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Saudi oil shipments to Egypt halted indefinitely , Egyptian officials say

Halt reflects deepening rift between the two countries

By - Nov 07,2016 - Last updated at Nov 07,2016

Egyptians gather to buy subsidised sugar and oil from a government truck, after goods shortage in retail stores across the country and after the central bank floated the pound currency, in downtown Cairo, Egypt, on Monday (Reuters photo)

CAIRO/ABU DHABI — Saudi Arabia has informed Egypt that shipments of oil products expected under a $23 billion aid deal would be halted indefinitely, suggesting a deepening rift between the Arab world's richest country and its most populous.

Saudi Arabia agreed to provide Egypt with 700,000 tonnes of refined oil products per month for five years in April, during a visit by Saudi Arabia’s King Salman Bin Abdulaziz .

The cargoes stopped arriving at the start of October, as festering political tensions burst into the open, but Egyptian officials said the contract remained valid and had appeared to hold out hope that oil would start flowing again soon.

Saudi Arabia's state oil firm Aramco has not commented on the halt. But on Monday, Egyptian Oil Minister Tarek El Molla confirmed it had halted the shipments indefinitely.

An oil ministry official told Reuters: "They did not give us a reason. They only informed the authority about halting shipments of petroleum products until further notice."

The move comes as a source in Molla's delegation said late on Sunday evening that he would visit Iran, Saudi Arabia's main political rival, to try to strike new oil deals.

Egypt and Iran's diplomatic relations have been strained since the 1970s. An Egyptian official visiting Iran would cement a break in its alliance with Saudi Arabia and mark a seismic shift in the regional political order.

The oil ministry spokesman declined to confirm or deny whether Molla was scheduled to visit Iran, saying he had gone to Abu Dhabi to attend a conference. Foreign Ministry spokesman Ahmed Abu Zeid said he had no information on the visit.

Speaking to reporters in Abu Dhabi, Molla said he was not going to Iran.

But two security sources and a source in Molla's delegation said the minister had been scheduled to go though the low-key visit was now likely to be delayed after the news became public.

Gulf Arab countries, led by Saudi Arabia, have pumped billions of dollars into Egypt's flagging economy since mid-2013, when general-turned-president Abdel Fattah Al Sisi seized power, ending a year of divisive Muslim Brotherhood rule.

But with the Brotherhood threat diminished, Gulf rulers have grown disillusioned at what they consider Sisi's inability to reform an economy that has become a black hole for aid, and his reluctance to back them on the regional stage.

Egypt has been reluctant to provide military backing for Riyadh's war against the Iranian-backed Houthi group in Yemen.

In Syria, where Saudi Arabia is a leading backer of rebels fighting against Iranian-backed Bashar Assad, Sisi has supported Russia's decision to bomb in support of the president.

 

A deal to hand over two Red Sea islands to Saudi Arabia, made at the same time as the oil aid agreement, has faced legal challenges and is now bogged down in an Egyptian court.

Gov’t urges efforts to promote national exports

By - Nov 06,2016 - Last updated at Nov 06,2016

Qudah addresses Jordan Chamber of Commerce board members in Amman on Sunday (Petra photo)

AMMAN — The government has expressed its readiness to provide financial and technical support for the setting up of a private sector-owned company to promote the country’s exports, Industry, Trade and Supply Minister Yarub Qudah said on Sunday.

At a meeting with Jordan Chamber of Commerce board members, Qudah stressed the importance of working to increase national exports and penetrate new markets. 

He urged traders to benefit from the recently adopted plan by the EU to simplify the rules of origin for made-in-Jordan products to increase exports, according to the Jordan News Agency, Petra. 

Describing the commercial sector as the driving force for economic growth, he said strong trade business attests to the presence of sound industrial and logistic activity.

As the Kingdom is facing  several challenges, in light of regional circumstances, the public and the private sectors should work together to mitigate their impact, he told the gathering, citing regressing economic indicators.   

He stressed the need for working out real solutions that can improve the economy, especially in terms of its exports and high unemployment.

Regarding the issue of companies’ oversight by more than one entity, Qudah said the government will work to unify the different monitoring agencies so that each one will be in charge of one task and a specific area. 

The chamber’s president, Nael Kabariti, underscored the importance of fostering the partnership between the public and private sectors, noting that the country’s good external ties can help it in promoting its investment opportunities.

 

He also drew attention to economy-related legislation. Laws  pertaining to taxes and customs need to be reconsidered to lead to better economic conditions, he noted.

Labour ministry supports private sector employment initiatives

It is time to foster a culture of self-employment — Ghezawi

By - Nov 05,2016 - Last updated at Nov 05,2016

Labour Minister Ali Ghezawi meets with Amman Chamber of Commerce board members in Amman on Saturday (Petra photo)

AMMAN — The Ministry of Labour wants to build up a real partnership with the private sector as part of its endeavour to improve the living standard of citizens, Minister Ali Ghezawi said on Saturday. 

Speaking at a meeting with several Amman Chamber of Trade board members, he asserted the ministry’s support of employment initiatives targeting young unemployed people and working to assist them towards starting their own small business projects, according to a statement of the chamber. 

It is time to foster a culture of self-employment and encourage young people to establish their own small projects; thus they can become business owners rather than jobseekers, Ghezawi told the attendees, also comprising Social Security Corporation Director General Nadia Rawbdeh and the ministry’s secretary general, Farouq Hadidi. 

The ministry will take the commercial sector's remarks pertaining to labour legislation into consideration, in addition to those regarding training needs, he said, underscoring the importance that the ministry attaches to training initiatives that hone young people’s skills and lead to employment.

Ghezawi urged the private sector to pay more attention and make sure that the training initiatives reach out to young unemployed people outside Amman, especially those in remote areas which lack investment projects, highlighting the importance of enrolling in vocational and technical education.

He added that the ministry will also carry out inspection tours of business enterprises and make sure that they abide by the rules and regulations on hiring the required ratio of persons with disability.

Addressing the attendees, the chamber’s president, Issa Murad, highlighted the importance of adopting new procedures for commercial entities’ inspection.

 

Murad, who is also a senator, also stressed the need to raise business entities' awareness and provide them with guidelines on occupational hazards and safety standards, in lieu of issuing warnings or fines that end up with their closure. He also emphasised the importance of briefing them on work permit conditions.

Royal Jordanian announces sponsorship of C.D. Leganés in La Liga

By - Nov 05,2016 - Last updated at Nov 05,2016

AMMAN — Royal Jordanian (RJ) announced that it is now the main sponsor and the "Official Airline Partner" of Club Deportivo Leganés for the remainder of the 2016/2017 La Liga football season that will end on May 21, 2017. 

The partnership was announced at a press conference held in Madrid on November 4 with the participation of officials from Royal Jordanian and the club. Also present was the president of La Liga, Javier Tebas.

Royal Jordanian President/CEO Captain Suleiman Obeidat said Royal Jordanian’s sponsorship of the Spanish football team will boost its visibility in the European and international markets.

“Our sponsorship will draw the global attention to Jordan and Royal Jordanian that is leading the air transportation in the Levant region,” he noted, according to an RJ statement.

C.D. Leganés will play against Real Madrid on November 6, 2016, at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium.

Deutsche Telekom mulls BT stake sale after Brexit vote

DT freezes sale of EUR 6b worth telecoms towers

By - Nov 05,2016 - Last updated at Nov 05,2016

Logo of German telecommunications giant Deutsche Telekom AG is seen on a Gigaset mobile during a news conference of Bayern Munich in Munich, Germany, on August 6 (Reuters photo)

LONDON — Deutsche Telekom is considering selling its 12 per cent stake in BT Group, two sources familiar with the matter said, paving the way for it to leave the British telecom market following Britain's vote to quit the European Union.

The German group is evaluating a potential sale of its stake, which has a market value of £4.4 billion ($5.47 billion), and will take a final decision once it has more clarity on the kind of deal Britain will strike with the EU next year, the sources said.

While there is no certainty a deal will happen, Deutsche Telekom's deliberations are one signal that foreign companies are rethinking their strategic investments in Britain in the wake of the Brexit vote.

The fall in the value of the pound and forecasts that economic growth will shrink as a result of Britain losing access to the European single market have cast a shadow over the country's attractiveness as a place for foreign companies to hold strategic investments.

Deutsche Telekom declined to comment and a spokesperson for BT Group said the British company does not comment on rumour and speculation.

Deutsche Telekom is restricted by a lock-up agreement to sell its stake in BT before August 2017 unless it agrees an off-market deal with financial investors.

The company also operates an IT and consulting business in Britain through its subsidiary T-Systems, which DT once tried to merge with BT's Global Services unit but is now rumoured to be selling.

Deutsche Telekom became BT's largest shareholder when the British telecom group bought mobile player EE for GBP 12.5 billion last year, in which France's Orange and DT had 50 per cent each.

An exit from Britain would allow Deutsche Telekom to concentrate on its larger business in the United States, which has been touted as a possible takeover target following a string of deals in the US telecoms, media and technology sector.

Freeing up capital from Britain would allow Deutsche Telekom the option to do a deal itself and remove the threat of an uninvited takeover bid.

Britain represents a relatively small part of Deutsche Telekom's value while its US operation accounts for 42 per cent of total revenue, exceeding its home market, which constitutes 32 per cent, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Analysts have identified the company's T-Mobile US business as a possible deal target in the US telecom space following AT&T's $85.4 billion acquisition of Time Warner last week. Potential bidders would include Comcast Corp., satellite-TV provider Dish Network Corp., and Mexican telecom company America Movil, they said.

"If DT wants to remain a competitive, independent player in the US, they'll need to team-up with a cable player like Sprint", said one of the sources.

Deutsche Telekom owns 65 per cent of the T-Mobile US which has a market value of $40 billion.

 

Deutsche Telekom would want to assess how much they need to spend on US spectrum and how much capital will be required to take part in sector consolidation in the United States and in Europe before making any final call on Britain, one of the sources said.

Saudi economy avoids crisis but outlook murky for deficit, growth

Foreign borrowing channel eases pressure on currency

By - Nov 03,2016 - Last updated at Nov 03,2016

A man walks past the Kingdom Centre Tower in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on April 12 (Reuters photo)

RIYADH — Saudi Arabia has avoided an economic crisis due to low oil prices this year but the outlook for state finances and growth will remain murky for many months to come, businessmen and analysts in the kingdom say.

Six months after the government launched its most radical economic reforms in decades, it has scored several victories. Drastic spending cuts seem to be reducing its budget deficit, which totalled a record 367 billion riyals ($98 billion) last year, by much more than originally planned.

A $17.5 billion sovereign bond issue last month opened an overseas borrowing channel which Riyadh can use to slow the drawdown of its foreign reserves, buying more time to adjust its economy to an era of cheap oil, and for the foreseeable future almost eliminating the risk of a currency devaluation.

The government has accomplished this without any significant political backlash. While ordinary Saudis grumble at the austerity on social media, many say they understand the need for it, and businessmen praise the authorities' decisiveness.

But big questions remain. It is not clear whether the government can continue cutting its deficit rapidly without pushing the country into recession, and many corporate executives think the worst of the economic slump is yet to come.

"Next year there will be high uncertainty, though we do not expect a huge decline," said Mazen Al Sudairi, head of research at local firm Al Istithmar Capital. "The private sector is facing a lot of challenges."

A foreign banker in Riyadh, who like many executives declined to speak publicly for fear of irritating Saudi officials, agreed the economy had escaped a fiscal and currency crisis that loomed at the start of 2016. Central bank data shows no sign of rising capital flight from the country, he noted.

"But this does not mean the basic problems are solved," he said. "Next year will be a very tough year."

 

Deficit

 

Bankers in contact with Saudi economic officials expect the 2016 budget deficit, which will be revealed when the government announces its 2017 budget plan in late December, to come in well below Riyadh's original projection of 326 billion riyals.

Sudairi predicted a deficit of 190 billion riyals; Jadwa Investment, a leading investment bank, forecasts 265 billion riyals. Such a figure would allow Riyadh to claim major progress in its effort to eliminate the deficit by 2020.

Some of the progress, though, is due not to sustainable spending cuts but to unpaid bills. The government has reduced or suspended payments that it owes to construction firms, medical establishments and even some of the foreign consultants who helped to design the economic reforms. Sudairi estimated unpaid dues for construction firms alone totalled 80 billion riyals.

This reduces Riyadh's outgoings for now but stores up obligations in the future. It also worsens the impact on the economy of state spending cuts, and has contributed to severe financial problems at some big construction firms.

Outgoing Finance Minister Ibrahim Alassaf said in mid-October that payments to construction firms would now rise — apparently a recognition of the damage that the payment delays were doing to the economy. He didn't elaborate.

Signs of the economic slump can be seen in Riyadh and other major cities, where discounts of 50 per cent or more are offered by stores selling clothes and consumer electronics, and there is a surge in people offering second-hand cars for sale. 

There used to be long waiting lists for compounds housing well-off expatriates; the lists have shrunk or disappeared, and more villas in the compounds are vacant.

The non-oil sector of the economy has shrunk from a year earlier in two of the three quarters through June, while earnings of listed Saudi companies shrank 2 per cent in the third quarter of 2016, NCB Capital calculated.

There may be worse to come. In September, the government cut allowances paid to employees the public sector, where two-thirds of Saudis work; some analysts estimated this might reduce those people's disposable incomes by 20 per cent. 

The central bank has spread some of that pain to the banking sector by telling banks to reschedule public employees' consumer and property loans.

"The public sector pay cuts were a shock. The effect will spread through the economy in the next few months," said a senior fund manager in Riyadh. "For the corporate sector, the first quarter of next year will be the worst."

The economy is expected to start recovering in the second half of 2017, he said. But several factors suggest the recovery may be slow and uncertain.

Between 1 million and 2 million of Saudi Arabia's 10 million foreign workers may leave over the next couple of years as the economic slowdown causes lay-offs and the government seeks to steer Saudi citizens into jobs previously held by foreigners, said a top executive at a big Saudi company.

That would reduce outward remittances of money, helping Saudi Arabia's balance of payments further, but it would drag on economic growth. The official unemployment rate among Saudis is likely to rise to 13 per cent next year from 11.6 per cent, a local economist said.

The planned introduction of a 5 per cent value-added tax in 2018, an important step to strengthen state finances, will also hit consumption.

The biggest uncertainty may be how authorities can push through a key part of their reform drive — fostering a vibrant private sector that does not depend on oil revenues — in the face of austerity policies that are suppressing private demand.

 

For example, the government is trying to stimulate the housing industry. But Jamil Ghaznawi, local director of real estate services firm JLL, said smaller developers — who provided 85 per cent of the stock in the market — had actually slowed their activity in the past 18 months as austerity reduced home buyers' incomes and weakened construction firms' finances.

Egypt pound slumps as central bank floats currency

By - Nov 03,2016 - Last updated at Nov 03,2016

CAIRO — Egypt's pound plunged in value on Thursday as the central bank floated the currency to address a dollar crunch that threatened to cause some imports to grind to a halt.

The dollar was trading Thursday on official markets at between 13.5 and 14 Egyptian pounds, according to several banks contacted by AFP, up sharply from the previous rate of 8.8.

The government of President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi is rolling out an austerity programme and seeking billions in support from abroad in order to meet conditions, including devaluation, for a $12 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund.

Floating the pound had long been among a list of measures demanded by investors and international creditors, but had been avoided in the fear that rising prices could provoke unrest.

Thursday's central bank decision came as a surprise, after officials said they would only consider a flotation once foreign reserves reached $25 billion, up from September's $19.6 billion.

The bank said in a statement it had moved to a "liberalised exchange rate... to create an environment for a reliable and sustainable supply of foreign currency". 

Egypt has struggled to boost its foreign currency reserves in the political and economic turmoil following the January 2011 uprising that toppled former ruler Hosni Mubarak.

The IMF welcomed the central bank's decision, saying it will "make more foreign exchange available".

The move "will improve Egypt's external competitiveness, support exports and tourism and attract foreign investment", IMF Mission Chief for Egypt Chris Jarvis said in a Thursday statement.

The flotation follows comments last week from IMF Chief Christine Lagarde claiming Egypt was undergoing a currency "crisis" and suggesting a quick devaluation to tackle a widening gap between the official and black market rates.

Egypt's EGX 30 stock index jumped more than 8 per cent after opening to 9,231 points.

On the black market this week the dollar was trading at a historic high of 18 pounds before losing value amid speculation of a devaluation.

Importers and businesses had been forced to resort to the black market for dollars, with the high prices making their businesses increasingly unfeasible.

The central bank said banks would be allowed to open until 9pm (1900 GMT) and over the weekend to make transactions.

Egypt's prime minister and Central Bank Governor were scheduled to hold a press conference on the move by 1600 GMT.

'Recovery' 

 

The bank's decision should help undercut the black market trade and ease access to dollars, said Mohamed Abu Basha, an economist with EFG Hermes investment bank.

"We should start to see money migrating from outside the banking system to the banking system," he told AFP.

"In a few months we should expect to see a start of a recovery in economic activity," he added.

Egypt's foreign currency reserves of $19.6 billion in September were 50 per cent below the level in early 2011.

Much of the money went to propping up the pound against the dollar with incremental devaluations well short of the rates offered by the black market, increasingly the only recourse for importers.

In an interview last week with Bloomberg Television, Lagarde applauded Egypt's planned reforms, including its austerity programme.

She said the IMF was ready to support the government if it took measures needed to meet loan conditions.

IMF Spokesman Gerry Rice told reporters in Washington last week that loans from Saudi Arabia and China could help Egypt gather the $5-$6 billion in additional financing required to complement the IMF lending.

Rice said Cairo had already adopted a new budget, approved a value-added tax, and developed a plan on energy subsidies.

"I think they're very close and clearly the financing is one of the aspects that they need to lock in," Lagarde said, commenting on the loans.

 

"Hopefully we'll be able to secure the IMF board approval in the next few weeks."

Egypt's sugar shortage a window on economic policy confusion

Country consumes 3 million tonnes of sugar a year but produces just over 2 million tonnes

By - Nov 02,2016 - Last updated at Nov 02,2016

Locals gather to buy subsidised sugar from a government truck after a sugar shortage in retail stores across the country in Cairo, Egypt, October 14 (Reutes photo)

 

CAIRO/ABU DHABI — Cairo grocer Bakr Atef has stopped selling sugar since authorities seized his stocks last month, accusing him of hoarding as a growing economic crisis angers Egyptians and raises fears of street protests.

"They are coming and taking any quantity they find. Even if you are selling just 10 kilos, they'll take it... if they do this again and I lose my goods, it will shut my shop," said Atef, who insists he has done nothing wrong.

Egyptians love sugar, heaping large spoonfuls into their cups of tea. It is sold in government supermarkets as part of a massive food aid programme for the poor.

But public uproar over sugar shortages has prompted the government to sweep the country, confiscating supplies from businesses it accuses of hoarding.

Sugar is the latest vital commodity to be thrown into crisis in Egypt this year. A row over regulations left the world's biggest wheat importing nation unable to obtain the supplies it needed on the global market, while a dispute over prices caused a shortage of rice despite a bumper crop.

The sugar crisis raises questions about President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi's management of the economy just as his government seeks to secure a $12 billion loan from the IMF.

More austerity is expected as a condition for the loan, on top of tax and price increases, raising fears of a repeat of the street protests that drove two of Sisi's predecessors from office. A currency crisis has cut imports and caused large areas of business to seize up.

The sugar raids came to a head when authorities briefly seized 2,000 tonnes at confectionery maker Edita, one of the largest companies listed on the Egyptian stock exchange.

But while a shortage of dollars has reduced imports generally, traders and grocers say the sugar crisis was self-inflicted — the direct result of the state's takeover of their sugar reserves and distribution network earlier this year.

Traders say that despite ample supplies in its warehouses the government is simply not getting the sugar out to the stores where ordinary Egyptians can buy it.

"The government suspects the traders of hoarding but it is actually the government that is hoarding the stocks," a Middle East sugar trader told Reuters.

Egypt consumes 3 million tonnes of sugar a year but produces just over 2 million tonnes, with the gap filled by government and private imports usually purchased between July and October.

Traders say the crisis began in August, when the supply ministry raided sugar factories nationwide and seized 250,000 tonnes — most of the reserves held by the private sector — to secure supplies for its subsidised food outlets after failing to procure its usual shipments on time.

That coincided with high prices on the international sugar market while a rapid fall in the Egyptian pound and a 20 percent import tariff to protect local producers discouraged private importers from buying in the usual quantities.

With private sector imports low and stocks under government control, prices shot up, shelves went bare, and talk of a crisis dominated local media ahead of calls for a protest on November 11 over deteriorating economic conditions.

Speaking in parliament this week, Supply Minister Mohamed Ali Meselhy said the government had responded to the crisis by increasing the amount of sugar sold at its outlets to 240,000 tonnes in October from 70,000 normally.

But merchants say this is not enough, because the government is not releasing the sugar it seized from the private sector in August and is stepping up its confiscatory raids.

Atef, the Cairo grocer, had just 350 kilogrammes at his supermarket when government inspectors took it all away.

When he produced receipts showing his sugar was obtained legally, prosecutors told him the goods would not be returned but he would be reimbursed at half the price he had paid.

Fearing further raids, merchants and retailers like Atef are no longer buying sugar, which makes the supply squeeze worse.

 

Frozen supply chain

 

Atef is at the tail end of a sugar supply chain that traders say has been badly disrupted by the intervention of a government keen to show it is protecting consumers from exploitation by self-serving merchants.

Though the government has now ramped up its own imports — buying 250,000 tonnes to meet demand for sugar sold at government outlets — the supplies seized from the private sector remain in its hands.

The supply ministry has taken on a new role controlling the sugar distribution network, allocating stocks to food producers, supermarkets, and outlets across the country, and cutting out private sector distributors.

Traders say the new system is highly inefficient and has caused more shortages.

"It's as if you are selling bottled water to all of Egypt from one warehouse — how will it go to Siwa and Aswan and Luxor?" an Egypt-based sugar trader said.

"Before there were distribution channels that functioned very well, but now the government is doing it, and it's a complete failure."

The supply ministry has blamed smuggling for the continuing shortage. It raised the price of sugar at its outlets to 7 pounds from 5 pounds per kilo to counter such activity.

The ministry has meanwhile dispatched inspectors to seize sugar it says has leaked from subsidised outlets and been re-sold at a mark-up, leaving the private market wary that any remaining stocks will be seized.

The government pressure comes despite Egypt enjoying overall stocks of about 650,000 tonnes, the second sugar trader said, or nearly enough to satisfy both private and public sector needs until the local harvest in February.

"There is enough sugar in government stocks ... enough to resolve the crisis," said Ahmed Wakil, head of one of the country's largest commodity supply companies, who has urged the government to release all seized stocks.

 

"But the current distribution system is creating the problem. If they return to the old distribution channels, this will be resolved."

Boeing, Airbus trade barbs as China competition heats up

By - Nov 02,2016 - Last updated at Nov 02,2016

This file picture taken on September 23, 2015 shows Chinese President Xi Jinping (on screen) touring a 737-800 aircraft at the Boeing assembly line in Everett, Washington (AFP photo)

 

ZHUHAI, China — Aerospace giants Boeing and Airbus took potshots at one another at the Zhuhai Air Show, as the US and European rivals seek to capture more of China’s booming aircraft market.

China is one of the Western manufacturers’ key battlegrounds, with its travellers taking to the skies in ever-growing numbers.

The country’s airlines will need nearly 6,000 new planes worth $945 billion over the next two decades, Airbus said in its 2016-2035 Global Market Forecast. 

Boeing’s expectations are even more optimistic, for 6,800 aircraft costing $1 trillion.

To win favour locally both have built partnerships with Chinese firms.

Airbus has a completion and delivery centre in Tianjin, where workers install furnishings and apply paint to aircraft for the domestic market. It also buys parts such as exit doors, brake blades and wing sections from Chinese suppliers.

Boeing is planning to open a facility with the state-owned Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China (COMAC) to paint and install cabins for 737-model planes, the Chinese firm said.

Eric Chen, the president of Airbus China, dismissed the Seattle firm’s plan as “close to one generation” behind his own firm, saying it was following Airbus’ strategy “with a lot of reluctance”.

“I got two impressions,” he said at a briefing at the China Airshow in Zhuhai, the industry’s biggest event in the country. “First one, the decision we made 10 years ago was right. The second impression is that we are well in advance of our competitor.”

Darren Hulst, the managing director for Northeast Asia marketing at Boeing, earlier told reporters that the Airbus A350 fell short of the 787 widebody plane in range, capacity, carbon emissions, window size and aerodynamics.

“The 787 is capable and has technology and features built into it that are not available on the A350, which was obviously introduced later into the market,” he said.

He added the company had 14 China deliveries of 787-9s in 2016 and had secured orders and commitments for 46 more.

 

Future rivals 

 

While the two megafirms see a sunny future in China, homegrown competitors backed by Beijing aim to beat them at home — and ultimately abroad. 

Chinese authorities have urged companies to acquire technology and skills in a range of high-value sectors including aerospace in the “Made in China 2025” plan.

At the same time as it is working with both Boeing and Airbus, COMAC is developing single-aisle jets to compete with them. Its C919 narrow-body is going up against the Boeing 737 and Airbus A320 in the 160-seat segment, which the Chinese company predicts will have more than 17,000 deliveries over the next 20 years.

In Zhuhai COMAC announced that state-owned China Eastern Airlines had committed to buy 20 C919s.

In the summer COMAC’s regional jet, the 90-seat ARJ21, flew its first commercial flight after years of delays.

Boeing, Airbus and Canadian regional builder Bombardier all played down the threat of Chinese competition.

But the business climate has darkened for US and European firms in the country, with the American Chamber of Commerce in China reporting this year that more than three-quarters of survey respondents felt “less welcome” there.

Pessimism among European companies hit an all-time high in the summer, according to a European Chamber of Commerce in China report on the “increasingly hostile” business climate. 

Chinese-built planes are sure to secure market share in the country, Eric Lin, Hong Kong-based director of Asia transport research with UBS Securities, told AFP.

In the short term, he added, foreign firms have little to fear from Chinese rivals in the developed countries that are their home market.

“But after 10 years, it’s hard to say,” he noted.

China has a history of adapting foreign technology with remarkable swiftness, turning from a buyer of Russian military aircraft to a producer of advanced stealth jets in 20 years. Its high-speed rail and clean energy industries went from collaborators to competitors faster than global rivals anticipated.

Like all foreign firms with valuable intellectual property operating in China, the aerospace giants understand the risks of training their future rivals, said Christopher Balding, professor of economics at Peking University’s HSBC Business School.

But they are stuck between a rock and a hard place, he added, because shareholders want them to fight for Chinese market share.

 

“Even if they don’t come to China, there’s a good chance that if they are doing anything innovative it’s going to get stolen anyway, so the only thing they are doing is harming their revenue.”

Saudi Aramco CEO predicts oil market balance by early 2017

By - Nov 01,2016 - Last updated at Nov 01,2016

Saudi and foreign experts and businesspeople attend the Energy Dialogue 2016 held at the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Centre in Riyadh, on Tuesday (AFP photo)

RIYADH — The global oil market should be balanced early next year, the president of Saudi Aramco said on Tuesday, after over-supply drove prices to multi-year lows in 2016.

“The gap between supply and demand is closing,” Amin Nasser told an international energy forum. He said the state oil company’s analysis sees the market “balanced by the first half of 2017”.

Last week, the chief of the International Energy Agency (IEA) said the market would rebalance earlier than expected if major crude producers implement a deal to cap output when they meet next month.

Under current conditions, the IEA expects global output to exceed demand until the second half of 2017, Fatih Birol said in Singapore.

But he said that if OPEC and non-OPEC producers intervene in the markets, “this rebalance can be earlier than the second half of 2017”.

In a surprise move, members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries led by Saudi Arabia agreed in September on a deal to trim production.

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s President Muhammadu Buhari met on Tuesday  with leaders from the Niger Delta and representatives of militant groups who have been attacking oil facilities in the region.

This is Buhari’s first meeting with Delta leaders since militants started a wave of attacks on oil pipelines earlier this year to get a greater share of oil revenues.

The attacks in Nigeria, an OPEC member, put four key export streams under force majeure, and led production to plunge to just 1.37 million barrels per day in May. 

 

This has been the lowest level since July 1988, according to the International Energy Agency, from 2.2 million barrels in January 2016.

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