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Americans have more debt, need family help to buy homes — report

By - Nov 09,2019 - Last updated at Nov 09,2019

WASHINGTON — Americans are waiting longer to buy their first homes, have more debt and more often need family help to make the purchase amid a supply crunch that is pushing up prices, according to a new data released on Friday.

But African Americans and Hispanics continue to make up a very small share of homebuyers in the United States, far below their share of the population, according to National Association of Realtors (NAR) report.

While low interest rates have made mortgages more accessible, and historically low unemployment means more Americans have a steady paycheck, the influx of buyers combined with a shortage of workers means homebuilders have not been able to keep up with demand.

The report shows the median sales price in September was up to $272,100 compared to $259,300 for all of 2018 and $197,100 five years earlier.

NAR has long highlighted the shortage of homes on the market but the report puts the implications of that problem in stark relief.

African Americans comprise just 4 per cent of homebuyers, despite making up 13 per cent of the US population, the report said. 

Hispanics make up 7 per cent, while they are 18 per cent of the population.

“There’s no way to sugarcoat how low the Hispanic and African American homebuyers [rate] has been and... how far it’s fallen from before the recession to today,” said Jessica Lautz, NAR’s vice president of demographics and behavioural insights.

With homeownership for blacks, in particular, at historic lows, this has “very large implications for their ability... to build wealth and to be able to build a nest egg”, Lautz told AFP.

She notes research showing minorities are less likely to apply for a loan, more likely to be denied for mortgages and less likely to have family help, “which is a key down payment source for first time homebuyers today”.

 

Homes in short supply 

 

One third of first-time homebuyers have family help for their down payment, either through a gift or a loan, she said. 

At the same time, African American first-time homeowners “have significantly more student loan debt than white homebuyers do... which is in a significant hurdle, holding back many potential buyers”.

The report showed 39 per cent of first-time buyers had student loan debt, a median amount of $30,000.

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun stressed that the housing shortage is a key factor driving the problems with affordability.

Since many first time buyers need family help “what does that mean for American families that don’t have deep pockets,” he told reporters.

Yun said he expects home building to accelerate modestly in 2020, which will “open up a chain reaction in existing home sales”.

He predicted a 4 per cent uptick in home sales next year.

The report also showed that more buyers are waiting longer before buying their first home — the median age hit 33 for the first time — and an increasing number are joining forces with friends rather than partners or spouses in order to be able to afford a place in their desired location, the report showed.

There is “a growing share of people who are embracing homeownership through unique means, purchasing with a non-romantic partner”, Lautz said.

About one in 10 home buyers purchased a multigenerational home, to take care of aging parents, because of adult children returned home, and for cost-savings, the report showed.

First-time homebuyers held steady at 33 per cent of all buyers, a measure that for the past eight years has been below the historic norm of 40 per cent.

Egypt’s inflation lowest in nearly a decade

Low rate attributed to a drop in the cost of household items

By - Nov 09,2019 - Last updated at Nov 09,2019

CAIRO  — Egypt’s inflation rate dropped to the lowest level in nearly a decade last month, official figures showed on Saturday, as cheaper food offered respite to consumers squeezed by International Monetary fund (IMF)-backed reforms.

The annual inflation rate was 2.4 per cent in October, compared with 17.5 per cent a year earlier, the Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics (CAPMAS) said.

The state body said the decrease was due to a drop in the cost of household items such as food and drink.

“The increase in agricultural production led to a drop in prices of fruit and vegetables, which in turn affected food prices that make up about 40 per cent of consumer costs,” Cairo-based economist Iman Negm told AFP.

“The Egyptian pound’s recovery against the US dollar has also contributed to the inflation rate slowing down,” she added.

Negm expects the central bank to cut interest rates because of the weaker price pressures.

Inflation had skyrocketed to 33 per cent in 2017 following subsidy cuts and the devaluation of the Egyptian pound.

Poor and middle-class Egyptians have been bearing the brunt of harsh austerity measures since 2016 when the government secured a $12-billion bailout from the IMF in exchange for implementing economic reforms.

Nearly one in three Egyptians live below the poverty line, according to official figures released in July.

CAPMAS said that other costs, such as transportation and healthcare, had risen.

President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi regularly calls on Egyptians to endure the economic hardships for the promise of future prosperity.

Egypt’s economy took a battering in the immediate aftermath of the revolution that toppled longtime autocrat Hosni Mubarak in 2011.

Direct foreign investment has grown to record levels in recent years, but the national debt has ballooned since the pound was floated in November 2016, leading to a sharp depreciation.

Petrol pumps shut down in protest-hit Lebanon

Reserves ran dry due to US-dollar shortage

By - Nov 09,2019 - Last updated at Nov 09,2019

A man withdraws cqsh from an ATM machine in the Lebanese capital Beirut on Saturday (AFP photo)

BEIRUT — Several petrol stations in protest-hit Lebanon stopped services on Saturday, as reserves ran dry due to a shortage of US dollars to pay suppliers, a syndicate head said.

The shuttering of petrol stations came as demonstrators again took to the street across the country, keeping up their three-week-long movement against a political class regarded as inefficient and corrupt. 

“The petrol stations that opened today are the ones that still have reserves. They will close down as soon as supply runs out,” said Sami Brax, the head of the Syndicate of Gas Station Owners.

He said if officials do not facilitate access to dollars by Tuesday, “we will be forced to stop imports and close down all petrol stations.”

Petrol stations receive payment from customers in Lebanese pounds but have to pay importers and suppliers in dollars. 

For two decades, the Lebanese pound has been pegged to the US dollar, with both currencies used interchangeably in daily life.

But banks have been reducing access to dollars since the end of the summer, following fears of a shortage in central bank dollar reserves.

In recent days, banks halted all ATM withdrawals in dollars and severely restricted conversions from Lebanese pounds.

Many Lebanese have had to instead buy dollars from money changers at a higher exchange rate, in what amounts to a de-facto devaluation of the local currency that has sparked price hikes.

The official exchange rate has remained fixed at 1,507 Lebanese pounds to the dollar, but the rate in the parallel market has surpassed 1,800.

“The banks are under pressure from people, both inside Lebanon and abroad,” said economist Naseeb Ghabreel, after many rushed to withdraw their dollar savings or convert Lebanese pound accounts.

Since September, petrol station owners have accused banks of failing to provide them with the dollars they need and threatened strikes. 

In response, the central bank last month pledged to facilitate access to the greenback for importers of petroleum products, wheat and medicine.

But the measure has not yet gone into effect. 

Lebanon has since October 17 witnessed an unprecedented popular uprising against everything from power cuts and poor social security to alleged state corruption.

The government yielded to popular pressure and stepped down last month, with the World Bank urging for the quick formation of a new Cabinet to prevent the economy from further deteriorating.

Siemens meets 2019 goals but warns of 'risks' in 2020

By - Nov 07,2019 - Last updated at Nov 07,2019

This photo shows the CFO of German industrial giant Siemens Ralf Thomas ((left-right), CEO Joe Kaeser and the CEO of Siemens Energy Michael Sen, before the company's annual results press conference in Munich, southern Germany, on Thursday (AFP photo)

BERLIN — German industrial Company Siemens on Thursday reported a drop in annual net profits but said it had met its targets, and warned that geopolitical risks and a cooling economy would weigh on its performance in 2020.

The group — which makes products from wind turbines to trains and medical scanners — booked a net profit of 5.6 billion euros ($6.2 billion) in its 2018/2019 fiscal year, down nearly 8 per cent on the previous year.

The group mainly blamed accounting effects, noting that it had benefited last year from selling its shares in IT services firm Atos and lightbulb maker Osram.

Operating profit climbed slightly to 8.9 billion euros, thanks to a jump in large orders.

Revenues added 5 per cent to hit 86.8 billion euros.

"The weakening of the global economy accelerated clearly during fiscal 2019," CEO Joe Kaeser said in a statement. 

Nevertheless, "we fully achieved our fiscal-year guidance in all aspects", he added.

The company said it had seen an uptick in orders across most of its divisions, including an order for a large gas power plant in France and strong demand for its medical imagery machines.

Siemens' factory automation division, however, suffered a drop in demand in the final months of the year, as it felt the pinch from the global slowdown in the car and machine-building industries.

Looking ahead to its 2019/2020 fiscal year, Siemens said it expected "to again achieve moderate growth" in revenues despite a "subdued" global economic outlook.

Given the "risks particularly related to geopolitical and geoeconomic uncertainties", Siemens added that it was bracing for "a moderate decline" in market volume in the auto and factory equipment industry.

Ryanair says three Boeing 737NGs grounded by cracks

Cracks found on three Ryanair jets between the wing and fuselage — The Guardian

By - Nov 06,2019 - Last updated at Nov 06,2019

In this file photo taken on May 31, a Boeing 737 bearing the livery of Irish low-cost airline Ryanair taxies on the tarmac on its way to take off from Rome’s Fiumicino Airport (AFP file photo)

LONDON — Irish airline Ryanair indicated on Wednesday that three of its Boeing 737NG aircraft were taken out of service due to cracks, a problem that has grounded dozens of the jets globally.

“Ryanair has already inspected over 70 of its oldest aircraft in full compliance with the Airworthiness Directive [of the US Federal Aviation Authority], and our rate of findings is less than the industry wide 5 per cent confirmed by Boeing recently,” the Irish airline said in a statement e-mailed to AFP.

“Boeing are carrying out these repairs on behalf of Ryanair currently,” the low-cost carrier added, after The Guardian newspaper reported that cracks had been found on three Ryanair jets between the wing and fuselage.

The Dublin-based airline — which is the world’s biggest operator of Boeing’s popular 737NG aircraft — added that the repairs would have no impact on its flight schedules.

“Ryanair will continue to inspect the remainder of its fleet, in full compliance with the Airworthiness Directive, and we are confident that the tiny number of pickle fork cracks, if any, will not affect either Ryanair’s fleet, its flights, or its schedules,” the carrier said.

Boeing had previously reported a problem with the model’s “pickle fork” — a part which helps bind the wing to the fuselage.

The US aerospace giant had announced on October 31 that dozens of 737NG planes had been taken out of service after the cracks were detected, marking another setback for the crisis-stricken US aircraft maker.

The new difficulties compound troubles facing the US manufacturer, which has faced tumbling profits, federal scrutiny and calls for its CEO to resign after deadly crashes involving the 737 MAX, the plane that succeeded the 737NG.

Asian markets trace Wall Street records, buoyed by trade optimism

Report that US may cut some tariffs on Chinese goods contributed to upbeat mood

By - Nov 05,2019 - Last updated at Nov 05,2019

People walk by the New York Stock Exchange on Monday in New York City, US (AFP photo)

HONG KONG — Asian markets rose again on Tuesday, tracking a record lead from Wall Street as trade optimism was given another lift by a report saying the US was considering cutting some tariffs on Chinese goods.

The rally built on Monday's advance with global equities buoyed by expectations the economic superpowers are close to a mini trade deal, strong earnings and lower interest rates.

A forecast-busting US jobs report on Friday and signs the American economy is stabilising added to the upbeat mood.

The Financial Times said on Tuesday that the White House is considering dropping existing tariffs on more than $100 billion of imports in a bid to seal the deal with China.

It cited unnamed sources as saying officials were looking at rolling back levies on a range of imports including clothing, appliances, and flatscreen monitors, which have been subject to 15 per cent rates since September 1.

The US has imposed duties on Chinese goods worth hundreds of billions and the removal of some of these is said to be a key demand of Beijing in any trade agreement.

Meanwhile, a Bloomberg News article said Chinese officials were considering locations in the United States that Xi Jinping and Donald Trump could hold a signing ceremony as early as this month.

Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for Asia-Pacific at OANDA, said: "It could be interpreted as the US blinking first as the presidential impeachment hearings gather momentum, and we approach the holiday season and then an election year."

AxiTrader senior market analyst Stephen Innes said that while shares have enjoyed a long run on the back of the trade deal hopes, investors appeared willing to press on with their buying for now.

"The question is whether the market has now priced in the... phase one trade deal," he said in a note.

"And for the time being it appears, risk markets are in benefit-of-the-doubt mode, preferring to look through any fragility in macro data, while applying a higher weight to comments on trade."

Tokyo led gainers as it reopened after a long weekend to play catch-up with Monday's rally.

The Nikkei ended 1.8 per cent higher, while Shanghai rose 0.5 per cent, Sydney added 0.2 per cent and Singapore put on 0.4 per cent. Seoul climbed 0.6 per cent, with Taipei rallying 0.8 per cent.

Hong Kong rose 0.5 per cent as investors there brushed off data showing a key measure of business confidence fell to its lowest level in more than a decade as the city reels from global trade woes and violent democracy protests.

The Purchasing Managers Index — which measures the health of the private sector — dropped to 39.3 in October, its worst reading since 2008 during the global financial crisis, heaping fresh misery on the unrest-plagued city.

Paris launches works on 2024 Olympic village

By - Nov 04,2019 - Last updated at Nov 04,2019

SAINT— OUEN, France — The French government on Monday launched construction on a massive project to build from scratch the village for the 2024 Olympic Games in Paris, a development that aims to reinvigorate the poorest area in the country.

The Olympic village, which will house some 15,000 athletes and officials, is being built in the Seine-Saint-Denis area north of Paris, which for years has suffered from social tensions and neglect.

But the project is also controversial locally as it will force the relocation of residents, businesses and even schools in the area where the village is to be constructed.

Prime Minister Edouard Philippe launched the works, which are set to last over three years, in the suburb of Saint-Ouen.

Putting a strong emphasis on legacy, the authorities plan after the games to reconfigure the area into a new neighbourhood that will offer a total of 3,000 homes and also increase participation in sports.

"If we want them [the Games] to be a success, we must make sure that all this organisation, all this financing and this mobilisation does not just vanish when the Olympic flame goes out," said Philippe as he launched the works.

"It needs to last," he added.

Legacy is now a huge aspect of Olympic developments, especially after the success of the London 2012 Olympics which helped breathe new life into the east of the British capital.

There have already been protests locally against the Olympic village project, which requires the clearing of a zone that is home to over 20 businesses, three schools, a hotel, a student residence and a residence for foreign workers.

"We have been here for 40 years and now there is no longer any space for us," said Boubacar Diallo, who represents foreign workers living in a residence.

Two new residences should be finished by 2022 to house all those affected. But the residents are rejecting the temporary housing on offer until they are completed.

Responding to the criticism, Solideo, the public company overseeing all the works, insisted the local area would get a boost.

"What is going to happen over the next 3-4 years is compensation for what has not happened the last 30 years," it said.

The budget for the games amounts to 6.8 billion euros ($7.6 billion), 1.5 billion of which will come from the state.

The French authorities have long expressed concern over the stark disparities in the Paris area, with wealthy citizens concentrated in the centre but northern areas far less well-off.

A report in June said rising property prices had widened the gap between rich and poor in the Paris region, where the number of people living in poverty has increased.

Ryanair net profits flatten in first half

Airline says results driven by soaring fuel bills, weaker demand, high competition

By - Nov 04,2019 - Last updated at Nov 04,2019

This photo, taken on September 27, shows a Boeing 737 NG / Max of Irish Low Cost company Ryanair after taking off from the Toulouse-Blagnac Airport, near Toulouse (AFP photo)

LONDON — Irish no-frills airline Ryanair said on Monday that first-half net profit flattened on lower ticket prices, weak British demand, fierce competition elsewhere in Europe and a soaring fuel bill.

The Dublin-based carrier, famed for promoting knock-down ticket prices, said in a results statement that profit after taxation was unchanged at 1.15 billion euros ($1.28 billion) in the six months to September from a year earlier.

Average air fares fell 5 per cent "due to the weaker consumer demand in the UK and overcapacity in Germany and Austria", it added.

Revenues nevertheless rose 11 per cent to 5.39 billion euros, but jet fuel costs surged 22 per cent to 1.59 billion euros while staff costs also grew.

Ryanair also issued cautious guidance for the full-year, with the outlook clouded by Britain's looming departure from the European Union at the end of January.

"We expect a slightly better fare environment than last winter, although we have limited visibility," the airline added.

"This however remains sensitive to any market uncertainty such as a no-deal Brexit."

The airline also tightened its annual profit forecast to between 800 and 900 million euros. 

That compared with prior guidance of between 750 and 950 million euros.

"This guidance is heavily dependent on... fares, Brexit and the absence of any security events," it noted.

Ryanair's four divisions comprise its main Irish operations, Austrian-based Lauda, Polish unit Buzz, and Malta Air.

Saudi oil giant Aramco heads for record-setting market debut

No current plans for an international listing — state company

By - Nov 03,2019 - Last updated at Nov 03,2019

In an undated handout photo provided by Aramco, Saudi Aramco staff are seen at the Operations Coordination Centre in Dhahran in eastern Saudi Arabia (AFP photo)

DHAHRAN, Saudi Arabia — Saudi Arabia announced on Sunday the stock market debut of energy giant Aramco in what could be the world’s biggest IPO, underpinning Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman’s ambitions to overhaul the kingdom’s oil-reliant economy.

After years of delay, Aramco said it plans to sell an unspecified number of shares on the Riyadh stock exchange, calling it a “historic” milestone for the world’s most profitable company which pumps 10 per cent of the world’s oil.

However, the state firm said there were no current plans for an international listing, indicating that the long-discussed goal for a second offering on a foreign bourse had been put aside.

The launch, which has been approved by regulators, forms the linchpin of Prince Mohammed’s ambitious plans to transform Saudi Arabia, with tens of billions of dollars needed to fund megaprojects and new industries.

With analysts saying that Aramco could be valued at up to $1.7 trillion, the initial public offering (IPO) is potentially the world’s biggest, depending on how much of the company it decides to sell.

“Today marks a significant milestone in the history of the company and important progress towards delivering Saudi Vision 2030, the kingdom’s blueprint for sustained economic diversification and growth,” Aramco chairman Yasir Al Rumayyan said.

The final offer price and the number of shares to be sold “will be determined at the end of the book-building period”, said the firm headquartered in the eastern city of Dhahran.

Aramco had initially been expected to sell a total of 5 per cent on two exchanges, with a first listing of 2 per cent on the Tadawul Saudi bourse followed by a 3 per cent listing on an overseas exchange.

“For the [international] listing part, we will let you know in due course. So far it’s only on Tadawul,” Rumayyan said amid reports it was struggling to get institutional investors on board due to questions over transparency and governance.

‘Market realities’ 

 

“An important function of the domestic IPO is to project confidence in the company towards the international market,” said Cinzia Bianco, Gulf research fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

“But doing it domestically encounters no meaningful obstacle. It allows Prince Mohammed to show he keeps his promises and gets things done.”

First suggested in 2016, the IPO was delayed several times, reportedly due to the prince’s dissatisfaction with the valuation of the firm, which fell short of the hoped-for $2 trillion.

Last week, Energy Intelligence cited sources as saying they expect the Saudis to settle on a valuation of $1.6 trillion to $1.7 trillion.

It remains to be seen whether Saudi authorities are able to find “a compromise between the crown prince’s stated preference and market realities in their valuation of Aramco”, said Kristian Ulrichsen, a fellow at Rice University’s Baker Institute in the United States.

“As the process has been delayed repeatedly and built up as such an integral component of the crown prince’s plan to transform Saudi Arabia, international investors will pay very close attention to how Aramco performs on the domestic exchange,” Ulrichsen told AFP.

 

Wooing investors 

 

Aramco, which makes Saudi Arabia the world’s top energy exporter, is seen as the kingdom’s crown jewel and the backbone of its economic and social stability.

Its 2018 net profit of $111.1 billion is higher than the profits of Apple, Google and Exxon Mobil — combined.

Aramco only began releasing interim financial results recently, but in its push for transparency, the secretive company also released on Sunday results for the nine months to September, saying net profits came in at $68 billion. 

The government is reportedly seeking to get wealthy Saudi families to invest in the IPO and to ease lending restrictions for ordinary citizens to buy a stake in the company. 

Some Saudi commentators have also sought to promote investment in the stock as a patriotic duty, although observers pointed to the perils of the strategy.

“Listing on the domestic market without firm plans to list internationally is risky for the Saudi stock market because it could completely overweight it,” Ellen Wald, author of the book “Saudi Inc.”, told AFP. 

“If oil prices drop or Aramco stock falls, it is such a large part of Tadawul, it could bring the entire stock market down.”

ASEAN leaders hanker for trade deal as economy sags on US-China spat

Leaders hope to secure a China-backed free trade pact for half the world’s population

By - Nov 02,2019 - Last updated at Nov 02,2019

Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad (left) speaks next to Chairman of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Business Advisory Council (ASEAN-BAC) Arin Jira (right) during a business forum on the sidelines of the 35th ASEAN summit in Bangkok, on Saturday (AFP photo)

BANGKOK — Southeast Asian leaders met on Saturday in Thailand eyeing a breakthrough in talks over the world’s largest trade deal to help throw off the torpor which has gripped the global economy since the start of the US-China tariff war.

The 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) opened their annual summit in Bangkok hoping to secure a China-backed free trade pact knitting together half of the world’s population and around 40 per cent of its commerce.

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) — a deal spanning India to New Zealand and wrangled over for several years — is now seen as an urgent counterpoint to US protectionism.

Washington’s trade rumble with Beijing has weighed on markets, with the IMF warning the spat could cut global growth to the lowest pace in more than a decade. 

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s protectionist rhetoric has spooked some ASEAN nations who fear their economies could fall under his crosshairs.

Trump has repeatedly warned of further intervention to protect American business and several Asian nations are waiting to find out if the US will put them on a watch list of “currency manipulators”. 

Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad warned the regional bloc could hit back against any punitive trade measures, skirting over specifics.

“We will do exactly what Trump does,” he told a business forum ahead of the summit opening, calling the US leader “not a very nice man”. 

“If you go alone, you will be bullied. We don’t want to go into trade war but sometimes when they do things that are not nice to us, we have to be unnice to them,” he added. 

Earlier his Thai counterpart, Prayut Chan-O-Cha, echoed the theme of regional cooperation on the RCEP deal, while Philippines’ trade secretary Ramon Lopez said he hoped to have a “very positive report  [on RCEP] come Monday” when the summit ends.

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