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IMF secures loans from members to bolster lending

By - Mar 31,2020 - Last updated at Mar 31,2020

An exterior view of the building of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is seen on March 27, 2020 in Washington, DC. (AFP photo)

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday its members have agreed to renew arrangements ensuring the fund has lending firepower, especially as the coronavirus pandemic creates a demand for financing.

 

      "This action is part of a broader package on IMF resources and governance reform that will help maintain the IMF's lending capacity of $1 trillion," the fund said in a statement.

 

      The executive board of the Washington-based development lender on Monday approved the bilateral borrowing arrangements to take effect on January 1, 2021, just after the current round expire, which will be in place for three years but can be extended through the end of 2024.

 

      The arrangements currently in place provide $450 billion from 40 countries, and add to the IMF's other resources including usual quotas provided by each member, as well as financing under the New Arrangements to Borrow which will be doubled to just over $500 billion.

 

      IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva last week said the global economy already has entered recession due to the sudden stop in activity caused by the pandemic and more than 80 countries, mostly of low incomes, have requested emergency aid.

 

      Emerging markets, which have suffered an exodus of capital of more than $83 billion in recent weeks, face financing needs of $2.5 trillion, which will require some outside assistance, she said.

Huawei posts strong growth but warns 'most difficult year' ahead

By - Mar 31,2020 - Last updated at Mar 31,2020

Attendees visiting a Huawei exhibition stand during the Consumer Electronics Expo in Beijing on August 2, 2019 (AFP photo)

SHANGHAI — Huawei said on Tuesday it had sustained solid growth in its global businesses in 2019 despite a US campaign to isolate the Chinese tech giant, but warned of its "most difficult year" ahead.

 

      The stark warning came as a result of stringent US sanctions, with their impact worsened by the fallout from the deadly coronavirus pandemic.

 

      Huawei — the world's top supplier of telecom networking equipment and number-two smartphone maker behind Samsung — said group revenue expanded 19.1 per cent last year to 858 billion yuan ($120 billion), a nearly identical growth rate to that seen in 2018.

 

      Net profit last year, however, grew 5.6 per cent, compared with 25 per cent in 2018, as a result of the US sanctions.

 

      Eric Xu, the firm's rotating chairman, said: "After Huawei was added to the US entity list on May 16... we had to step up investment in research and development to fix the gaps."

 

      "All of a sudden, a large number of suppliers could not supply to us, and we had to rebuild our supply chain," he told a press conference Tuesday.

 

      "Under such circumstances, it was impossible for us to continue maintaining as high a growth rate in our net profit as in 2017 and 2018."

 

      But he noted the company turned in a strong performance "despite enormous outside pressure".

 

      He warned, however, that 2020 would be Huawei's "most difficult year", given that it would be subject to entity-listing for the full year.

 

      While the firm had substantial stockpiles to respond to customer needs last year, these are running low and 2020 would be a "test of Huawei's supply continuity programme".

 

      On top of that, the company has to grapple with the coronavirus pandemic, which has brought about global economic decline, financial turmoil and slowing market demand, Xu said.

 

      He added it would be tough to make a forecast on the company's full-year outlook for now.

 

     

 

       $10 billion hit

     

 

      Huawei has been under relentless pressure from the Washington, which has lobbied allies worldwide to avoid the company's telecom gear over security concerns, in the shadow of a wider US-China trade conflict.

 

      Washington last year said it would blacklist Huawei from the US market and from buying crucial American components, though it has extended a series of reprieves to allow US businesses time to adjust.

 

      The US blacklisting could prevent Huawei from getting hold of key hardware and software including smartphone chips, and exclude it from the Google Android operating system, which equips the vast majority of smartphones in the world.

 

      The company has already seen a hit to consumer business revenue outside of China, which Xu said amounted to at least $10 billion.

 

      Asked about reports that the White House could impose new restrictions on Huawei, Xu said he believed the Chinese government would not "allow Huawei to be slaughtered by others or stand by without helping".

 

      If China retaliated, opening a "Pandora's box", this would unleash a devastating chain of destruction on the global industry chain, he warned.

 

      Huawei, based in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen, shipped more than 240 million smartphones, up 16 per cent, last year.

 

      Overall, Huawei's consumer-segment revenue grew 34 per cent last year.

 

      The US has expressed suspicions that Huawei equipment could contain security loopholes that allow China to spy on global communications traffic.

 

      But the company has repeatedly denied the accusation, saying Washington has never provided any evidence of the claim.

 

      Last month, US lawmakers passed legislation offering $1 billion to help telecom carriers "rip and replace" equipment from Huawei and fellow Chinese tech firm ZTE.

 

      Huawei last week unveiled its flagship P40 smartphone, which uses no Android apps.

 

      It is progressively eliminating Google software from its phones after having shipped its first Google-free model last year.

 

      The company now faces the challenge of creating an alternative mobile phone ecosystem, which tech analysts say will be extremely difficult given the worldwide dominance of Android and Apple's iOS.

Stocks, oil prices slide on shattered demand

By - Mar 30,2020 - Last updated at Mar 30,2020

People are reflected in a window showing a drop in share price numbers on the Tokyo Stock Exchange on March 30, 2020, in Tokyo (AFP photo)

LONDON — World stock markets mostly tumbled and oil prices plunged on Monday despite fresh Chinese and Australian stimulus to shore up an economy shattered by the coronavirus fallout.

 

      Australia was out on its own -- its stock market surging 7.0 per cent as the country's virus infections slowed, while after the close of trade in Sydney the government unveiled an income-support plan worth US$80 billion.

 

      Crude oil meanwhile struck the lowest levels in more than 17 years on Monday, with Brent North Sea tumbling to $22.58 per barrel at one point.

 

      "Estimates for the (oil) demand side are being revised downwards on an almost daily basis, while on the supply side there is still no sign of any reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Russia" regarding their price war, Commerzbank said in a client note.

 

      There are warnings that oil could sink even further as storage tanks around the world approach full capacity.

 

      Elsewhere on Monday, the dollar climbed across the board, while Asian stock markets mostly fell following Friday's steep drop on Wall Street and Europe.

 

      Jubilation over last week's enormous US stimulus package has largely faded, with investors returning their attention to the soaring infection and death rate figures of the coronavirus.

 

      US President Donald Trump on Friday signed off Washington's stimulus measures worth more than $2 trillion.

 

      While the disease ravages populations and the global economy grinds to a halt with 40 per cent of the planet in lockdown, experts are struggling to get a grip on the scale of the crisis that is forecast to cause a worldwide recession.

 

      Analysts say there are likely more dark days ahead, with Trump abandoning his timetable for life returning to normal in the United States and extending emergency restrictions for another month.

 

      The president said he expected the country to "be well on our way to recovery" by June 1 -- dropping his previous target of mid-April.

 

      Meanwhile, senior US scientist Anthony Fauci issued a tentative prediction that COVID-19 could claim up to 200,000 lives in the US.

 

      Governments and central banks have acted to shore up the global economy, pledging around $5 trillion in stimulus support, with China on Monday joining the party by lowering bank borrowing costs and pumping billions of dollars into financial markets, while Singapore also eased rates.

 

      AxiCorp's Stephen Innes said markets looked like they were "nearing policy fatigue where it becomes less effective, and as the surprise element diminishes, no one cares".

 

      "So, while policy responses in the US and Europe have been spectacular... the coronavirus keeps spreading globally, deepening fears of the economic and financial impact across countries. More market turmoil likely lies ahead."

 

      He also pointed out that with the corporate reporting season approaching "now we are about to enter a vortex of bad earnings, bad economic data, and bankruptcies".

 

      Measures to contain the coronavirus outbreak will slash German 2020 economic output before a rebound next year, a panel of economists who advise the government said Monday.

 

      "The big question for markets is whether the huge stimulus introduced so far across the globe will be enough to help the global economy withstand the economic shock from the COVID-19 containment measures," said National Australia Bank's Rodrigo Catril.

 

      "To answer this question one needs to know the magnitude of the containment measures and for how long they will be implemented. This is the big unknown and it suggests markets are likely to remain volatile until this uncertainty is resolved."     

Saudi Arabia to raise oil exports to record levels as price war rages

By - Mar 30,2020 - Last updated at Mar 30,2020

A general view of Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq oil processing plant on September 20, 2019 (AFP photo)

RIYADH — Saudi Arabia said on Monday it will raise its oil exports to a record 10.6 million barrels per day starting from May, escalating a price war with Russia.

 

      Oil prices are languishing at 17-year lows as the coronavirus pandemic threatens a global recession that will send demand plummeting.

 

      Saudi Arabia, the world's top oil exporter, which already announced a sharp production increase for April, said it will add additional supplies to the global market, deepening a glut.

 

      "The kingdom plans to raise its petroleum exports by 600,000 bpd from May, so total exports will increase to 10.6 million bpd," said an official at the energy ministry, cited by the state-run SPA agency.

 

      Saudi Arabia had been exporting around 7.0 million bpd under an output reduction agreement among a 24-member producers' alliance known as OPEC+ which included Russia.

 

      Its Gulf neighbour UAE has also pledged to pump at least one million bpd more from next month.

 

      Riyadh said earlier this month it was raising exports to 10 million bpd in April after a production cut agreement among top producers flopped in early March.

 

      OPEC+ failed to reach an agreement on further production cuts to shore up sagging prices as the coronavirus hit the global economy hard.

 

      In an effort to grab market share, Saudi Arabia immediately announced a substantial increase in its production to 12.3 million bpd and exports to 10 million bpd at the beginning of April.

 

      The energy ministry said it will secure the increase from two sources, by using natural gas in the domestic market to free up oil for export and also as domestic consumption drops because of the coronavirus.

 

      The price of oil struck its lowest levels in more than 17 years on Monday, with Brent North Sea crude tumbling to $22.58 per barrel at one point.

 

      There are warnings that oil could sink even further as storage tanks around the world approach full capacity.

 

     

Lebanon banks halt dollar withdrawals after virus closes airport

By - Mar 30,2020 - Last updated at Mar 30,2020

People shop for fruits and vegetables at a market in the Lebanese port city of Tripoli amid the outbreak of COVID19 on March 30, 2020 (AFP photo)

BEIRUT — Banks in cash-strapped Lebanon have suspended dollar withdrawals until the airport reopens, a banking source said on Monday, after authorities grounded flights to halt the spread of the novel coronavirus.

 

      The country's international airport in Beirut has been closed for almost two weeks as part of measures to stem COVID-19 in Lebanon, where 446 official cases and 11 deaths have been reported.

 

      The flight hub is to remain closed until at least April 12, a date until which all non-essential workers have been told to remain at home across the country.

 

      A member of the Lebanese banking association, who asked to remain anonymous, said all dollar withdrawals would be halted "pending the airport reopening".

 

      "Dollars are imported and this is no longer possible because of the coronavirus," the source told AFP.

 

      "Dollar importers have suspended work."

 

      On Monday, long queues formed outside several banks north of the capital as monthly salaries came through after two weeks of ongoing home confinement, an AFP photographer said.

 

      A least two banks told clients that dollar withdrawals had been halted.

 

      Coronavirus is the latest crisis to hit Lebanon, already reeling from mass anti-government protests and in the grips of the worst economic crunch since its 1975-1990 civil war.

 

      For decades, the Lebanese pound has been used interchangeably with the dollar at a fixed exchange rate of 1,507 pounds to the greenback.

 

      But a liquidity crisis had seen banks gradually restrict access to dollars and halt transfers abroad since the autumn, leading the value of the Lebanese pound to plummet on the black market.

 

      On Monday, however, the banking association agreed to allow dollar transfers to Lebanese students abroad to help them face the coronavirus pandemic, the finance ministry said in a statement.

 

      A dollar is now worth more than 2,700 pounds on the black market and prices have shot up in recent months, but the banks have maintained the old exchange rate.

 

      Those with dollar accounts are frustrated at their inability to take out most of their cash to exchange it at a better rate from unofficial money changers, with some banks before Monday already capping withdrawals at as low as $400 a month.

 

      Lebanese banks stand accused of transferring millions of dollars abroad while preventing others from doing so after the start of mass protests against the political elite last October.

 

     

Olympics delay a blow for virus-hit Tokyo hotels

By - Mar 29,2020 - Last updated at Mar 29,2020

People look out from a highrise viewing area at the newly-built Japan National Stadium, the main venue for the 2020 Olympic Games in Tokyo, a day after the historic decision was made to postpone them (AFP photo)

Tokyo —  The shock postponement of the Tokyo 2020 Olympics has dealt a savage blow to Japan's hotels and tourism industry.

 

      Many operators have seen bookings decimated due to the novel coronavirus and had been clinging to the hope that the Games would help them claw back this year's losses.

 

      "This is an enormous shock for us, with sales in many of our member hotels already down by half because of plunging demand for tourism, not only from abroad but also inside Japan due to the coronavirus," said Shigemi Sudo, secretary general of the Tokyo Hotels and Ryokans Association.

 

      "Many rooms are going to be cancelled, and it will be difficult to fill those empty rooms with new customers given the situation," he said.

 

      The delay, which came after weeks of Olympic organisers and officials insisting the sporting extravaganza would go ahead despite the soaring number of virus infections globally, leaves the industry in limbo as they wait for a new date to be set for 2021.

 

      Like the rest of the world, Japan's hotel industry has been devastated by the spread of the coronavirus with bookings down by as much as 90 per cent year-on-year in the March-April period, according to a survey by the Japan Tourism Agency.

 

      The agency is fielding calls from struggling businesses across the country.

 

      "The most frequent consultation requests we've received are about cash-flow difficulties and maintaining employment," an official told AFP.

 

      Keio Plaza Hotel in Tokyo's busy Shinjuku district -- home to the victorious Springboks during the Rugby World Cup -- said it began receiving cancellation calls shortly after the delay was announced.

 

      Its woes are compounded by the fact that a part-time worker at the hotel contracted the virus, forcing a deep clean of the vast building in one of Tokyo's busiest districts.

 

      "We hope to play a role (in hosting visitors for the postponed Olympics), but there's nothing we can say now," a hotel spokeswoman said.

 

      The Imperial Hotel in central Tokyo had been block-booked by Tokyo 2020 organisers for the original dates of the Games, which were due to open on July 24, and said it was now waiting for guidance.

 

      Even before the postponement it had been struggling with the "grave impact" of a downturn in tourism because of the pandemic, and had slashed its net profit forecast for the fiscal year ending this month by 37 per cent.

 

      For hotel chains such as Via Inn, the situation has caused unprecedented conundrums in recouping losses and filling hotel rooms.

 

      "Normally we'd be able to collect cancellation fees, but in this case it isn't the fault of our customers, so we can't request that," a spokesman told AFP.

 

      "I don't know if we can negotiate with Olympic officials about compensation or not."

 

     

 

      - 'No one to blame' -

     

 

      Just months ago, JTB, one of Japan's largest tour agencies, was selling Olympic packages bundling trips to Tokyo with tickets. Now they too are in a holding pattern, waiting for guidance.

 

      Tokyo Olympic organisers are aware of the gargantuan task ahead of them, and the many businesses and individuals waiting on their decisions.

 

      "I think we are racing against time," Tokyo 2020 chief executive Toshiro Muto said Thursday at the first meeting of a taskforce convened to organise the rescheduling.

 

      Olympic officials themselves will face a headache rebooking rooms and halls for next year. A decision on the new dates is reportedly expected in the next three weeks.

 

      "Generally speaking, reservations for event halls -- for example for wedding parties -- start six months to 12 months before," the Via Inn spokesman warned.

 

      But for all the hardship, there is one silver lining -- the prospect of at least recovering some losses when the rescheduled Games go ahead.

 

      "There is no one to blame, and we think the postponement is a better decision than cancellation," said Sudo of the Tokyo Hotels and Ryokans Association.

   

 

     

  

Stock markets retreat as nervous investors pocket week's gains

By - Mar 29,2020 - Last updated at Mar 29,2020

Pedestrians walk past a quotation board displaying the share price numbers on the Tokyo Stock Exchange in Tokyo, on Friday (AFP photo)

NEW YORK — Stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic retreated on Friday as investors banked profits from the week's rally sparked by massive government and central bank action to protect economies from the coronavirus.

"Today's sell off is most probably a consequence of three days of strong gains and a paring of risk ahead of the weekend," said Michael Hewson at CMC Markets UK.

He said it was "a welcome sight to see European stocks finish the week higher for the first time since mid-February, offering a welcome respite to some pretty battered portfolios."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 4.1 per cent, or 915 points, to finish at 21,636.78, but leaving the index with its biggest weekly gain since 1931.

Oil markets saw another dismal day under the twin impact of the pandemic and an ongoing price war, with European benchmark Brent crude plumbing lows last seen in 2003.

"European markets have pulled back... with caution being the order of the day after such a good rally," said Neil Wilson, chief market analyst at trading group Markets.com.

"Stimulus efforts have calmed markets" this week, Wilson said.

Earlier, Asian stock markets had mostly managed to record more gains.

 

Unprecedented stimulus

Support this week has come largely from a $2-plus-trillion US rescue package was signed into law on Friday by President Donald Trump

The bill will pump $100 billion into hospitals and health facilities in critical need of medical gear like personal protective equipment and ventilators, create a $500 billion loan reserve for large corporations including airlines and provide $377 billion in grants to suffering small businesses.

The legislation is a welcome reprieve, and includes cash payouts to most Americans and a huge expansion of unemployment benefits. But economists warn of a tough road ahead.

"It is clear that we have entered a recession" that will be worse than the aftermath of the global financial crisis in 2009, said IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva.

US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Friday pledged to quickly send out direct cash transfers, saying, "Americans need that money now."

But there remains doubt about whether that can happen in the three weeks he has set as the timeframe.

"The success of a massive stimulus package... will depend on how quickly the aid can get to beleaguered consumers and businesses -- a huge challenge for federal and state agencies that aren't built to move quickly," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities.

Hogan noted that the number of coronavirus cases in the United States is "exploding," and that economic data will be "horrendous" in the upcoming period. 

Brent oil dives over 7% to lowest since 2003

By - Mar 28,2020 - Last updated at Mar 28,2020

The photo shows a pumpjack from California-based energy Company Signal Hill Petroleum on October 21, 2019 (AFP photo)

LONDON — Oil prices slumped anew on Friday with Brent North Sea crude plumbing a 17-year low owing to massive oversupply as the coronavirus crisis paralyses global demand.

Around 14:35 GMT, Brent for May delivery was down 7.33 per cent from Thursday, at $24.41 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate fell 5.97 per cent to $21.25. 

Oil has tanked in recent weeks on the back of collapsing demand, as COVID-19 slams the brakes on economic activity and the world's appetite for energy.

Crude futures spiralled even lower this month after a fierce price war erupted between Riyadh and Moscow.

"The coronavirus pandemic is reducing oil demand," wrote analysts at the Wood Mackenzie research consultancy in a note to clients.

"The OPEC+ production restraint agreement fell apart on 6 March and Saudi Arabia is rapidly increasing supply.

"The result: Brent crude has plunged," they added.

Until recently, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russia had cooperated closely since 2016 to curb production, support prices and protect their precious revenues.

That all changed this month when Saudi Arabia launched a price war with Moscow, after OPEC and non-member Russia failed to clinch an output-cutting deal to curb the market impact of the deadly COVID-19 outbreak.

The perfect storm has sent oil prices collapsing to their lowest levels in almost two decades, while also stretching global crude storage capacity.

"With Saudi Arabia attempting to flood the oil market by ramping up production to counter Russia, oil prices have halved this month ... prompting countries to stockpile under the low prices," said Sun Global Investments head Mihir Kapadia.

"Oil stockpiles around the world climbed up as major refineries in core markets such as China were shutdown due to the pandemic. 

"According to industry reports oil storage levels globally have already reached 75 per cent of capacity, and continued stockpiling under closed demand would crash the prices to $10 in the coming months unless industrial activity restarts."

US stocks brush aside record unemployment surge

By - Mar 26,2020 - Last updated at Mar 26,2020

Pedestrians are reflected in a window displaying a quotation board of numbers on the Tokyo stock Exchange in Tokyo on Thursday (AFP photo)

LONDON — US stocks shot higher at the opening bell on Thursday, brushing aside a record surge in unemployment benefit claims, as a massive stimulus plan advanced.

Meanwhile, European and leading Asian stock markets were back in the red as investors there once again focused on the devastating economic fallout the coronavirus pandemic is expected to wreak.

In one of the latest indications of that impact, the US Labor Department said first time unemployment claims soared to 3.3 million last week — the highest number ever recorded.

That compares to 281,000 first-time filers in the prior week and blows away the previous record of 695,000 set in October 1982.

"The key takeaway from the report is that it underscores for everyone how much worse the current economic situation is than anything else experienced in this modern age," said market analyst Patrick O'Hare at Briefing.com.

"In a counterintuitive way, then, this jarring initial claims report could be the headline that was needed to ensure the House moves just as quickly as it can to pass the fiscal stimulus bill," he said.

 The House of Representatives is expected to vote on an unprecedented $2-trillion stimulus package as early as Friday. The dollar was down sharply against its main rivals.

In Europe, stocks were lower.   In afternoon trading, London shares were down 1.8 per cent, while Frankfurt slid 1.7 per cent and Paris 1.6 per cent.

In Asia on Thursday, Tokyo's main stocks index ended down 4.5 per cent after surging by almost one fifth over the previous three days, while Hong Kong shed 0.7 per cent and Shanghai eased 0.6 per cent.  Singapore lost more than one per cent.

Britain, eurozone face 2.0% recession this year: S&P

By - Mar 26,2020 - Last updated at Mar 26,2020

A woman passes Canary Wharf as runs in Greenwich Park on, on March, 23, Monday as governments scramble to protect their economies (AFP photo)

PARIS — The coronavirus pandemic will push Britain and the euro area into recession this year, with their economies expected to shrink by as much as two per cent, the international ratings agency S&P Global warned on Thursday.

"The eurozone and UK are facing recessions. We now expect GDP (gross domestic product) to fall around 2.0 per cent this year due to economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic," it wrote in a report.

The spread of COVID-19 has forced three billion people around the world into lockdown and economists say the restrictions could cause the most violent recession in recent history.

Central banks and governments have rolled out a wave of unprecedentedly large fiscal and monetary policy packages to shore up their economies.

To prevent a credit crunch, central banks have injected liquidity and cut rates to lower banks' refinancing costs and have implemented large asset purchase programmes.

S&P said a two-per cent recession for Britain and the eurozone would amount to a loss in real GDP of about 420 billion euros ($460 billion) in 2020, compared with its previous forecast from November 2019.

"We expect a gradual rebound of at least 3.0 per cent in 2021," the agency said.

S&P said that "swift and bold policy responses taken now are key to avoiding permanent losses to GDP later."

  Downside risks

"Risks are still to the downside, as the pandemic might last longer and be more widespread than we currently envisage. For example, we estimate a lockdown of four months could lower eurozone GDP by up to 10 per cent this year," it said.

Looking at individual countries, S&P is pencilling in economic contraction of 2.6 per cent for Italy, the hardest-hit country by the pandemic, and Spain's economy is expected to shrink by 2.1 per cent.

The agency is forecasting a 1.9-per cent contraction in GDP for both Germany and Britain and 1.7 per cent for France.

In Paris, the national statistics office Insee said the confinement measures imposed in France so far had cut economic activity by about 35 per cent, but that it was still too early to provide a firm estimate on French economic growth in the coming months.

 

On Wednesday, another ratings agency, Moody's, had forecast that the world's 20 most industrialised countries would likely suffer a recession this year because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

It estimated that the G-20's overall GDP would contract by 0.5 per cent, with the US economy shrinking by 2 per cent and the eurozone by 2.2 per cent.

China, however, despite suffering an outbreak of the novel coronavirus before everyone else, could see economic activity expand by 3.3 per cent, a level that is nonetheless well below average for the world's second biggest economy.

G-20 leaders were scheduled to hold an online summit Thursday after criticism the group has been slow to address the crisis.

Banking woes

Separately, Moody's said it was downgrading its outlook for the banking sectors of six European countries in the light of the economic fallout from COVID-19.

Moody's said that it had cut the outlook for banks in France, Italy, Spain, Denmark, the Netherlands and Belgium from "stable" to "negative".

And it was also maintaining its "negative" outlook for the banking sectors of Germany and Britain.

Only in Switzerland and in Sweden was the outlook "stable", Moody's said.

"The changes reflect Moody's expectation that the spread of the coronavirus in Europe, which has resulted in widespread business closures and restrictions on social interactions, will hit economic activity this year," it said.

"Within this environment, banks' problem loans will increase, while higher loan loss provisions will reduce banks' profitability, which is already low compared to global peers."

Nonetheless, "in most banking systems, liquidity is strong and capital buffers are substantial, providing a solid base to absorb unexpected losses," Moody's noted.

 

 

     

 

     

 

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