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Stephen S. Roach
By Stephen S. Roach - Sep 28,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  It is tempting to give America’s Federal Reserve (Fed) great credit for its recent about-face in tackling inflation. It is equally tempting to give Chinese President Xi Jinping great credit for his stewardship of a rising and strong China.
By Stephen S. Roach - Sep 07,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  The widely acclaimed globalisation of the post-Cold War era is now running in reverse.
By Stephen S. Roach - Sep 06,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  Since the days of Deng Xiaoping, economic growth has mattered more than anything for China’s leaders.
By Stephen S. Roach - Aug 16,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  Poor Jerome Powell. With US inflation close to a 40-year high, the Federal Reserve (Fed) chair knows what he needs to do. He has professed great admiration for Paul Volcker, his 1980s-era predecessor, as a role model.
By Stephen S. Roach - Jun 28,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  I should have listened to Alan Greenspan, at least when it comes to currency forecasting.
By Stephen S. Roach - Apr 27,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  The predictable downward revision cycle for the global economic outlook has officially begun.
By Stephen S. Roach - Mar 14,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  My recent commentary, “Only China Can Stop Russia,” stirred up strong arguments on both sides of the increasingly contentious debate over the horrific war in Ukraine.
By Stephen S. Roach - Jan 29,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  The US Federal Reserve has turned on a dime, an uncharacteristic about-face for an institution long noted for slow and deliberate shifts in monetary policy.
By Stephen S. Roach - Nov 24,2021
NEW HAVEN — The transitory inflation debate in the United States is over. The upsurge in US inflation has turned into something far worse than the Federal Reserve (Fed) expected. Perpetually optimistic financial markets are taking this largely in stride.
By Stephen S. Roach - May 25,2021
NEW HAVEN — Memories can be tricky. I have long been haunted by the inflation of the 1970s. Fifty years ago, when I had just started my career as a professional economist at the Federal Reserve (Fed), I was witness to the birth of the Great Inflation as a Fed insider.

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