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Mideast and Trump

Feb 22,2017 - Last updated at Feb 22,2017

Authoritarian leaders across the world must have welcomed the Trump presidency. But with Daesh in the region, an oil hub in the Gulf, three major wars and the relatively recent Iran deal, how will the Middle East be affected?

Middle Eastern countries more likely to be affected by Trump’s presidency would be Saudi Arabia, Syria, Iran, Israel and Palestine.

Trump, being big on coal and oil, and against spending on renewable energy, is bound to build fruitful relations with Saudi Arabia, and this would serve the interests of both countries.

When it comes to Syria, so far Trump seems to have good relations with Russian President Vladimir Putin who is against removing President Bashar Assad from power and believes in fighting Daesh, while keeping Assad in power.

Trump seems to share the same position. He is against fighting Assad and Daesh at the same time, an approach that differs from that of former president Barack Obama.

Trump called the nuclear deal signed by the US and four European countries with Iran terrible. The deal, reached in 2015, ensures that Iran’s nuclear programme is and remains peaceful.

If Trump reneges on the deal, the US will be off to a rocky relation with Iran.

As far as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is concerned, Trump wavers between the one-state and the two-state solutions.

But both he and his vice president, Mike Pence, declared solid support for Israel.

Trump is unpredictable. Some of his declared positions may change, so one can only wait and see what happens.

Lynn Malkawi,
Amman

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Comments

WELL WRITTEN ARTICLE THAT POINTS OUT ALL THE MAJOR ACTORS AND THEIR WIDE RANGE OF INTERESTS BUT LYNN OFFERED NO OPINION AS WHAT MAY BE A BETTER DIRECTION(S). LET US TAKE THE HOT SPOTS SUGGESTED ONE BY ONE.
1) ON THE TANGLED WEB OF GEOPOLITICAL EQUATION OF SAUDI ARABIA, SYRIA, IRAN, ISRAEL AND PALESTINE, IT WILL BE A
BIG MISTAKE THINK THAT ANY THING THAT AFFECT THESE COUNTRIES WILL NOT AFFECT JORDAN. NO COUNTRY IN THAT REGION WILL BE SPARED IF THE CURRENT PROJECTILE CONTINUES. WHAT THE WORLD AND THE REGION NEED IS TO STOP THESE CRAZY FRIENDSHIP OF WARS. CAN ANY PERSON THINK OF HOW PROSPEROUS THIS REGION WILL BE IF THESE COUNTRIES AND OTHERS CAN TEAM UP AND FORM A COMMON MARKET, EDUCATE AND PROVIDE FOR THEIR PEOPLE. SAY NO TO MORE WARS!!
2) COAL AND OIL MAN; IT USE TO BE THAT THESE TWO COMMODITIES WERE THE SYMBOL OF WEALTH AND PROSPERITY BUT WE ARE NOW IN THE CUTTING AGE OF HIGH TECH SO IT IS TIME TO ADOPT SCIENCE AND FINE TUNE THE WHEEL OF GROWTH AND WEALTH. THE SAUDIS HAVE DONE AN EXCELLENT JOB IN INVESTING IN EDUCATION FOR THEIR PEOPLE AND SO HAVE THE BRAINS TO INTEGRATE HIGH TECH AND SCIENCE IN THE DAILY LIFE OF THEIR PEOPLE. THE STATE OF ISRAEL IS NOW THE FATHER OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FUELED BY NECESSITY WHICH HAS ALWAYS BEEN THE MOTHER OF INVENTION SO UP TO DATE. IRAN WAS ENERGISED BY THE ISOLATION OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY SO THEY ENTERED INTO THE HIGH TECH RACE OF SURVIVAL AND CAN ALMOST FACE ANY CHALLENGE FROM ANY SOURCE. SYRIA IS ALMOST THE SAME AS IRAN AND ASSAD IS GOING NO WHERE AND IN FACT SHOULD NOT BECAUSE NO NATION CAN TELL ANOTHER WHAT, HOW AND WHO RULES THEIR NATION. THE STATE OF PALESTINE IS AND UNFORTUNATELY HAS CONTINUED TO BE THE TOY OF THE COUNTRIES ALL OF THE WORLD MOSTLY IN THAT REGION BEING USED TO MAKE FRIENDS AND ENEMIES SO WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?. IT IS TIME TO STOP THIS DIVID AND RULE MENTALITY AND DEMAND PEACE SO THAT THE REGION CAN GROW TOGETHER AND LIVE IN PEACE.
3) DAESH AND ASSAD; LUMPING ASSAD AND THE EVIL DAESH IS THE WORST KIND OF MISCLASSIFICATION THAT I HAVE EVER SEEN IN MY LIFE. ASSAD IS NOT THAT EVIL EMPIRE LEADER THE WORLD LABEL HIM TO BE BUT CONTRARY TO THIS ILLUSION, SOME ONE CREATED THE EVIL DAESH, FUNDED THEM, ARMED THEM AND LOOK AT WHAT HAS BEEN CREATED THAT IS IDENTICAL TO THE BIGGEST CANCEROUS TUMOR IN ANY MEDICAL LITERATURE. I AM SURE THAT IF ANY COUNTRY IN THAT REGION IS TREATNED WITH CHAOS, ANARCHY AND TERROR, THAT COUNTRY WILL RESPOND WITH EVERYTHING THEY HAVE TO STOP IT AND HISTORY BACKS ME ON THIS SO AS CRUEL AS ASSAD MAY BE, HE IS NEITHER THE FIRST OR THE WORST DICTATOR IN THE WORLD NEVER MIND IN THAT REGION SO WHAT IS THE SOLUTION = STOP INVESTING IN THE USE OF THE IDEA THAT THE ENEMY OF MY ENEMY IS MY FRIEND AND INVEST THIS ENERGY IN PEACE, PROSPERITY AND THE AMALGAMATION OF THE REGION INTO ONE UMBRELLA OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WHIC EVERY PERSON CAN BENNEFIT FROM. SAY NO TO YOUR MASTERS THAT GET YOU PRE-OCCUPIED WITH WARS AND USE YOU AS A LAB FOR TESTING WHAT ONLY GOD KNOWS. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO CONDUCT BOTH CASE CONTROL AND COHORT STUDIES IN THAT REGION TO EVALUATE THE CONFOUNDING EFFECT OF CANCERS, CHRONIC DISEASES AND BIRTH DEFECTS WITH WARS. IN FACT ANY SUCH STUDIES WILL SHOW THE MOTHER OF ALL PREVENTABLE CAUSES OF DEATH AND DISABILITIES SO CAN WE THEN STOP WARS AND MAKE PEACE.
4) NUKE DEAL WITH IRAN: THIS IS A CLASSICAL UNINTENTED EFFECTS OF USING SANCTIONS AND ISOLATIONS TO PUNISH THY ENEMIES AND IT DOES NOT WORK AND HISTORY TEACHES US SO. DEMANDING THAT THIS DEAL IS TRASH AND SHOULD BE SCRAPPED WILL BE MUSIC IN THE EARS OF IRANIAN HARDLINERS AND THEY WILL HAVE NOTHING TO LOOSE BUT TO GO DOWN THE SAME PATH AS NORTH KOREA. I AM SHORE THAT THEY REMEMBER SADDAM AND THE STRONG MAN OF LYBIA SO WHAT IS/ARE THE SOLUTIONS?. SLOW AND STEADY, WE CAN WIN THE RACE TO RESCUE HUMANITY FROM CATASTOPHIC DESTRUCTION SO MY FRIENDS, LET US MAKE PEACE AND NO MORE WARS.

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