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Walmart upbeat on outlook as sales global growth continues

By - Nov 15,2018 - Last updated at Nov 15,2018

A shopper is seen in the aisle of a Walmart store in Woodstock, Georgia, US, on June 28 (Reuters file photo)

WASHINGTON — Global retail giant Walmart is more upbeat about earnings for the year, despite tamping down expectations just a month ago, after posting sales growth across all its business lines and most regions on Thursday.

The company has been buffeted by investments and sell-offs as it tries to position the chain to compete in the changing and competitive retail and ecommerce sector.

"Each of our segments achieved solid sales growth," Walmart chief Doug McMillon said.

Just a month ago, the retailer trimmed its profit forecast for the year, but with improving sales and increased traffic in its stores, the company said total revenue jumped 1.4 per cent in the third quarter to $124.9 billion.

At the same time, the key metric of comparable store sales — those at existing outlets rather than new stores — rose 3.4 per cent in the US, as customer traffic rose 1.2 per cent in the three months ended October 26.

"Overall, we're encouraged by the momentum in our business and excited to be in a strong position to invest for the future as prior investments pay back," McMillon said in a statement.

The solid sales growth pushed the closely-watched earnings per share measure to $1.08 in latest quarter, beating expectations.

The company raised its estimate of fiscal year 2019 EPS by 10 cents to $4.75 to $4.85, just a few weeks after lowering the estimate following the acquisition of India's online retailer Flipkart. 

Company executives said the investment, like others in ecommerce, home grocery delivery and curbside pickup, have been key to keep the store competitive.

The chain now has 2,100 grocery pickup locations and is increasing delivery options so that "by the end of the year we'll cover about 40 per cent of the population with delivery through about 800 stores".

In addition, the chain saw sales growth "in nine of our 10 markets, including our four largest markets: Mexico, China, Canada and UK", according to the statement.

Walmex in Mexico led the way with an increase of 5.4 per cent in the quarter, while sales in China rose 2.2 per cent.

Investors seemed to be cheering the news initially, but by midday Walmart shares had retreated 2.2 per cent making it one of the biggest losers in the benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Chief financial officer Brett Biggs told reporters the US-China trade tensions with steep tariffs on $250 billion in Chinese goods is something the firm "will manage through", regardless of what happens.

‘Substantial progress’ made on massive China trade deal that excludes US

By - Nov 14,2018 - Last updated at Nov 14,2018

Leaders and representatives pose for a group photo during the 2nd Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership summit on the sidelines of the 33rd Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit in Singapore on Wednesday (AFP photo)

SINGAPORE — Substantial progress has been made on hammering out a China-backed trade deal, Singapore's leader said on Wednesday, driving ahead the world's largest commercial pact which the United States is excluded from.

World leaders gathered in the tropical city state this week for a summit where a massive Beijing-backed agreement covering half the world's population has dominated discussions.

Diplomats have been trying to nail down details as Beijing entices its neighbours to join a commercial alliance seen as an antidote to President Donald Trump's "America First" protectionist trade policy.

The US has imposed tariffs on roughly half of what it imports from China, prompting Beijing to retaliate with its own levies.

Beijing's leaders have recast themselves as the defenders of global commerce — with the United States under Trump relegated to the sidelines.

China, Japan and India are among 16 Asia-Pacific countries negotiating the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).

"Substantial progress has been made this year to advance the RCEP negotiations," Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said on Wednesday, adding talks were now "at the final stage".

"With the strong momentum generated this year, I am pleased to note that the RCEP negotiations are poised for conclusion in 2019," he added.

But he cautioned any further delays could risk "losing credibility" for a deal — which has already taken six years to negotiate. 

 

Trump absent 

 

This week's meetings are the biggest in a series of annual gatherings organised by regional bloc the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN), and are attended by 20 leaders.

RCEP was given extra impetus after US President Donald Trump pulled the US out of the rival Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) in early 2017.

That deal was spearheaded by his predecessor Barack Obama and aimed to bind fast-growing Asian powers into an American-backed order to counter China.

The TPP is still alive even without Washington — and will come into effect in December — but RCEP, if realised, will be the world's biggest trade deal.

However, the Beijing-backed pact is much less ambitious than the TPP in areas such as employment and environmental protection.

Beijing had hoped to have the meat of the deal done by the end of this year, but the timetable has now slipped to 2019. 

However, this has not stopped Chinese leaders from basking in the progress already made. 

During a meeting with Southeast Asia leaders, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said he was hopeful talks would "break through the ceiling" and take regional trade "to new heights".

Trump is not at the Singapore summit, nor will he attend a subsequent gathering of world leaders in Papua New Guinea at the end of the week, having sent Vice President Mike Pence instead.

Fears of peak iPhone rattle Asian Apple suppliers

South Korea’s Samsung Electro-Mechanics, LG Innotek fall

By - Nov 13,2018 - Last updated at Nov 13,2018

A woman checks her phone at a flagship Apple store at Iconsiam shopping mall in Bankok, Thailand, on November 9 (Reuters photo)

TAIPEI/SEOUL — Shares in Asian suppliers and assemblers for Apple Inc. fell on Tuesday after several component makers warned of weaker than expected results, leading some market watchers to call the peak for iPhones in several key markets.

Following a poor forecast earlier this month, analysts and investors voiced concern over the state of Apple's business, contributing to growing worries that iPhone sales were stagnating and could hurt suppliers.

Fresh warnings on Monday from screen maker Japan Display Inc., British chipmaker IQE Plc. and Lumentum Holdings Inc., the main supplier of the Face ID technology in the latest generation of iPhones, hurt technology stocks in Asia on Tuesday.

Taiwan-based assembler Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd. (Foxconn) dropped more than 3 per cent. Rival Pegatron Corp fell more than 5 per cent but later recouped losses. Both companies count Apple as a major customer. 

The world's largest contract chipmaker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., fell 2.6 per cent, while Flexium Interconnect Inc. was down 1.5 per cent. The Taiwan Weighted Index was down around 1.6 per cent.

"Apple's iPhone weakness has been a long-term issue for the Asia supply chain," said Arthur Liao, an analyst at Fubon Research in Taipei. 

"For Apple, the iPhone shipment has reached its peak. For tech suppliers facing the future, they have no other big client like Apple." 

The Cupertino, California-based tech giant's shares fell to their lowest level in more than three months on Monday. 

Last week, a media report saying the iPhone maker had told its smartphone assemblers to halt plans for additional production lines dedicated to its new lower-priced iPhone XR had pressured supplier stocks.

Analysts said the lack of technological breakthroughs had put a cap on demand, which would persist in the coming quarters.

"With no new technology in sight next year for the supply chain, this is not ideal for the companies involved," said Nicole Tu, a Taipei-based analyst at Yuanta Investment Consulting.

"Up through the first half of 2019 we likely won't see any breakthrough." 

Lumentum on Monday slashed its profit and revenue forecast for the current quarter, while IQE warned that current-year results would be lower. Japan Display lowered both sales and margin outlook for the year as well.

 

No confidence

 

Apple warned earlier this month that holiday sales would miss Wall Street expectations due to weakness in emerging markets including India and foreign-exchange costs.

Among other Apple suppliers in Asia, Hong Kong-based acoustic components maker AAC Technologies Holdings Inc. slumped more than 6 per cent. 

South Korean electronic parts suppliers Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co. Ltd., Apple's supplier of multi-layer ceramic capacitors, dropped more than 5 per cent, while LG Innotek Co. Ltd. plunged 9.5 per cent.

Apple said earlier this month it would stop giving the number of iPhones, iPads and Mac computers it sold in a quarter, a closely watched metric and a key indicator of the company's success.

The move led analysts to question the company's business and its share price has since dropped 12.6 per cent.

"[This] indicates that the company itself is not confident about its performance at the moment," said Park Jung-hoon, a fund manager at HDC Asset Management, which owns Samsung Electronics shares.

"Although Apple has positioned itself as a super-expensive handset maker providing high-end products, its strategy has not been working in emerging markets, including China and India as Chinese vendors have been making iPhone-like products," he said.

RJ to stop Royal Wings operations, offers solutions to employees

By - Nov 13,2018 - Last updated at Nov 13,2018

AMMAN — Royal Jordanian (RJ) said its board of directors and the board of directors of Royal Wings agreed to stop the operations of Royal Wings on November 30 this year, according to an RJ statement released on Tuesday. 

Royal Wings is an RJ-owned charter company. 

The statement said the decision was taken because of high operating costs, and subsequent losses incurred by Royal Wings over the past years. 

The task of promoting and selling the charter flights that used to be carried out by Royal Wings will now fall on Royal Jordanian's Commercial Department, the statement added. 

Negotiations are going on at this stage between RJ and two parties interested in buying Royal Wings, said the statement, adding that the process may take some time.

As for the employees working at Royal Wings, 12 of them, who had been seconded from RJ to Royal Wings, will return to work for RJ.

The other 95 Royal Wings employees were offered several flexible options, and after interviews, 18 employees were accepted to work for RJ as they met RJ’s job requirements.

The process of interviewing is still ongoing, according to the statement. 

Those who do not make it are offered voluntary release from service, which is an option that is also available to all Royal Wings employees. 

Under the terms of the release, a staff employee is given a half-month salary for each year of service, based on the employee's most recent gross salary, as per the terms and conditions of the collective contract signed recently by Royal Wings and the General Union of Air Transport and Tourism.

SoftBank unveils massive $21 billion IPO of Japan mobile unit

By - Nov 12,2018 - Last updated at Nov 12,2018

In this file photo taken on February 8, 2017, people walk past a shop of Japanese mobile provider SoftBank in Tokyo's shopping district of Ginza (AFP photo)

TOKYO — Telecoms giant SoftBank will list shares in its Japanese mobile unit next month in a sale that could raise over $21 billion and be one of the biggest tech initial public offerings (IPOs) in years.

The IPO will help raise funds for the company as it increasingly transforms into an investment firm, ploughing money into a broad range of companies and projects around the world.

The IPO will take place in Tokyo on December 19 and will offer 1.6 billion shares in the SoftBank Corp. mobile unit at 1,500 yen ($13) each.

That values the mobile unit at 7.18 trillion yen and the IPO could be Japan's biggest-ever, local media said.

The company had announced in February that it was going ahead with the IPO after media speculation about the plan.

It said then that the listing would give the mobile unit "greater managerial autonomy".

In its announcement on Monday, SoftBank said the listing would also help clarify the roles of the parent company (SBG) and its Japanese mobile unit.

"SBG is accelerating investments on a global scale, while SB is a core company to the Group's telecommunications business," the statement said.

"It is hoped that each of the two companies will be able to provide information regarding their businesses to the market with greater clarity and thereby better respond to the various needs of investors," it added.

After the listing, SoftBank will hold 63.14 per cent of the mobile unit.

Analysts at S&P Ratings said the IPO "would further underline SoftBank's transition to an investment holding company".

Under its CEO Masayoshi Son, SoftBank has transformed from its beginnings in software and is increasingly seen as an investment firm.

Using the SoftBank Vision Fund, worth an estimated $100 billion, Son has taken stakes in some of the hottest firms in the tech sector, including Uber, Slack, WeWork and Nvidia.

Nearly half the money in the fund comes from Saudi Arabia and SoftBank's close ties with Saudi Arabia have come under scrutiny in recent weeks after the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.

Earlier this month, Son condemned the killing but said he would continue to do business with Saudi Arabia.

"As horrible as this event was, we cannot turn our backs on the Saudi people as we work to help them in their continued efforts to reform and modernise their society," he said.

He made the comments shortly after the company announced its latest earnings, showing an eight-fold jump in net profit in the six months to September — mainly due to strong returns from its investment funds.

Saudi Arabia says to cut oil output as producers discuss price dip

By - Nov 11,2018 - Last updated at Nov 11,2018

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Khalid Al Falih (centre), Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak (right) and UAE's Energy Minister Suhail Mohammed Faraj Al Mazroui attend during a meeting of their Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee in the Emirati capital Abu Dhabi, on Sunday (AFP photo)

ABU DHABI — Saudi Arabia, the world's top crude exporter, said on Sunday it will cut oil output from next month, as major producers held a key meeting to discuss shoring up sliding prices.

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Khalid Al Falih said his country was cutting its supplies by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) from December. But Falih said ahead of the meeting of the Organisation of the petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC key producers that there was not yet consensus on a broader output cut.

Oil prices have shed a fifth of their value in just one month after surging to a four-year high in early October, driven by a combination of factors centred on higher supply and fears of sluggish demand.

The meeting of the joint ministerial monitoring committee in Abu Dhabi will not take decisions, ministers said, but will propose recommendations for a crucial ministerial meeting in Vienna early in December.

Among those attending were Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak, Oman's Oil Minister Mohammed Al Rumhi and the Energy Minister of host UAE Suheil Al Mazroue.

Falih told reporters ahead of the meeting that Saudi Arabia's "crude exports for December will be 500,000bpd lower than November".

The world's top oil exporter has been pumping 10.7 million bpd since October, he said.

The Saudi minister acknowledged that so far there was no fresh agreement on reducing production among OPEC and non-OPEC producers, who struck a deal in late 2016 to cut output by 1.8 million bpd to remedy an oversupply crisis.

"There is no consensus yet among oil producers about cutting production," Falih said at the gathering.

He insisted it was "premature to talk about a specific action", when asked about the possibility of an output cut.

"We have to study all the factors," Falih said. 

 

 'Surprised us' 

 

Brent crude dropped below $70 a barrel on Friday for the first time since April while the New York's West Texas Intermediate (WTI) sank below $60 a barrel, a nine-month low.

In his speech at the start of the meeting Falih said the recent sharp drop in prices has "surprised us".

He said the market sentiment has shifted from one of fearing shortages to one worried about oversupply.

He also attributed the sharp drop in prices to "microeconomic uncertainties", and signs of a build-up in crude inventories.

Mazrouei said that the goal of the OPEC and non-OPEC cooperation was to strike a balance in the market, adding that recommendations for possible action will be made to next month's ministerial conference.

The latest price slump comes as the United States has upped production of shale oil, while Saudi Arabia, Russia and others have raised supplies of crude amid signs of slowing demand.

There have also been signs of a softer-than-expected impact from US sanctions on Iranian oil exports.

"Prices have been falling amid a continued rise in crude supplies from big producers, such as Saudi Arabia, Russia and the US, more than compensating for lost Iranian barrels," Forex.com analyst Fawad Razaqzada told AFP.

"With the Iranian sanctions not being as severe as initially feared, officials from the OPEC and non-OPEC producers may discuss at the weekend the need to bring compliance back down... or risk another 2014-style slide in prices."

Producers implemented large cuts starting at the beginning of 2017 and managed to push up oil prices from below $30 a barrel to over $85 in October, strongly improving their revenues.

But the producer countries eased the output cuts in June after signs of a tighter market and higher prices, allowing hundreds of thousands of extra barrels to hit the market.

Commerzbank, Germany's second-largest lender, said on Friday oil producers must act to prevent a free fall of prices.

"If they fail to signal any intention to reverse the latest increase in production, oil prices threaten to slide further," the bank said in a note.

Oil prices, stock markets slide as dollar climbs higher

By - Nov 10,2018 - Last updated at Nov 10,2018

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday in New York City. US investor appetite was dampened by data that suggested the central bank may raise interest rates, eroding gains from a relief rally after Tuesday's midterm elections (AFP photo)

NEW YORK — Global equities sank deeper into the red on Friday following dour economic news from China while a slump in oil prices deepened.

US investor appetite was dampened by economic data that suggested the central bank may continue raising interest rates, further eroding gains from a relief rally after Tuesday's midterm elections.

Higher US energy stockpiles drove benchmark WTI crude to its longest losing streak in more than 30 years, with the tenth straight lower finish, while the dollar gained against the pound and the euro. 

In equities, Frankfurt was the lone standout posting gains, while London, New York, Paris, Tokyo and Shanghai all crumbled, but New York indices were still higher for the week.

Hong Kong lost 2.4 per cent on the day. 

Chinese wholesale inflation numbers released on Friday came in weaker than expected, possibly pointing to slackening demand, while auto sales were also lower.

Gregori Volokhine of Meeschaert Financial Services told AFP there were "clear signs" of slowing in the Chinese economy, amid the tariff battle between Washington and Beijing.

"But, while a trade war can be resolved through negotiation, an economic slowdown is a much more serious problem," he said.

"Slowing growth in China represents a risk for everyone."

Meanwhile, US wholesale inflation, also released on Friday, was hotter than forecast, diminishing chances the Federal Reserve (Fed) will slow the pace of interest rate increases.

David Madden, analyst at CMC Markets, told AFP that "rising US stockpiles, rising US production — which is now at a record-high — and talk of Iraq and Indonesia raising output next year are all factors as to why oil is lower. Ongoing concerns about China slowing down are a factor too".

Madden added that the "price needs to strike a balance, of being cheap enough to keep demand strong, and keep [US President Donald] Trump happy, but not so low that their oil revenue drops drastically".

Capital Economics meanwhile warned that as the global economy slows into 2019 the US market would take a buffeting.

"We think that the global economy will slow next year," said the consultancy, which forecast the US stock market "will fall by nearly 15 per cent in 2019". 

Shares in European energy companies tanked as oil slid back. BP shed 2 per cent, Shell gave up 1 per cent and Total lost 2.5 per cent. But US firms Exxon Mobil and Chevron were little changed.

Stock markets had enjoyed a midweek rally after traders bet that expected gridlock on Capitol Hill would prevent Congress from enacting policies that could encroach on Trump's business-friendly agenda.

But markets began to sag again on Thursday after the Fed said it expected further "gradual" interest rate increases.

S.Arabia makes $1 b bid for partnership with South Africa defence group Denel

Denel struggling to pay salaries, deliver on orders

By - Nov 08,2018 - Last updated at Nov 08,2018

A corporate logo is seen outside the Rheinmetall Denel Munition plant near Cape Town, South Africa, on Tuesday (Reuters photo)

JOHANNESBURG — Saudi Arabia has made a $1 billion bid for a broad partnership with South African state-owned defence group Denel that would include acquisition of a minority stake in a joint venture with Germany's Rheinmetall, a source familiar with the offer said.

Currently heavily dependent on imports, Saudi Arabia, the world's third-largest defence spender, is seeking partnerships to develop its own domestic defence industry with the goal of localising half of its military spending by 2030. 

Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI), the kingdom's state defence company, told Reuters last month that it was in discussions with all major South African firms and aimed to conclude the first deals by the end of this year.

According to the source, who asked not to be named due to the sensitivity of the talks, Saudi Arabia was targeting Denel's 49 per cent stake in Rheinmetall Denel Munition (RDM).

RDM is a South African-based joint venture formed in 2008 between Denel and Rheinmetall Waffe Munition GmbH, which holds the remaining 51 per cent stake. It specialises in the development, design and manufacture of medium and large-calibre ammunition including artillery shells.

A Rheinmetall spokesman declined to comment. The German government is currently reviewing all arms sales to Saudi Arabia after the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.

Industry sources said RDM operates independently and is subject to South African law, which means exports from the unit are not subject to German government oversight. The sources said they did not expect that a change in the ownership of the venture would require a German government review.

Under the Saudi offer, SAMI would also finance research and development in other Denel divisions including Denel Dynamics, which develops and produces tactical missiles and precision guided weapons. 

Denel and SAMI would share intellectual property and under a new joint venture would target defence export markets in the Middle East and North Africa.

Finally, Saudi Arabia — already a top Denel customer for military vehicles, artillery munitions and radar equipment — would purchase a certain amount of the group's production. The Saudis expect an answer from the South African authorities by the end of December.

"Saudi Arabia has made a unique business proposition to the South African government. As our discussions are not finalised yet we cannot provide any comment," SAMI CEO Andreas Schwer wrote in response to Reuters' questions.

 

‘Ripe for partnerships’

 

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa last week said Denel was "ripe for joint-venture partnerships". But he added that the government had not yet weighed the Saudi bid or proposals from what he said were a number of other suitors looking to partner with Denel.

A Denel spokesperson would not comment on any specific bid, saying that such negotiations take place on a state-to-state basis. 

Ramaphosa's spokeswoman Khusela Diko said the president would only make a decision on the Saudi offer to partner with Denel once it was discussed by Cabinet. 

"No decision has been made yet," Diko told Reuters.

The source with knowledge of the Saudi bid told Reuters that Rheinmetall informally approached Denel's board last year aiming to deepen its collaboration with the company. 

The source said Rheinmetall had, like Saudi Arabia, expressed interest in acquiring Denel's minority stake in RDM and other Denel divisions but was rebuffed.

Rheinmetall declined to comment.

Denel is grappling with an acute liquidity crunch and is struggling to pay salaries and deliver on roughly 18 billion rand ($1.29 billion) of outstanding orders. 

Following seven years of modest profits, the company said last week it had made an operating loss of 1.7 billion rand in the 2017/18 financial year.

Sector observers say finding an equity partner is essential to Denel's survival. 

However, the interest in the company from Saudi Arabia, which is accused of committing abuses in the war in Yemen and has admitted responsibility for Khashoggi's death, has spawned public debate in South Africa. 

South African Foreign Minister Lindiwe Sisulu said last month human rights would be considered in any deliberations over a potential Saudi deal.

China Telecom, local tycoon team up to win Philippine telco licence

By - Nov 07,2018 - Last updated at Nov 07,2018

A sign of 5G is pictured at the booth of China Telecom during an Internet expo at the fifth World Internet Conference in Wuzhen, Zhejiang province, China, on Wednesday (Reuters photo)

MANILA — A consortium of China Telecom and firms controlled by a Filipino tycoon was provisionally named winner of the Philippines’ third telecoms licence on Wednesday, after two rival bids were rejected and foreign players opted out.

State-controlled China Telecom joined businessman Dennis Uy — whose interests include real estate, energy, shipping and logistics — to form the consortium Mislatel and challenge existing players Globe Telecom and rival PLDT.

The third licence was offered at the behest of Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte and aims to boost the country’s notoriously patchy services and end a domestic duopoly long accused of being uncompetitive.

Duterte has made strong business ties with Beijing his top foreign policy priority and expressed a desire to have a Chinese firm in the domestic market. He even “offered” the licence to Chinese Premier Li Keqiang.

Uy’s ties to the president are well known and he was a contributor to his 2016 election campaign, hailing from Davao, the city where Duterte was mayor for 22 years.

In a statement issued moments after being declared winner, Mislatel called it a “historic opportunity to provide the best telecommunications services that Filipinos have been aspiring for”.

The Mislatel consortium includes China Telecom and two of Uy’s firms — Udenna Corporation, a holding company, and Chelsea Logistics Holdings, one of its units.

Foreign firms that had shown interest opted out, including Norway’s Telenor, South Korea’s KT Corp. and Vietnam’s Viettel. 

Foreigners were required to join a consortium due to a 40 per cent ownership cap in a local telecoms outfit, which experts say has limited competitiveness in a sector worth about $5 billion a year in revenue.

Mislatel agreed to meet the telecom regulator’s 140 billion pesos to 240 billion pesos ($2.65 billion-$4.55 billion) capital expenditure requirement over five years.

There were only two rival bids — Philippine Telegraph & Telephone Corp. and a consortium of TierOne and LCS Group — but both were rejected for being incomplete. 

Both said they would appeal.

Analysts see the Philippines and its 105 million people as a potential growth market, with its thriving $23 billion business process outsourcing sector and its underdeveloped mobile and fixed-line services, which consumer groups complain are unreliable and expensive.

Toyota first-half net profit up 16%, lifts full-year forecast

By - Nov 06,2018 - Last updated at Nov 06,2018

A woman touches Toyota’s vehicle decorated as shape of dog at its headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on February 6, 2017 (Reuters file photo)

TOKYO — Japanese car giant Toyota upgraded its full-year forecast on Tuesday, as the firm posted a 16-per cent gain in net profit for the six months to September, thanks to steady global sales and cost-cutting efforts.

The maker of the Camry sedan and Prius hybrid revised upward its net profit forecast to 2.3 trillion yen ($20.3 billion) from its earlier estimate of 2.12 trillion yen for the year to March 2019 thanks to a weak yen.

But even if the firm, which also has the Lexus luxury brand, hits this forecast, profits would still be lower than the record 2.49 trillion yen posted for the previous fiscal year.

In the April-September period, Toyota’s bottom-line profit rose 16 per cent to 1.24 trillion yen, beating a 10-per cent gain forecast by analysts.

The upbeat results boosted its shares by more than two per cent on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Senior managing officer Masayoshi Shirayanagi said in a statement the firm was “steadily making progress” in its efforts to cut costs.

Revenue for the first half increased 3.4 per cent to a record 14.7 trillion yen amid steady vehicle sales in North America, Europe, and Asia.

Toyota also revised upward its full-year sales forecast to what would be a record 29.5 trillion yen.

“Toyota is showing solid results so far in this fiscal year thanks to its cost-cutting efforts,” said Satoru Takada, an analyst at TIW, a Tokyo-based research and consulting firm.

Japanese automakers, however, remain on edge over talk of US tariffs, though immediate action by Washington has been put off for now.

“Trade rows are still hanging over the Japanese auto industry,” Takada told AFP.

“Immediate fears of extra tariffs on Japanese auto exports have been put off for now but they may revive depending upon Japan-US trade talks,” he said.

Toyota has warned the cost of an imported vehicle would rise by $6,000 if the US levies a 25-per cent tariff on cars and parts from abroad.

“We can’t yet say the risk has receded,” said Didier Leroy, Toyota executive vice president.

“There is still great uncertainty. Our goal is to be ready if it should happen,” Leroy told AFP.

In September, Donald Trump and Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced an agreement to start negotiations on a trade deal.

The two leaders also agreed that the US will not impose additional tariffs on Japanese-made cars as long as the bilateral negotiations continue.

“Japanese carmakers are also bracing for the impact of US trade disputes with other major economies,” Takada said.

Last week, Honda Motor upgraded its annual forecasts after first-half profits rose more than 19 per cent on brisk sales of motorcycles in Asia.

Japan’s third-largest automaker now expects net profit to reach 675 billion yen for the fiscal year, down from last year but a still an increase from its forecast last quarter.

Their rival Nissan Motor is scheduled to announce first-half results on Thursday.

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