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Billions wiped off travel shares after Paris attacks

By - Nov 16,2015 - Last updated at Nov 16,2015

A tourist walks past French gendarmes as they patrol in front of the Louvre Museum Pyramid as it re-opens in Paris, France, Monday (Reuters photo)

LONDON – European shares were steady on Monday, supported by gains in the energy sector that helped offset a slump in travel stocks following Friday's attacks in Paris.

Energy shares outpaced the broader market, buoyed by the prospect of higher oil prices following French air strikes against Daesh group  targets in Syria.

French shares slightly underperformed when markets reopened for the first time since the co-ordinated attacks by militants.

Around 2.5 billion euros ($2.68 billion) were wiped off the STOXX 60 Travel & Leisure index amid fears that the sector could be impacted by loss of consumer confidence.

Shares in French hotel group Accor fell 5.2 per cent, Air France fell 5.6 per cent while shares in  Eurotunnel and Aeroports de Paris, the operator of Paris' Charles de Gaulle and Orly airports, were down 3.8 per cent.

Luxury stocks were also under pressure. Hermes, LVMH and Kering, which get a large part of their sales from foreign tourists in Paris, were all down more than 1 per cent.

"Paris is one of the most important cities worldwide in terms of luxury spending and the timing is not good too — a few weeks before Christmas, the most important period for retailers," said Gregoire Laverne, fund manager at Roche Brune Asset Management.

"Those attacks will definitely have a long-term negative impact on the tourism sector in France, and all sectors [which depend] on tourists, but it cannot be measured yet although the market tends to forecast the worst case scenario."

Some highlighted France's Showroomprive.com as an outperformer in the fashion sector, up 1.5 per cent, with Internet-only retailers seen as more insulated from the drop in confidence.

"Companies that retail over the web could outperform," said Clairinvest fund manager Ion-Marc Valahu.

Outside the retail and travel sectors, European stock markets were broadly resilient, with the attacks seen as strengthening the case for the European Central Bank to provide further monetary stimulus when it meets next month.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index edged up 0.2 per cent and France's CAC was down 0.1 per cent.

Energy shares firm 

Energy stocks were the leading sectoral gainers, rising 1.8 per cent as crude oil prices edged up after France launched large-scale air strikes against Daesh in Syria.

Basic resources stocks also firmed.

KBC rose more than 3 per cent after the Belgian financial group posted a bigger-than-expected net profit, as a strong performance in its traditional banking and insurance businesses made up for a weaker showing of its dealing room.

 

Among outstanding losers, Sonova fell 7.7 per cent as the hearing aid maker cut its sales and profit forecasts after weak cochlear implant sales, sluggish business with US veterans and a squeeze on overseas earnings from the strong Swiss franc.

Saudi Arabia to privatise airports to diversify economy

By - Nov 16,2015 - Last updated at Nov 16,2015

RIYADH – Saudi Arabia's civil aviation authority has announced a plan to privatise its airports by 2020, as the kingdom looks to diversify its economy to boost non-oil income.

The initiative was set to be launched in the first quarter of 2016 with the privatisation of the capital's main international airport, said the state-owned General Authority for Civil Aviation.

In the second and third quarters of next year, the kingdom plans to privatise the aviation services sector and the information technology system, respectively, it said in a statement issued at the weekend.

All privatised airports and services will be supervised and managed by the Saudi Civil Aviation Company Holding "which will undertake the privatisation of all international, regional and domestic airports" by 2020, it said.

The oil-rich kingdom has at least three major international airports in Riyadh, Jeddah and Dammam in addition to a large number of domestic airports in most Saudi cities.

The privatisation programme was aimed at upgrading services by operating on a commercial basis and generating funds for state coffers, said the civil aviation authority.

 

Oil income, which makes up more than 90 per cent of the country's public revenues, has plummeted by more than 50 per cent due to the sharp fall of crude prices.

Capital Bank eases credit to ICT sector

By - Nov 16,2015 - Last updated at Nov 16,2015

AMMAN – Capital Bank and the ICT Association of Jordan (int@j) have signed an agreement to facilitate lending to ICT companies in the Kingdom, a statement issued by Capital Bank said Monday.

The agreement, which Capital Bank said is the first of its kind in Jordan, came after the Central Bank of Jordan issued instructions to expand medium-term financing to key economic sectors, including the ICT.

The agreement was signed by Capital Bank general manager Haytham Kamhiyah and inta@j CEO Khaled Hudhud.

Kamhiyah said credit facilities to be extended by the bank to the ICT sector and other fields such as industry, renewable energy, tourism and agriculture will be guaranteed by local agencies including the Jordan Loan Guarantee Corporation and the US Overseas Private Investment Corporation. 

Oil prices seen under pressure as Paris attacks spark demand worries

By - Nov 16,2015 - Last updated at Nov 16,2015

LONDON – Prices of oil and other commodities will come under renewed pressure on Monday on fears that Friday night's deadly attacks on Paris will further slow the global economy.

Oil is already trading near its six-year lows and healthy demand has been a major factor preventing the prices from sliding any lower amid a worsening global oil glut due to abundant supplies.

At least 129 people were killed on Friday evening in a series of coordinated attacks on Paris with Islamist militants claiming responsibility for the carnage.

"Currently sentiment is really bearish, so this could be seen as hurting demand, so oil prices could fall further," said Amrita Sen from Energy Aspects.

Sen added that a short-term sell-off could, however, be followed in the mid-term by a rally if people think events in Paris could lead to a serious escalation of tensions in the Middle East.

Analysts from Eurasia Group said the attacks will likely undermine the French government's ability to focus attention on the improving economy.

Looking at the broader financial repercussions, global stocks are set for a short-term sell-off on Monday but few strategists expect a prolonged economic impact or change in prevailing market directions.

ActivTrades chief analyst Carlo Alberto de Casa and Ed Meir, analyst at INTL FCStone, both said they expect a moderate rebound in gold prices given that equities and commodities were poised to be hit.

"People in France are in shock. They are not doing much shopping and that could last for a few days," said Olivier Jakob from Petromatrix consultancy.

"The rest of the world is not as deeply affected to change consumer behaviour," said Jakob adding that the bearish impact of Paris attacks would likely be short-lived.

"The attack could however result in a re-calibration of France's foreign policy and positioning in the Middle East," he added.

An OPEC delegate from a Gulf producing country said he also believed that in the mid-term oil prices could get some in support due to rising geopolitical tensions especially if the international community takes additional steps to reduce smuggling of oil and hits oil facilities under Islamic State's control in Syria and Iraq.

But the short-term impact could see prices remain under pressure, the OPEC delegate agreed: "Certainly any more controls — though it ensures safety of travellers — will reduce transport. Look at what happened after the September 11 attacks," he said.

He added the markets would react depending on details of how severe and prolonged any restrictions across France and the rest of Europe are.

 

ING Bank energy analyst Hamza Khan said the Western coalition could now begin targeting Daesh-run oil fields and refineries but the risk would be destruction of already perilous Syrian supplies.

Amman-based ArabiaWeather raises $7.1m to expand weather offerings to clients

By - Nov 16,2015 - Last updated at Nov 16,2015

A screenshot of ArabiaWeather website

AMMAN – ArabiaWeather Inc., a leading weather company in the Middle East, has announced a new round of funding totaling $5 million, following the $2.1 million it raised earlier this year. 

The round, one of the largest venture deals raised in the region in 2015, is led by Silicon Badia and Wamda Capital, and includes the founding investor Jabbar Internet Group and DASH Ventures.

The investment will be used to continue growing ArabiaWeather’s customer and enterprise offerings in the region, the company said in a statement e-mailed to The Jordan Times Sunday.

ArabiaWeather serves millions of customers across the Middle East and North Africa with weather forecasts, information, and content, delivered through its web and mobile properties. 

The company said it will invest in expanding the reach of its flagship mobile app, which is one of the most popular native Arab mobile applications on both iOS and Android, adding that it will also be expanding its video coverage and content, and launching new specialised mobile apps targeted at weather aficionados. 

"The company is launching a new digital monetisation unit that will allow advertisers to create smarter digital ad products which leverage ArabiaWeather’s weather and customer data," said the statement.

On the enterprise side, ArabiaWeather said it will invest in developing integrated industry-specific solutions for businesses in the Middle East as the decision-support solutions enables companies in sectors that are particularly affected by weather conditions — such as aviation, marine, oil and gas, agriculture, insurance and retail — to save costs, enhance safety and drive operational efficiency. 

“We are happy with the continued growth of our customer-focused properties, and we will continue to serve our millions of users with the most accurate and informative weather forecasts and content by enhancing our mobile offerings and expanding our original video content," said ArabiaWeather CEO Mohammed Al Shaker. 

The company plans to invest a portion of the proceeds of the round in its weather infrastructure, including expanding the deployment of its own weather stations across the region and the unique weather forecasting technology, said the statement, adding the company also has plans to utilise its 35 million strong user-base to crowd-source more accurate hyper-local weather observations.

Khaled Talhouni Managing Partner at Wamda Capital said the funding is fully dedicated to further growing the company, which has established "an exceptional track record as a premier provider of highly useful weather information in the region." 

"We believe there is a true opportunity to further build ArabiaWeather’s portfolio of decision-support weather solutions for the benefit of companies and customers in the region” he added.

ArabiaWeather Inc. is the first and considered the largest private weather company in the Middle East.  

 

Founded in 2006, ArabiaWeather is headquartered in Amman and has an office in Dubai.

Russian jet crash puts Sharm resort staff on 'unpaid leave'

By - Nov 14,2015 - Last updated at Nov 14,2015

A cafe employee sits waiting for customers at the Red Sea resort of Sharm El Sheikh on Thursday (Reuters photo)

SHARM EL SHEIKH – The Russian plane crash in Egypt has forced hotels in Sharm El Sheikh to send dozens of staff on "unpaid leave", as tourist numbers plunge, with tens of thousands of jobs at risk within months.

The October 31 crash over the Sinai Peninsula that killed all 224 people on board prompted Russia and Britain to halt flights to the Red Sea resort and to begin repatriating nationals holidaying there.

The Egyptian affiliate of the jihadist Daesh group claimed it brought down the plane minutes after it took off from Sharm El Sheikh, and there are growing suspicions this was done with a bomb.

Two weeks after the tragedy, the travel restrictions have hit hard, with resort operators in Sharm El Sheikh cutting staff to reduce costs.

"I have been told not to come from tomorrow," luxury hotel employee Ahmed said on Friday, giving only his first name.

"I'll be called if the situation improves. Nothing is clear."

Ahmed said five other employees at his hotel were also told to go on unpaid leave. 

At least four luxury hotels confirmed to AFP they have asked several employees to take leave.

Tourism employs one in nine workers in Egypt, and in Sharm El Sheikh nearly 80,000 depend on it for their livelihood. 

"The way the situation is, about 40,000 people risk losing their jobs within months," Givara El Gafy, head of the South Sinai chamber of tourism, told AFP.

Although plagued by instability since the 2011 ouster of longtime president Hosni Mubarak and a rising tide of militant attacks, Egypt's tourism had shown signs of a pick-up ahead of Christmas and the New Year.

Resort owners were even considering hiring new staff, but no longer.

"We stopped hiring new staff... and those who want to go can go," said Anwar Hawary, a manager at a five-star hotel.

 

'Blessing in disguise' 

 

For a hotel to break even, at least 30 per cent of its rooms have to be occupied, experts say. Failing that, many hotels, especially new ones, will have to close.

In a holiday spot such as Sharm El Sheikh, many foreigners are also employed in resorts and companies catering to tourists.

"Two days back I lost my job," said Oxana, a Russian who worked for an Egyptian perfume company based in Sharm.

"Sixteen of our 20-member sales team have been told to go," she said.

Oxana, 40, said her clients were Russian holidaymakers who stayed in the coastal town for weeks at a time.

With a monthly salary of about $600, Oxana said she lived comfortably in Sharm — a favourite holiday destination for millions attracted by its pristine beaches, sunny weather and dive sites. 

"I can live off my savings for two months, but if things don't improve by then, I'll have to return to Moscow," said the former rescue diver.

Chances of finding a job in Moscow are also tough because of the economic recession back home, she said. "I prefer working here... the weather is beautiful and Sharm is safe."

For some big resorts, however, the lull in business is an opportunity to renovate their properties.

"This is a blessing in disguise," the general manager of a luxury hotel chain told AFP.

"We plan to close two wings of our hotel for renovation, so that when the situation changes, we are ready."

Prospects of that happening in the near term were called into question Friday when reports from Russia said the Federal Air Transport Agency had banned EgyptAir flights to Russia from Saturday.

Moscow's Domodedovo airport told AFP they had received a telegram to that effect from Rosaviatsia, but the agency declined to comment.

Meanwhile, the British government said the country's airlines will stop repatriating tourists from Sharm El Sheikh on Tuesday, and that anyone who stays after that will have to fly back "at their own risk".

"British airlines estimate that after this date, there will be fewer than 200 of their passengers remaining in the resort," a statement said.

 

Anyone staying on "should make their own alternative arrangements for returning to the UK".

JEDCO launches the Entrepreneurial Communities Initiative in Jordan

By - Nov 14,2015 - Last updated at Nov 14,2015

AMMAN — Jordan Enterprise Development Corporation (JEDCO) on Saturday launched its Entrepreneurial Communities Initiative inspired by the European Training Foundation (ETF)’s Entrepreneurial Communities Initiative, which identifies entrepreneurial communities, learns from the participatory governance they incite, and makes their successes known.

JEDCO, along with its partners – both national and international, set out to shape a customised Entrepreneurial Communities Initiative for Jordan. 

The partners include the Ministries of Interior, Tourism and Antiquities, Environment, The Hashemite Fund for Development of Jordan Badia, Development and Employment Fund, The Jordanian Hashemite Fund for Human Development, The King Abdullah II Fund for Development, and the Jordan River Foundation, in addition to the ETF, Union for the Mediterranean, and GIZ. 

The CEO of JEDCO Hana Uraidi stated that the goal of the initiative is to enhance skills and entrepreneurship, create jobs, and promote the concept of entrepreneurship through partnerships aimed at the development of local communities.

The focus will be on practice, storytelling (vision) and added value.  It is about learning from good practices, big or small, to shape the economic future of Jordanian society. 

The initiative’s target communities are divided into five categories: practices in the governorates, practices that develop women and youth, practices concerned with conserving the environment, and practices that encourage and support tourism in Jordan.  

Investment in refugees will make Europe stronger — Draghi

By - Nov 12,2015 - Last updated at Nov 12,2015

In this November 3 photo, migrants cook food near a huge pile of rubbish inside France’s biggest refugee camp near Calais, northern France (AP photo)

BRUSSELS — Europe's economy will strengthen if countries invest in efforts to cope with the refugee crisis, the president of the European Central Bank told EU lawmakers on Thursday.

The tide of migrants, the biggest movement of people in Europe since World War II, will deeply change the social texture of the continent, but "if properly managed, if there are investments in this change, the Union and the euro area will emerge stronger in due time", Mario Draghi told the economic and monetary affairs committee of the European Parliament in Brussels.

Last week, the European Commission, the EU's executive arm, said it expected some 3 million asylum seekers to arrive in the European Union by 2017, and predicted a boost for the EU's economic output in the longer term if migrants were integrated into the workforce.

Draghi said public investments were required to deal with the crisis, but that it was "premature to say by how much governments' deficits will have to expand in order to invest in this development".

"We do not have a completed analysis on this problem. We are working on it," he told the lawmakers.

The European Commission is expected next week to release a first analysis of the cost of the crisis in affected countries in Europe, which may grant fiscal leeway to euro zone states that can prove that their public finances have been hit by the migrant crisis.

 

In his address to the committee, Draghi also praised EU leaders' efforts to deal with the crisis. "It is evident that our leaders have shown both humanity and vision in coping with this problem," he said.  

Turkish wage hike plan sets alarm bells ringing over economy

By - Nov 12,2015 - Last updated at Nov 12,2015

A student waves a national flag as thousands of students, army officers and citizens visit the mausoleum to remember the nation’s founding father Mustafa Kemal Ataturk on the 77th anniversary of his death, in Ankara, Turkey, on Tuesday (AP photo)

ISTANBUL – When Turkey's government increases the minimum wage by around 30 per cent in January it will make good on an election promise to millions of workers currently struggling to make ends meet.

But unless it introduces strong countermeasures to soften the impact of such a steep rise on an uncompetitive and inflation-ridden economy, it also risks setting itself on a collision course with domestic employers and international investors.

The hike, re-affirmed by Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu following the November 1 vote, will be the biggest since 2003 and mean higher wages for around a fifth of the 26 million-strong workforce, according to official data.

But Turkey's labour productivity already trails far behind the European average while the government struggles to convince investors it is serious about fiscal discipline.

So for some the multi-billion-dollar plan — a campaign pledge by the ruling AK Party for the parliamentary election in which it regained an outright majority — is economically unjustifiable.

"Labour productivity does not justify any major increase in salaries," said Umit Ozlale, economics professor at Istanbul's Ozyegin University.

"The increase in productivity has stayed below real wage growth for the last years and a further increase in wages will worsen the already low competitiveness of the manufacturing sector."

The wage hike would be likely to cost Turkish companies around 26.4 billion lira ($9.2 billion), or roughly 1.5 per cent of GDP at 2014 prices, he said.

Annual growth in real wages has averaged 5 per cent over the last five years, while labour productivity increased by just 1.5 per cent a year during the same period, state statistics institute data shows.

Arguing the government should pay for the new increase, some in the private sector are already warning of ballooning costs and job cuts.

"A third of sales revenue goes to wages in the tourism industry, above that level and the alarm bells will ring," said Timur Bayindir, the head of Turkey's main hotels industry association.

"If we pass wage hikes onto our prices we lose our competitiveness in the Mediterranean region. Before new wages are implemented we may see job cuts."

 

Low wages, low added value 

 

Turkey's minimum wage earners are largely concentrated in labour-intensive industries manufacturing goods with low added value for export, such as textiles and processed food and services. Manufacturing goods make up more than 90 per cent of the country's $160 billion of annual exports.

Someone on the current minimum net monthly wage of 1,000 lira ($350) costs his employer 1,496 lira, including social security contributions.

The government could help ease the added burden by lowering those contributions, said Ibrahim Caglar, chairman of the Istanbul Chamber of Commerce.

"The rise in the minimum wage will help employees and revive markets. However, a cut of three per centage points in the social security payments would help relieve employers," he said.

Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek, an advocate of fiscal discipline, has said the government might be willing to help.

"There may be some incentives... but the majority of the burden from the wage increase will be on the private sector's shoulders" he said in a television interview last week.

 

'Pure populism'

 

Economists argue that such a big increase in the minimum wage will create a negative supply shock, meaning higher costs for employers, entrenched inflation inertia and increased unemployment, which would boost unregistered labour.

"That, of course, is the last thing the economy needs, or the last thing we should be debating," said Murat Ucer, an economist at consultancy Global Source Partners. "It is pure populism and makes terrible public policy."

A senior official suggested the government's hands were tied by the election pledge, which was designed to match a similar proposal from the centre-left opposition CHP.

"The private sector is very, very angry because we're increasing their salary cost. We're trying to find a way to share the cost... but we have to be careful about budget discipline," the official told Reuters.

Many minimum wage earners have good reason to look forward to the rise.

"An extra 300 lira will mean not going to a second job at night and not working 14 hours a day," said Mustafa Gungor, who works for a private cleaning company. "I am looking forward to it, but on the other hand I also fear losing my job."

 

And the extra spending power will fade sooner than he might hope, with the wage hike almost certain to fuel annual inflation that, at around 8 per cent, is already overshooting the central bank's 5 per cent target.

Chinese envoy offers proposals to lure more tourists to Jordan

By - Nov 11,2015 - Last updated at Nov 11,2015

Economic and Social Council President Munther Shraa (left) and Chinese Ambassador to Jordan Gao Yusheng attend a session on the future of the Jordanian-Chinese economic cooperation recently (Photo courtesy of ESC)

AMMAN — Chinese Ambassador to Jordan Gao Yusheng has proposed a set of measures Jordanian policy makers can consider to lure larger numbers of tourists from this Asian country into the Kingdom, which he said is rich of historical and tourist attractions.   

The ambassador said Jordan should be reconsidering the cost of visas on Chinese tourists coming to Jordan, increasing the number of Chinese restaurants and securing translators or offering Chinese language courses to tourist guides.

Official Chinese figures show that around 119 million Chinese tourists travelled abroad in 2014; this year, 120 million are expected to make visits outside the country. 

In 2014, only 9,000 tourists came to Jordan from this Asian country, according to Ministry of Tourism figures.

The ambassador, who was speaking at a session on the future of the Jordanian-Chinese economic cooperation organised by the Economic and Social Council (ESC), said the Jordanian-Chinese University is the first joint academic institution China has ever established abroad, Chinese Ambassador to Jordan Gao Yusheng said recently, adding that the deal would never have been reached without the intensive efforts of His Majesty King Abdullah.

In an ESC statement to The Jordan Times, Yusheng was also quoted as saying that the university will begin receiving students at its temporal premises as of the beginning the next academic year until its permanent building is completed in the Jiza region on the airport highway. 

"The university will be established on a 1,000-donum land. Under the agreement, Jordan will offer the land and infrastructure while the cost will be covered by the Chinese government," the ambassador said, adding the facility will focus on technical courses to meet the labour market needs in Jordan and the region.

He also said that China owns 45 per cent of shares in the Jordan Oil Shale Company at a value of $990 million, adding that China has signed agreements worth of $1.6 billion to implement renewable energy projects in Jordan.

Yusheng also said that China will finance 50 per cent of Jordan's nuclear plant which will be implemented by a Russian firm. "Russia was supposed to cover 100 per cent of the total cost of the project under the talks between Jordan, Russia and China. As a result of Russia's current conditions, tri-lateral talks concluded that China bears 50 per cent of the cost."

Yusheng also cited Jordan's security and stability as an added value in attracting Chinese investments, especially under the China Silk Road Route.

The New Silk Road, also known as the “One Belt One Road Initiative” is China’s current foreign policy priority. Beijing has pledged to invest more than $200 billion in Silk Road projects across the globe. This includes road, rails, oil and gas pipelines, ports and other infrastructure projects.

 

For his part, ESC President Munther Shraa said that Jordan's strategic location makes it a logistic route for the international trade, also citing the Kingdom's security and stability in attracting investments.

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