of the study that has yet to be peer reviewed.

Germany has begun easing restrictions to halt transmission of the virus, allowing shops, schools and religious institutions to reopen.

However, rules to ensure social distancing apply, with a ban in most parts of Germany in place against public gatherings of more than two people.

Masks are also required on public transport and in shops throughout the country, and stores have markings on the ground to get customers to keep a distance of at least 1.5 metres from each other.

Seniors with COVID-19 show unusual symptoms, doctors say

By - May 03,2020 - Last updated at May 03,2020

Photo courtesy of wordpress.com

Older adults with COVID-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus, have several “atypical” symptoms, complicating efforts to ensure they get timely and appropriate treatment, according to physicians.

COVID-19 is typically signalled by three symptoms: a fever, an insistent cough and shortness of breath. But older adults — the age group most at risk of severe complications or death from this condition — may have none of these characteristics.

Instead, seniors may seem “off” — not acting like themselves — early on after being infected by the coronavirus. They may sleep more than usual or stop eating. They may seem unusually apathetic or confused, losing orientation to their surroundings. They may become dizzy and fall. Sometimes, seniors stop speaking or simply collapse.

“With a lot of conditions, older adults don’t present in a typical way, and we’re seeing that with COVID-19 as well,” said Dr Camille Vaughan, section chief of geriatrics and gerontology at Emory University.

The reason has to do with how older bodies respond to illness and infection.

At advanced ages, “someone’s immune response may be blunted and their ability to regulate temperature may be altered,” said Dr Joseph Ouslander, a professor of geriatric medicine at Florida Atlantic University’s Schmidt College of Medicine.

“Underlying chronic illnesses can mask or interfere with signs of infection,” he said. “Some older people, whether from age-related changes or previous neurologic issues such as a stroke, may have altered cough reflexes. Others with cognitive impairment may not be able to communicate their symptoms.”

Recognising danger signs is important: If early signs of COVID-19 are missed, seniors may deteriorate before getting needed care. And people may go in and out of their homes without adequate protective measures, risking the spread of infection.

Dr Quratulain Syed, an Atlanta geriatrician, describes a man in his 80s whom she treated in mid-March. Over a period of days, this patient, who had heart disease, diabetes and moderate cognitive impairment, stopped walking and became incontinent and profoundly lethargic. But he didn’t have a fever or a cough. His only respiratory symptom: sneezing off and on.

The man’s elderly spouse called 911 twice. Both times, paramedics checked his vital signs and declared he was OK. After another worried call from the overwhelmed spouse, Syed insisted the patient be taken to the hospital, where he tested positive for COVID-19.

“I was quite concerned about the paramedics and health aides who’d been in the house and who hadn’t used PPE [personal protective equipment],” Syed said.

Dr Sam Torbati, medical director of the Ruth and Harry Roman Emergency Department at Cedars-Sinai Medical Centre, describes treating seniors who initially appear to be trauma patients but are found to have COVID-19.

“They get weak and dehydrated,” he said, “and when they stand to walk, they collapse and injure themselves badly.”

Torbati has seen older adults who are profoundly disoriented and unable to speak and who appear at first to have suffered strokes.

“When we test them, we discover that what’s producing these changes is a central nervous system effect of coronavirus,” he said.

Dr Laura Perry, an assistant professor of medicine at the University of California-San Francisco, saw a patient like this several weeks ago. The woman, in her 80s, had what seemed to be a cold before becoming very confused. In the hospital, she couldn’t identify where she was or stay awake during an examination. Perry diagnosed hypoactive delirium, an altered mental state in which people become inactive and drowsy. The patient tested positive for coronavirus and is still in the ICU.

Dr Anthony Perry, an associate professor of geriatric medicine at Rush University Medical Center in Chicago, tells of an 81-year-old woman with nausea, vomiting and diarrhea who tested positive for COVID-19 in the emergency room. After receiving IV fluids, oxygen and medication for her intestinal upset, she returned home after two days and is doing well.

Another 80-year-old Rush patient with similar symptoms — nausea and vomiting, but no cough, fever or shortness of breath ? is in intensive care after getting a positive COVID-19 test and due to be put on a ventilator. The difference? This patient is frail with “a lot of cardiovascular disease,” Perry said. Other than that, it’s not yet clear why some older patients do well while others do not.

So far, reports of cases like these have been anecdotal. But a few physicians are trying to gather more systematic information.

In Switzerland, Dr Sylvain Nguyen, a geriatrician at the University of Lausanne Hospital Centre, put together a list of typical and atypical symptoms in older COVID-19 patients for a paper to be published in the Revue Médicale Suisse. Included on the atypical list are changes in a patient’s usual status, delirium, falls, fatigue, lethargy, low blood pressure, painful swallowing, fainting, diarrhoea, nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain and the loss of smell and taste.

Data comes from hospitals and nursing homes in Switzerland, Italy and France, Nguyen said in an email.

On the front lines, physicians need to make sure they carefully assess an older patient’s symptoms.

“While we have to have a high suspicion of COVID-19 because it’s so dangerous in the older population, there are many other things to consider,” said Dr Kathleen Unroe, a geriatrician at Indiana University’s School of Medicine.

Seniors may also do poorly because their routines have changed. In nursing homes and most assisted living centres, activities have stopped and “residents are going to get weaker and more deconditioned because they’re not walking to and from the dining hall,” she said.

At home, isolated seniors may not be getting as much help with medication management or other essential needs from family members who are keeping their distance, other experts suggested. Or they may have become apathetic or depressed.

“I’d want to know ‘What’s the potential this person has had an exposure [to the coronavirus], especially in the last two weeks?’” said Vaughan of Emory. “Do they have home health personnel coming in? Have they gotten together with other family members? Are chronic conditions being controlled? Is there another diagnosis that seems more likely?”

“Someone may be just having a bad day. But if they’re not themselves for a couple of days, absolutely reach out to a primary care doctor or a local health system hotline to see if they meet the threshold for [coronavirus] testing,” Vaughan advised. “Be persistent. If you get a ‘no’ the first time and things aren’t improving, call back and ask again.”

By Judith Graham

Nine sides to the story

By - May 03,2020 - Last updated at May 03,2020

The Other Americans

Laila Lalami

London: Bloomsbury, 2019

Pp. 301

 

Combining elements of a murder mystery, family saga and immigrant literature, Moroccan American writer Laila Lalami spins a fascinating tale that delivers incisive commentary on the effects of war and racism that continue to plague American society. “The Other Americans” is also a love story. Whether the two (relatively) young lovers can stay together is no less suspenseful than whether the mystery surrounding a freak car accident will be solved.

Other features make this novel stand out as well. Lalami chooses an off-the-beaten-track setting: Joshua Tree, California, seemingly an isolated town in the Mojave Desert, but one which is seasonally invaded by tourists visiting the adjacent national park and its unique cacti. The local community is itself a mixed bag, ranging from old-timers (read: whites) still caught in the paradigms of the past, to immigrants like the Guerraoui family, who are still considered outsiders by some, despite having run a successful business in the town for decades. The fact that the story is told by nine different characters adds even more nuances and inserts the role of memory as a major factor.

It all starts the night Driss Guerraoui is killed in a hit-and-run accident after closing his diner and walking across a poorly lighted intersection to get to his car. Immediately, Nora, his younger daughter, drives from Oakland to Joshua Tree, experiencing disbelief that her father is dead, then guilt, then a burning conviction that his death was not an accident. He was the parent she was closer to, the one who always supported her, even when she ditched her medical studies in order to study music and be a composer — a choice ridiculed by her mother, Mariam, and older sister, Salma, who had married and become a dentist. Vividly recalling how Driss’s donut shop had been set afire after 9/11, the arsonist never identified, Nora fights to have his death thoroughly investigated. This means staying on in Joshua Tree, whose confines she had wanted to escape. Nora’s decision leads her to discovering unwelcome secrets and unexpected parallels between her own life and that of her parents.

Nora finds an ally in Jeremy, a member of the jazz band she had played with at school. Now he is a police officer whose life had also been turned upside down by the death of a parent. Yet, standing between them is his past as a Marine in the Iraq war. In Nora’s eyes: “The long fingers that had once gracefully stretched across guitar strings to play an F sharp had held an automatic rifle and pointed it at people in another country, a country that had done no harm to his”. (p. 94)

The chapters narrated by these two are the most compelling, as Jeremy agonises over the horrors he experienced in Iraq, and Nora recounts her childhood and the ways she was singled out as a foreigner despite having been born in the US. Her eggplant dish brought to school was described as looking like “poop” by a classmate, while teachers never learned to say her last name or to recognise her extraordinary abilities. They said she had her head in the clouds. “The idiom rang like an echo in my life”, made worse by the fact that her mother and sister concurred in this assessment. (p. 17)

Other characters speak as well, most of them embroiled in conflicts with loved ones or themselves. Efrain, the only eyewitness to the accident, fears coming forward since he is undocumented. Driss speaks, recalling how he and his wife Mariam had left Morocco to escape the police’s violent suppression of student protests. A clever, sympathetic, African American police detective, Coleman, tells of her difficulties adjusting to her family’s recent move from Washington DC, to the small, closed community in Joshua Tree. Mariam, who had had the idea to immigrate in the first place, now sees the drawbacks of America, particularly the fragmentation of her family: “We were like a thrift-store tea set, there was always one piece missing”. (p. 80)

Also given a voice are Anderson Baker, who owns the bowling alley next to Driss’s diner, and his son, the high school bully who had once written “raghead” on Nora’s locker, their narratives expressing sentiments one associates with Trump supporters. Salma, ostensibly the sister who had done everything right, also has her own problems.

What makes “The Other Americans” especially engrossing is that these voices come from full-blown characters, people with lives and minds of their own. One learns about their families, their childhoods, their jobs, their disappointments, and their hopes and dreams, giving the novel multiple subplots that eventually intertwine. Everything is painted in specific details, making the story more real, and most of the characters grow in the course of the novel.

As much as the problems of immigrants and their offspring are on display, so too are issues faced by “ordinary” Americans. In highly original prose and metaphor, Lalami provides new insight into the meaning of family, home, belonging and love, the latter not being an unchanging, ideal state of being, but something worth working on.

“The Other Americans” is available at Readers Bookshop.

Pages

Pages



Newsletter

Get top stories and blog posts emailed to you each day.

PDF