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Stephen S. Roach
By Stephen S. Roach - Jun 28,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  I should have listened to Alan Greenspan, at least when it comes to currency forecasting.
By Stephen S. Roach - Apr 27,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  The predictable downward revision cycle for the global economic outlook has officially begun.
By Stephen S. Roach - Mar 14,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  My recent commentary, “Only China Can Stop Russia,” stirred up strong arguments on both sides of the increasingly contentious debate over the horrific war in Ukraine.
By Stephen S. Roach - Jan 29,2022
NEW HAVEN  —  The US Federal Reserve has turned on a dime, an uncharacteristic about-face for an institution long noted for slow and deliberate shifts in monetary policy.
By Stephen S. Roach - Nov 24,2021
NEW HAVEN — The transitory inflation debate in the United States is over. The upsurge in US inflation has turned into something far worse than the Federal Reserve (Fed) expected. Perpetually optimistic financial markets are taking this largely in stride.
By Stephen S. Roach - May 25,2021
NEW HAVEN — Memories can be tricky. I have long been haunted by the inflation of the 1970s. Fifty years ago, when I had just started my career as a professional economist at the Federal Reserve (Fed), I was witness to the birth of the Great Inflation as a Fed insider.
By Stephen S. Roach - Apr 25,2021
NEW HAVEN — I have been in the economic forecasting business for close to 50 years. I got my start in the early 1970s, on the research staff at the Federal Reserve (Fed) in Washington, DC, before taking my crystal ball to Wall Street for over 30 years.
By Stephen S. Roach - Feb 24,2021
NEW HAVEN  —  As the second vaccine shot went into my arm, I could almost taste the instant gratification of deferred desires.
By Stephen S. Roach - Jan 25,2021
NEW HAVEN  —  Plenty has been said, and rightfully so, about the violent insurrection at the US Capitol on January 6. Politicians are grappling with issues of legal and moral accountability.
By Stephen S. Roach - Jan 03,2021
NEW HAVEN — The outlook for economic and financial markets hinges on the interplay between two cycles, the COVID-19 cycle and the business cycle.

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