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China’s CNPC takes over Total’s share in Iran gas project

By - Aug 13,2018 - Last updated at Aug 13,2018

The logo of CNPC (China National Petroleum Corporation) is photographed at the 26th World Gas Conference in Paris, France, on June 2, 2015 (Reuters file photo)

DUBAI — China's state-owned energy major CNPC has taken over the share in Iran's multi-billion dollar South Pars gas project held by France's Total, the Iranian state news agency IRNA reported on Saturday.

Total signed a contract in 2017 to develop Phase II of South Pars field with an initial investment of $1 billion, marking the first major Western energy investment in the country after sanctions were lifted in 2016. South Pars has the world's biggest natural gas reserves ever found in one place.

But the French company had said it would pull out unless it secured a US sanctions waiver, and Gholamreza Manouchehri, deputy head of the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), said in June that if Total were to walk away, then CNPC would take over.

"China National Petroleum Corp [CNPC] has replaced Total of France with an 80.1 per cent stake in the phase 11 of the South Pars [gas field]," IRNA quoted Mohammad Mostafavi, director of investment of Iran's state oil firm NIOC, as saying.

A spokeswoman for Total declined to comment. 

Total has not said what it would do with its stake should it pull out, and it has until November 4 to wind down its Iran operations.

The renewed US sanctions were among those lifted under a 2015 deal between world powers and Tehran on curbing Iran's nuclear programme. US President Donald Trump abandoned the deal in May. Washington is planning to impose heavier sanctions in November aimed at Iran's oil sector.

There was no immediate confirmation of the IRNA report by CNPC, which earlier held a 30 per cent stake in the project and has now taken over Total's 50.1 per cent share, according to IRNA. The remainder is held by Iran's Petropars.

Kenya arrests two top officials for suspected corruption over new $3 billion railway

By - Aug 11,2018 - Last updated at Aug 11,2018

A train launched to operate on the Standard Gauge Railway line constructed by the China Road and Bridge Corporation and financed by Chinese government arrives at the Nairobi Terminus on the outskirts of Kenya's capital Nairobi on May 31, 2017 (Reuters file photo)

NAIROBI — Kenyan authorities have arrested the head of the agency that manages public land and the boss of the state railway on suspicion of corruption over land allocation for the new $3-billion flagship Nairobi-Mombasa railway.

The line connecting the capital with East Africa's main port was funded by China and is one of the biggest infrastructure projects of President Uhuru Kenyatta, whose government this year embarked on an anti-corruption drive.

Mohammed Abdalla Swazuri, the chairman of National Land Commission, was one of 18 officials, businesspeople and companies named in a statement listing arrests that was posted on Saturday on the prosecutor's office's Twitter feed. 

Also arrested was Atanas Kariuki Maina, managing director of the Kenya Railways Corporation.

Opposition leaders and Kenyan economists have criticised the railway's funding for increasing the country's debt burden, which the IMF estimated at between 54-55 per cent of economic output (GDP) in the 2017-18 fiscal year.

The investigation that led to the arrests centres on allegations that officials siphoned taxpayer money through phony compensation claims for land used for the railway, said a statement from the anti-corruption agency.

It did not spell out who made the allegations.

Analysts and businesspeople say Kenya, East Africa's richest economy per capita, loses a significant percentage of its annual GDP to corruption and it is hard to do business without paying bribes.

Public Prosecutor Noordin Mohamed Haji ordered the arrests and said in the statement he was preparing to charge the officials.

Reuters was not immediately able to contact representatives of Swazuri and Maina for comment. 

Kenya last year inaugurated the more than $3 billion railway. No Chinese companies or individuals were named in the prosecutor's statement.

Kenya has been hit this year by a spate of scandals related to the alleged theft of hundreds of millions of Kenyan shillings (millions of dollars) by officials from government bodies. 

Haji, appointed by Kenyatta earlier this year, is bringing charges against dozens of state officials and businesspeople in a number of court cases that have not yet begun.

Russian market pares losses under threat of new sanctions

By - Aug 09,2018 - Last updated at Aug 09,2018

A cashier holds new 200 rouble banknotes in a bank in Moscow, Russia, on November 21, 2017 (Reuters file photo)

MOSCOW — Russian authorities played down the importance of new US sanctions, saying they have tools to maintain financial stability, after a new round of US penalties sent the rouble plunging to a two-year low.

The Trump administration said overnight that fresh sanctions were needed after it determined Moscow had used a nerve agent against a former Russian agent and his daughter in Britain, something the Kremlin has repeatedly denied. Russia's embassy in the US called the measures draconian.

The rouble plummeted to its weakest since August 2016, at 66.73 versus the dollar after the sanctions were announced, shedding 5 per cent of its value compared with levels of late last week.

While the central bank has not replied to Reuters request for comment about implications of the rouble's drop, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov has tried to dismiss concerns about Russia's vulnerability to the US sanctions.

"The Russian economy, the balance of payments, have become much more resilient to external pressure in recent years," Siluanov said.

After taking a hit in what BCS brokerage described as panic reaction, the rouble managed to move away from two-year lows. As of 14:37 GMT, the rouble hovered 66.11 against the greenback, down 0.9 per cent on the day.

The rouble is stabilising as the market realises that the new US sanctions proposed by the White House are not as painful as the penalties proposed earlier by US senators, analysts at Alfa Bank said in a note.

"The trading range of the upcoming week is seen at 64.25-67.50 roubles," analysts at Alfa bank said, referring to the dollar-rouble pair.

These proposals by senators, including restrictions on holding of new Russian sovereign debt, triggered a massive sell-off on the Russian market the day before.

If the measures pass through Congress, the rouble is set to face dire consequences, analysts warn.

"If the bill becomes law and Russia retaliates, we estimate that USD/RUB could move to 72.00, while EUR/RUB could hit 83.50, as any major sell-off of Russian local debt, local credit and stocks would amplify outflows from the rouble," Danske Bank said in a note.

Samsung to invest billions in new tech to drive fresh growth

By - Aug 08,2018 - Last updated at Aug 08,2018

The Samsung logo is seen in Seoul, South Korea, March 23, 2018 (Reuters file photo)

SEOUL — South Korea's Samsung Group on Wednesday said it would invest $22 billion over the next three years in cutting-edge technology including artificial intelligence, self-driving cars and biopharmaceuticals, as it searches for ways to drive future growth.

The investment will be primarily led by Samsung Electronics, the world's biggest maker of memory chips, which has faced a string of setbacks in recent years, including a fall in smartphone sales and a corruption scandal that saw its Vice Chairman Lee Jae-yong jailed last year.

Although demand for its memory chips remains robust, the market for its smartphones appears to have hit a wall, prompting the company to search for fresh growth opportunities.

"Samsung expects innovations powered by AI technology will drive the industry's transformation, while the next-generation 5G telecommunications technology will create new opportunities in autonomous driving, the Internet of Things [IoT] and robotics," the company said in a statement.

The $22 billion is part of a total of 180 trillion won ($161 billion) that the group plans to invest over the next three years across its businesses, with more than 70 per cent of the money to be spent in South Korea.

Samsung will also expand investments in manufacturing hubs, seeking to increase production of semiconductors and display screens as well as dominate new markets by developing technology to power self-driving cars.

"Today's announcement shows Samsung is serious in its efforts to develop new growth engines" at a time when its semiconductor business and mobile sector are both facing mounting competition from Chinese rivals, Greg Roh of HMC Securities & Investment told AFP.

The company said it expected to add 40,000 new jobs over the next three years, in news that will likely bring relief to South Korea's government which is currently struggling with high youth unemployment.

 'Begging for investment' 

 

The announcement came two days after South Korean Finance Minister Kim Dong-yeon met the group's de-facto head Lee, calling for Samsung to create new jobs and boost the economy.

Samsung's second quarter profit dipped slightly to 11.04 trillion won, down from 11.05 trillion won a year earlier.

Total sales for April-June fell 4.1 per cent year-on-year to 58.48 trillion won, with revenues for the company's mobile division plunging 22 per cent in the same period.

The company has been fighting off competition from Chinese rivals including Huawei, which last week said it could replace Samsung as the world's top smartphone maker by late next year, after data showed it surpassed Apple for the number-two spot in a tightening global smartphone market.

Investors greeted Wednesday's news with cautious optimism, with Samsung Electronics' shares rising 0.21 per cent to close at 46,800 won. 

Indian ride-hailing firm Ola to take on Uber in Britain

By - Aug 07,2018 - Last updated at Aug 07,2018

An employee speaks over his phone as he sits at the front desk inside the office of Ola cab service in Gurugram, previously known as Gurgaon, on the outskirts of New Delhi, India, on April 20, 2016 (Reuters file photo)

MUMBAI — Indian ride-hailing company Ola announced on Tuesday that it is to launch services in Britain, expanding its foray abroad and intensifying its battle with US rival Uber.

Britain will be Ola's second venture into a foreign market after it started operations in Australia in February.

Ola said in a statement that it had obtained licences to operate in South Wales and Greater Manchester. 

It said it would start the South Wales operations within the next month and was inviting private vehicle owners and taxi drivers to partner with it.

"Ola is excited to announce its plans for the UK, one of the world's most evolved transportation markets," co-founder Bhavish Aggarwal said in the press release.

Ola plans to expand its services across Britain, where Uber already has a presence, by the end of the year, the company added.

Ola was launched in 2011 and claims to handle around a billion rides a year across India's major centres and seven cities in Australia. 

Ride-hailing apps are booming in India despite stiff opposition from traditional taxi firms and some initial concerns about passenger safety.

Ola and Uber are locked in an aggressive fight for a greater share of India's taxi-app market, which is estimated to be worth around $10 billion.

Both companies are backed by Japan's SoftBank Group and recently ventured into the food delivery business, further intensifying their rivalry.

HSBC pre-tax profit up 4.58% at $10.7b in first half

By - Aug 06,2018 - Last updated at Aug 06,2018

This photo taken on February 20, 2018, shows a commuter running past an advertisement for HSBC bank in Hong Kong (AFP file photo)

HONG KONG — Banking giant HSBC said on Monday that pre-tax profit rose 4.58 per cent to $10.7 billion in the first six months of the year and voiced "cautious optimism" despite the China-US trade row. 

After wide-ranging cutbacks that saw 50,000 jobs axed in an overhaul announced in 2015, the bank said it was now hiring again as it seeks new growth areas.

"We are investing to win new customers, increase our market share, and lay the foundations for consistent growth in profits and returns," said CEO John Flint. 

He added that investments in the first half of the year included "hiring more frontline staff in our strongest businesses and expanding our digital capabilities in core markets", saying that the aim was to improve customer service.

The pre-tax profit figures met analysts' expectations as they predicted the bank would boost its bottom line.

Revenues were also up four per cent at $27.3 billion in the six months to June. 

However, adjusted profit before tax of $12.1b was down two per cent and revenues were tempered by a rise of seven per cent in operating expenses to $17.5 billion, which the bank said reflected investments in digital capabilities. 

There have been concerns over how long costs will outstrip revenue for the bank.

Shares in HSBC dipped slightly after lunch, trading at HK$72.65 from HK$73.40 before the figures were released, though they were still up 0.5 per cent from Friday's close. 

But Dickie Wong of Kingston Securities said a better cost-efficiency ratio and improved interest margins had helped the bank's turnaround, while its investments had put it "in good shape".

Seeking more frontline staff would help bring in customers, he added. 

Wong added the escalating US-China trade row would have "minimal" negative impact on HSBC with its businesses in the Greater China region doing well.

Strong Asia performance 

 

The London-based firm is enjoying a change in fortunes after a tough few years.

In January, it agreed to pay more than $100 million to US authorities after admitting to defrauding clients during multi-billion-dollar foreign exchange transactions.

In December, US authorities lifted the threat of prosecution against HSBC, five years after it admitted to widespread money laundering and sanctions violations.

In a landmark case, the bank agreed to pay $1.9 billion in fines in 2012 after admitting it knowingly moved hundreds of millions of dollars for Mexican drug cartels and illegally served clients in Iran, Myanmar, Libya, Sudan and Cuba in violation of a US prohibition.

Under the terms of the settlement, federal prosecutors agreed to drop all charges after five years if the bank paid the fine, took remedial action and avoided committing new violations.

Flint said in June that he plans to invest $15-17 billion primarily in growth and technology projects, with a particular focus on accelerating growth in Asia.

He was promoted to the top job after serving as HSBC's head of retail banking and wealth management.

After some strong profitable years under Stuart Gulliver before his retirement, HSBC earnings plunged in 2016 on huge writedowns and restructuring charges.

However, they rebounded last year, in part thanks to a strong Asian performance.

Prior to his departure, Gulliver said the bank would likely switch 1,000 jobs to Paris from London owing to Britain's departure from the European Union due next year. 

HSBC, founded in Hong Kong and Shanghai in 1865, sees its focus firmly in Asia, although it has been based in Britain since 1992.

Battery of complaints against Tesla in Norway

By - Aug 05,2018 - Last updated at Aug 05,2018

A woman gets into her Tesla electric car at a supercharger station in Los Angeles, California, US August 2 (Reuters photo)

OSLO — "I've had the car for eight months and it ran fine for four days," says Yngve Solberg, who like many Norwegians is fed up with the slew of problems his Tesla X has given him.

Tesla has sold more cars per capita in Norway than any other country in the world, thanks to the government's generous measures in favour of electric cars, including tax exemptions, free city tolls and public parking.

More than 26,000 Tesla S and X models are registered in Norway, according to the website www.teslastats.no.

But Tesla has struggled to provide after-sales support that matches the soaring demand for its high-end electric cars.

As a result, Tesla owners in Norway face long waits for repairs, a shortage of spare parts, difficulty reaching customer services, leading — unsurprisingly — to oodles of complaints.

In the first half of the year, Tesla became the company with the fourth-highest number of complaints registered with the Norwegian Consumer Council. In 2017, it held the 24th spot.

A car enthusiast, Solberg has had a long series of woes with his new Tesla X.

Among the problems he has faced were malfunctioning rear doors and a faulty suspension system. And each time he has faced trouble, it has taken him several months to get an appointment for repairs.

"Because of the doors, I couldn't park next to other cars for three months, neither at my work garage nor in my parking spot outside my home. All this with a car that costs 1.1 million kroner [115,000 euros, $133,000]," he bristled.

On an online forum for the Norwegian Association of Electric Cars, another Tesla owner said he was so frustrated he ended up taking his car to Danish capital Copenhagen to replace a faulty suspension arm. He has also been waiting for new seats for 13 months.

 

Musk says 

Norwegians are right 

 

These are not isolated cases. A survey conducted by the Tesla Owners Club Norway indicates that 38 per cent are dissatisfied with the company's after-sales support, compared with 57 per cent who are satisfied.

"Norwegians are right to be upset with Tesla," admitted Tesla Chief Executive Elon Musk.

"We are having trouble expanding our service facilities in Oslo especially," he Tweeted on July 5.

He said the problems could be resolved "quickly" if Norway would give the green light for mobile service vans able to provide repairs at clients' homes. 

Tesla is in talks with authorities with a view to adapting this service to national regulations, which strictly define car repair shops.

The problems are particularly troublesome for Tesla, as Norway is a seen as a global testing ground for electric cars. 

The Scandinavian country, whose electricity is almost exclusively from hydro, aims to stop selling cars running on fossil fuels in seven years — by 2025.

Tesla is therefore doubling its efforts to meet Norway's needs. 

The company's spokesman in the Nordic region, Even Sandvold Roland, said after-sales support staff has already been augmented by 30 per cent this year, additional shifts have been set up in some places, and a new repair centre is due to open shortly in Oslo.

 

 'Growing pains' 

 

"Things are improving," said Satheesh Varadharajan, the head of the Association of Tesla Owners. "It's positive, though we're still a little concerned about whether it's going quickly enough."

Recruiting and training new employees is time-consuming.

Keen to participate in the technological breakthrough the Californian company is offering, many motor enthusiasts are affording Tesla a patience they would not normally grant a conventional carmaker.

"Early adopters show a lot of understanding and accept that things take a little time, that there are growing pains. No other group has grown as much as quickly," stressed Varadharajan. 

Despite the many frustrations, Yngve Solberg still has faith in Tesla and has reserved a Model 3, the company's first car targeting the mass market.

But Solberg said his faith had limits.

Tesla has had trouble ramping up production of the Model 3, and "if it's the same chaos that I've experienced these past eight months, then, no".

Toyota posts record Q1 net profit, maintains full-year forecast

By - Aug 04,2018 - Last updated at Aug 04,2018

The logo of Japan's Toyota Motors is displayed at their showroom in Tokyo on Friday (AFP photo)

TOKYO — Japanese car giant Toyota on Friday posted a record first-quarter net profit, but warned that threatened US sanctions on the auto sector could have a "very big" impact on earnings.

The firm added that ongoing trade frictions between the US and China, as well as Washington's tariffs on metal imports, would eat into its bottom line.

US President Donald Trump has unsettled rivals and allies alike with harsh trade rhetoric and a raft of tariffs that have affected sectors ranging from agriculture to auto.

Toyota said strong sales in the US and Asia, helped boost profits 7.2 per cent to 657.3 billion yen ($5.9 billion) in April-June, its highest-ever first-quarter result.

Operating profit jumped 18.9 per cent to 682.7 billion yen, with sales up 4.5 per cent at 7.4 trillion yen.

But it maintained a forecast for net profit to fall 15 per cent for the fiscal year to March 2019, with lingering concerns about threatened auto tariffs and raw material costs rising amid trade tensions.

"On trade issues, we are expecting profits will decline by 10 billion yen because of [higher costs of] steel and aluminium in North America," Toyota senior managing director Masayoshi Shirayanagi, told reporters.

"We have not yet factored in the impact of auto tariffs. If they are imposed, we think the impact will be very big," he added.

Satoru Takada, an analyst at TIW, a Tokyo-based research and consulting firm, told AFP: "Compared to its domestic rivals, Toyota has been relatively competitive.

"The firm performed strongly in North America and its sales in China are steady."

But Trump's threat to impose stiff tariffs on vehicles imported into the world's number two car market remains a concern for Japanese automakers.

"US tariffs will be a major risk for the Japanese auto industry. If tariffs are imposed, it will deal a big blow to Japanese carmakers," said Takada.

Kentaro Arita, senior economist at Mizuho Research Institute, estimated the US tariffs could cost Japan's auto industry as much as $10 billion. 

"In particular, auto parts makers will suffer the impact drastically," Arita told AFP.

Toyota's global sales grew as the auto giant scored growth in the key North American, European and Asian markets.

Increased sales volume and marketing efforts helped boost the bottom line by 45 billion yen while cost cutting contributed 15 billion yen, the company said.

Foreign exchange rates — a major factor for the industry — had little effect on its earnings for the quarter, it added.

Last week, rival Nissan said its net profit for the three months to June plunged more than 14 per cent, under pressure from rising material costs and a higher yen.

It said sales were up in China in the three months prior to to June, but fell in North America and Europe.

For the year to March 2018, Toyota reported a record net profit thanks to a weaker yen and US tax cuts.

"The business environment for the industry remains severe," Takada said.

"Japanese carmakers need to step up their investment in new technologies, such as self-driving systems, in order to compete with their global rivals, while growing costs of raw materials are pressuring their earnings," he added.

Shares in Toyota fell 0.85 per cent to close at 7,220 yen after its earnings announcement.

"Earnings figures are not bad at all but uncertainty over its future lingers due to the trade frictions," Makoto Sengoku, market analyst at Tokai Tokyo Research Institute, said.

Tesla says on track for profit despite bigger 2Q loss

By - Aug 02,2018 - Last updated at Aug 02,2018

A parking lot of predominantly new Tesla Model 3 electric vehicles is seen in Richmond, California, US, on June 22 (Reuters file photo)

SAN FRANCISCO — Tesla shares revved on Wednesday on news the electric car maker is on the road to being profitable this year despite losing more money than analysts expected in the recently ended quarter.

Tesla shares raced up more than 9 per cent to $328.99 in after-market trades that followed release of earnings figures and a call in which Chief Executive Elon Musk patiently fielded questions and expressed regret for rudely brushing off inquiries from some analysts a quarter earlier.

"I'd like to apologise for being impolite on the last call," Musk said to an analyst whose query he had dismissed.

"There really is no excuse for bad manners."

Musk said a lack of sleep and long work days had darkened his mood that day.

The Tesla chief had reacted defensively to questions from the news media and from the financial community, abruptly shutting down questions from analysts during the company's May conference call on earnings.

Tesla has faced multiple controversies in recent months, many of them stemming from comments made by the mercurial Musk.

 

 Improving production 

 

The Silicon Valley-based company reported a $717.5 million loss that was more than twice the $336.4 million it lost in the same quarter a year ago. Revenues, meanwhile, jumped 43.5 per cent to $4.0 billion.

The company also burned through less cash than many analysts expected.

Tesla said its closely-watched ramp-up of production of the Model 3 has hit its stride after earlier missing a series of targets.

Output of the Model 3, the company's first targeting the middle market and a major gamble for Musk, met a 5,000 per week benchmark in June and repeated that pace "multiple times" in July.

Tesla said it is on track to hit 6,000 vehicles per week by late August and expects to reach 10,000 per week "some time next year”.

Tesla executives said they have started to make a profit on cars, and predicted the "margin" will grow as the company benefits from hard-won production-line efficiencies.

The electric car maker announced in June that it would cut 9 per cent of its staff in a bid to achieve profitability.

In its earnings statement, Tesla projected that it would reach profitability in the third quarter and stay profitable in the fourth quarter.

"Going forward, we believe Tesla can achieve sustained quarterly profits, absent a severe force majeure or economic downturn, while continuing to grow at a rapid pace," the company said.

"Our first impression is positive," said CFRA Research analyst Efraim Levy.

"We like the more muted tone of the company's outlook, with the absence of unnecessary new stretch goals," Levy said. "Perhaps it reflects a more cautious Elon Musk."

 

Shanghai bound 

 

Musk said that Tesla is doing fine on cash and has no plan to raise more funding. The company did plan to take on local debt in China to pay for a new gigafactory in Shanghai to produce vehicles and batteries.

"Other than that, I don't think we need to raise money," Musk said.

"We are not in any kind of cash shortage at all."

He hoped to have the location for a gigafactory in Europe determined by the end of this year.

Musk also said Tesla was working relentlessly to improve self-driving hardware and software, with a focus on safety and security. He promised new capabilities in an upgraded version of the car's software due out later this year.

Tesla engineers have been working in "semi-stealth mode" for several years making a chip optimised for the intense computing requirements of self-driving technology, according to Musk.

He credited his team with creating one of the world's most advanced computers designed specifically for autonomous operation, saying it was "super kick-ass".

Visions for the future at Tesla included a pickup truck, a compact SUV, and a big rig, with the biggest constraint on growth being how fast they can ramp up production of batteries for vehicles, according to the chief executive.

"We have some super stuff coming up," Musk said.

Musk has been at the centre of numerous controversies in recent months as the company has sprinted in an effort to reach ambitious goals. 

Earlier this month, Musk apologised for calling British caver Vernon Unsworth, who helped rescue 12 Thai boys from a cave a "pedo", short for pedophile, after Unsworth spoke dismissively of the Tesla chief's idea for bringing the boys to safety.

Musk is also embroiled in a legal fight with a former employee whom he accused of sabotage. The ex-employee, Martin Tripp, has countersued for defamatory statements.

Britain on verge of interest rate hike

By - Aug 01,2018 - Last updated at Aug 01,2018

People walk past the Bank of England in London, Britain, on Wednesday (Reuters photo)

LONDON — The Bank of England (BoE) appears set on Thursday to hike interest rates to combat high inflation, as it eyes fallout from both Brexit and the global trade war, economists say.

Policymakers are widely expected to ramp up the British central bank's main interest rate by a quarter-point to 0.75 per cent — which would be the highest level in more than nine years.

The BoE's nine-strong monetary policy committee (MPC) will reveal the outcome of its August gathering at 11:00 GMT.

No change is anticipated in quantitative easing stimulus policy, which has been in place alongside ultra-low rates since the aftermath of the global financial crisis.

"The market is confident we are in for an August rate rise," said Laith Khalaf, senior analyst at stockbroker Hargreaves Lansdown.

Brexit-facing Britain was the only G-7 economy to experience a slowdown in 2017, the office for national statistics highlighted this week.

However, it also noted that growth has been more resilient than was initially expected after the Brexit referendum in 2016.

 

Ammunition against downturn? 

 

"The bank would dearly love to normalise monetary policy, if only to give itself a bit of ammunition to ward off an economic slowdown," Khalaf added.

"Moreover, last time the MPC met, three members voted for a rate rise, which now means only two doves need to become hawks for policy to tighten."

Rising interest rates are a boon for savers but ramp up the cost of credit for consumers and companies.

In June, the MPC panel had voted 6-3 to keep the rate on hold at 0.50 per cent, as chief economist Andy Haldane joined those calling for a rise. The previous decision in May had been 7-2 in favour of no change.

Meanwhile, BoE Governor Mark Carney has warned that the global trade war, spearheaded by US President Donald Trump, is damaging the outlook.

Despite the gloom, most economists believe above-target inflation will persuade policymakers to hike, although weak manufacturing survey data has injected some caution.

The central bank will also unveil its latest quarterly economic forecasts on Thursday.

Britain's 12-month inflation rate has now held above the BoE's official 2 per cent target range since February 2017 — or for the last 17 months in a row.

"The new inflation forecast should reflect a high risk of a target-overshoot by 2020," said analyst Danielle Haralambous at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

"This, combined with a broader desire to normalise the policy stance to give some room for manoeuvre ahead of the next cyclical downturn, should convince a majority of MPC members to vote for a hike."

The BoE had implemented an emergency quarter-point rate cut to a record low 0.25 per cent in August 2016 on fears over the economic impact of the Brexit vote.

However, it then lifted borrowing costs back up to 0.50 per cent last November to help bring down inflation.

That was the first UK interest rate hike in more than a decade, since 2007.

 

'Symbolic moment' 

 

"If the bank does increase rates, it will be a pretty symbolic moment — the first time since the financial crisis that rates have moved above 0.50 per cent," said Khalaf.

"It does not fundamentally alter the bigger picture though, which is that rates are set to remain low for some time, and if they rise will only do so slowly, such is the fragility of the UK economy."

The UK economy grew by 1.7 per cent in 2017, slowing somewhat after expansion of 1.8 per cent in 2016, official figures showed.

Separate survey data, meanwhile, showed that output from Britain's manufacturing sector grew at its weakest rate in nearly a year and a half in July.

Britain is due to withdraw from the European Union next March, but the process has been plagued by stalled trade talks with Brussels.

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