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JCIF announces investment share acquisition in Aqaba Digital Hub

By - Aug 17,2023 - Last updated at Aug 17,2023

Minister of Investment Kholoud Al Saqqaf, ASEZA Chief Commissioner Nayef Al Fayez and officials during the signing of an agreement between Jordan Capital & Investment Fund and Aqaba Digital Hub (Photo courtesy of JCIF)

AMMAN — Jordan Capital & Investment Fund (JCIF) announced that it has finalised details on a significant minority investment in Aqaba Digital Hub (ADH), a flagship project poised to tap into the growing demand for modern digital transformation in Jordan. 

The project encompasses the largest carrier-neutral 6MW data centres in Jordan and stands as one of the MENA region’s largest. Its array of services covers a range of offerings, including an open-access submarine cable landing station, cloud services, long-haul telecommunications services, a carrier-neutral Internet exchange point, expanded fibre networks and satellite services, according to a JCIF statement.

During a ceremony held at ADH’s offices in Aqaba on Thursday, JCIF — which is owned by Jordanian banks — and ADH signed the deal in the presence of Minister of Investment Kholoud Al Saqqaf; ASEZA Chief Commissioner Nayef Al Fayez; Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Jordan Khaldoun Al Wshah; and Chairman of the Board of Commissioners of the Telecommunications Regulatory Commission Bassam Al Sarhan. The ceremony was also attended by leaders and dignitaries from the private sector.

Founded in 2017 by Eyad Abu Khorma, ADH currently operates regional fibre-optic networks and a carrier-neutral, Uptime-Certified Tier-III data centre; serves as a hub for connectivity, infrastructure technologies and cloud services; and provides wholesale capacity services to local and neighbouring markets. Moreover, ADH has been chosen as the Jordanian hosting facility and landing station for the Blue Raman submarine cable, linking Asia with Europe. Leveraging its existing infrastructure from the BlueRaman cable landing station, ADH will introduce new options for cloud services, international gateway services and other high-technology solutions and applications to the Jordanian and regional markets.

Strategically located within Aqaba, ADH data centres act as an ideal disaster recovery site for banks across Jordan, fortified by their secure and technologically advanced facilities. This development not only strengthens the financial sector’s resilience but also elevates Jordan’s financial technology ecosystem.

Saqqaf underscored the significance of the first investment agreement between JCIF and ADH as a vital step towards addressing the increasing demand for modern digital transformation services in Jordan. The minister emphasised the importance of establishing investment funds, as they stimulate and attract capital to invest in various priority and competitive economic sectors. This, in turn, is poised to substantively contribute towards the realisation of economic and developmental goals that will directly influence economic growth while combating poverty and unemployment issues.

Furthermore, Saqqaf added that the Investment Environment Law for 2022, for the first time, laid the foundation for a legal framework that facilitates the inception of investment funds devoted to the pursuit of economic activities. According to the law, an investment fund assumes legal personality following its establishment and formal registration under the Ministry of Investment. She also highlighted that the Investment Promotion Strategy 2023-2026, approved by the Investment Council in May, targets multiple sectors — namely IT — as a priority sector set to attract investments to Jordan.

Fayez stated that Aqaba serves as a host for the first Jordanian digital city and is considered a primary hub for tech investments within the region, which thereby helps promote Jordan globally. He emphasised ASEZA's pivotal role in providing facilitations for investors and in equipping and empowering youth through dedicated tech initiatives aimed at preparing them for such investments, as well as for the local and international job markets.

“This deal will mark a key investment for JCIF since its official launch in 2022 and aligns with the fund’s strategy to play a central role in the Jordanian economy by creating jobs, attracting new businesses and bringing cutting-edge technologies to local communities,” stated Hani Qadi, chairman of JCIF Management Company. “Information and communications technology [ICT] has emerged as a core driver of the modern knowledge-based economy and plays a crucial role in the socioeconomic development of a country. On this note, we extend our sincere appreciation to the government of Jordan and the Central Bank of Jordan for their consistent support of JCIF.” 

“Since its inception, the Aqaba Digital Hub has attracted distinguished local, regional and international telecommunications operators, as well as global content delivery networks,” said Abu Khorma. “Our partnership with JCIF will provide capital for growth, increase access to resources and help drive expansion by further opening up new market opportunities,” Abu Khorma added. 

“We are delighted to partner with Eyad Abu Khorma on this pioneering project, which will help serve the growing demand for modern digital services in Jordan and the MENA region. This project will be critical to enhancing solutions for digital transformation and developing hubs for companies and organisations of all sizes,”commented Faris Sharaf, CEO of JCIF Management Company.  

JCIF is wholly owned by 16 Jordanian commercial and Islamic banks and is the largest private sector investment fund in Jordan, with a capital commitment of JD275 million ($388 million). The fund aims to invest in pioneering companies with opportunities for growth, development and expansion by providing fresh capital to help increase employment and promote economic growth across Jordan. JCIF targets investments in dynamic and promising sectors, notably in the fields of food and health security, manufacturing, and ICT, with the aim of unleashing Jordan’s potential to build for the future, according to the statement. 

UK annual inflation drops to 15-month low

By - Aug 16,2023 - Last updated at Aug 16,2023

A smart meter indicating how many kWh (kilowatt-hour) of gas has been used already in one day, and how much it has cost, is displayed for a photograph in London, on December 13, 2022 (AFP photo)

LONDON — Britain's annual inflation rate dropped sharply in July to a 15-month low, official data revealed Wednesday, off the back of lower energy prices and in line with economists' expectations.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by an annual rate of 6.8 per cent, down from 7.9 per cent in June, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, easing the country's cost-of-living crisis.

July's price growth met the predictions of analysts, including the Bank of England, which had forecast the 6.8 per cent rate. 

It follows a bigger-than-expected drop in June, when the CPI fell 0.8 per cent.

However, UK inflation has for months been the highest among G-7 nations, despite the Bank of England hiking its key interest rate more than a dozen times in succession to try to tame it.

Although there was a fall in gas and electricity prices in July, food prices continued to rise, but less quickly than in the same month a year earlier.

"Inflation slowed markedly for the second consecutive month, driven by falls in the price of gas and electricity," ONS Deputy Director of Prices Matthew Corder said.

"Although remaining high, food price inflation has also eased again, particularly for milk, bread and cereal.

"Core inflation was unchanged in July, with the falling cost of goods offset by higher service prices," he added.

 

'Get it done' 

 

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has set a target of halving inflation through this year to around five per cent by 2024.

Despite the Bank of England projecting inflation could actually rise again next month, due to the impact of public sector pay rises, Sunak insisted Wednesday's figures showed "the plan is working".

"If we stick to the plan I've set out, we'll get it done," Sunak added.

However, the Institute for Fiscal Studies economic think-tank was sceptical.

"The stubbornly high rate of price inflation for goods and services other than food and energy has put the target in jeopardy," said IFS Research Economist Heidi Karjalainen.

Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt welcomed the latest CPI data but cautioned "we're not at the finish line" and that hitting the Bank of England's 2 per cent inflation target "as soon as possible" remained the overarching goal.

Data published Tuesday showed that UK unemployment increased in the three months to the end of June while wages grew at a record annual pace.

Martin McTague, national chairman of the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB), said the latest CPI statistics would renew fears of a "wage-price spiral".

"The worry now is that rising wages ignite a fresh wave of inflation in September, which will threaten the momentum from June's GDP growth," he added.

Interest rate rises since late 2021 have sparked widespread financial pain, with mortgage turmoil in particular as commercial lenders lift their own rates on home loans.

Wednesday's CPI figures may not prevent a further rate rise in late September, when the Bank of England's monetary policy committee next meets to decide whether to hike its current base rate of 5.25 per cent.

 

Syria doubles pay for civil servants, military personnel

By - Aug 16,2023 - Last updated at Aug 16,2023

DAMASCUS — Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has decreed a 100 per cent pay rise for civil servants and pensioners while fuel subsidies were lifted in a country ravaged by 12 years of war.

The Syrian economy has been battered by the conflict that has killed more than 500,000 people and displaced millions since it began in 2011.

In two decrees issued late Tuesday, Assad doubled the salaries and pensions of those currently and formerly employed in the civil service and military, as well as contract workers.

Prior to the decision, the monthly salary of civil servants had been between around $10 and $25, depending on the Syrian pound's street value.

The presidential decrees also set the minimum monthly wage in the private sector at 185,940 Syrian pounds, or about $13 on the black market.

In a separate statement late Tuesday, the commerce ministry announced the total lifting of subsidies on petrol and a partial lifting of subsidies on fuel oil.

As a result the price of petrol has risen to 8,000 pounds from 3,000 previously, and fuel oil to 2,000 pounds from 700 previously, according to the ministry.

The Syrian pound was trading at around 14,300 to the US dollar on Wednesday, according to unofficial monitoring websites, compared with the official rate of 8,542.

The currency has lost most of its value since the start of the war, when it was worth 47 against the greenback.

Most of the population has been pushed into poverty, according to the United Nations.

 

Japanese economy expands 1.5%, beating expectations

By - Aug 15,2023 - Last updated at Aug 15,2023

TOKYO — Japan's economy grew 1.5 per cent in the three months to June, official data showed on Tuesday, beating expectations on the back of strong exports.

The average forecast for quarter-on-quarter growth in the world's third-largest economy had been 0.8 per cent, according to Bloomberg News.

The data, released by the Cabinet Office, means the economy grew an annualised 6.0 per cent, compared with the market expectation of 2.9 per cent, giving Japan three straight quarters of growth.

The data, however, also underscored the continued weakness of domestic demand as families struggle in the face of raising prices.

"Japan's exports have recovered as the supplies crisis eased for the auto sector while the yen's depreciation provided support," Ryutaro Kono, chief economist at BNP Paribas, wrote in a note issued before the release of the data.

Hiroyuki Ueno, senior economist at SuMi TRUST, also said pent-up demand from the pandemic and an increase in capital investment were boosting the economy. 

"The hospitality sector is expected to remain a driver of economic growth due to the increase in inbound tourism, as the pandemic is now in the rearview mirror," he wrote in a report ahead of the release of the data.

"Although the number of inbound visitors to Japan has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, the per capita consumption of tourists during their stay in Japan has increased, partly due to the weak yen," he wrote. 

The US economy, the world's biggest, has also defied expectations of a slowdown, picking up pace in the second quarter of the year, supported by business investment and consumer spending. Its labour market has remained robust as well.

The strength comes despite US policymakers' efforts to ease demand and rein in inflation, fueling hopes that the Federal Reserve's aggressive campaign of interest rate hikes will lower price increases without triggering a major recession.

Britain earlier this month also reported better-than-expected growth, with the economy expanding 0.2 per cent in the April to June period.

A major worry for the global economy, besides high inflation, remains China.

China's economy showed further signs of weakness in the second quarter as data last month revealed growth had missed expectations and that consumers remained cautious, adding pressure on leaders to unveil further stimulus.

The disappointing figures followed a string of below-par readings indicating the post-COVID recovery was already going off the rails and highlighting the tough work authorities face reviving momentum.

China's National Statistics Bureau said the world's number two economy grew 6.3 per cent on-year in April-June, faster than the previous three months but much weaker than the 7.1 per cent predicted in an AFP survey of analysts.

That came despite having a very low base of comparison with last year, when the country was hit by a series of Covid lockdowns in major cities.

 

UK unemployment climbs as wages grow at record rate

Unemployment rises to 4.2% compared with 3 months to end of May

By - Aug 15,2023 - Last updated at Aug 15,2023

People queue to enter a job centre in east London on July 20, 2016 (AFP photo)

LONDON — UK unemployment increased in the three months to the end of June while wages grew at record annual pace, official data showed on Tuesday, as the economy struggles with high inflation.

The number of people out of work increased to 4.2 per cent compared to 4.0 per cent in the three months to the end of May, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. 

The rise is "mainly due to people taking slightly longer to find work than those who started job hunting in recent months," said Darren Morgan, director of economic statistics at the ONS.

He added that the number of people "prevented from working by long-term sickness has risen again to a new record". 

The UK finance ministry noted that Britain's unemployment rate was lower than that of Canada, France, Italy, Spain and the Euro area. 

While the unemployment rate is the highest since the period from July to September 2021, the ministry added that it remains "low by historical standards". 

The ONS figures also showed that regular pay excluding bonuses was 7.8 per cent higher in the three months to the end of June compared to the same period last year.

This is the highest annual growth rate since comparable records began in 2001.

"Coupled with lower inflation, this means the position on people's real pay is recovering and now looks a bit better than a few months back," Morgan said.

UK annual inflation stands at 7.9 per cent, the highest among G-7 nations, while the Bank of England is tasked by the UK government with keeping annual inflation at around 2 per cent.

 

Further rate hike 

 

The Bank of England has hiked its key interest rate several times since late 2021 and analysts predict that the central bank will increase its rates further following today's figures.

"The fall in employment in the three months to June and further rise in the unemployment rate will be welcomed by the Bank of England as a sign labour market conditions are cooling," said Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics.

But she added that with wage growth still accelerating, the Bank of England is likely to increase its key rate to 5.5 per cent "before it brings its tightening cycle to a close".

"There was always the likelihood that today's unemployment and wages numbers would give the Bank of England a headache when it comes to deciding what to do when it comes to further rate increases," said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK.

"And this morning's numbers have not just given the central bank a headache, but a migraine," he added.

For Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, the record annual wage growth means another rate hike from the Bank of England "looks bolted on in September". 

According to a report by the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development published Monday, 40 per cent of British employers making a counteroffer have offered a higher salary amid persistent labour shortages.

At the same time, workers across the economy have over the past year staged industrial action to demand pay rises in response to the worst cost-of-living crisis in a generation. 

According to the ONS, 160,000 working days were lost because of labour disputes in June, and over half of those were in the health and social work sector. 

Foxconn boss sees potential to invest billions in India

By - Aug 14,2023 - Last updated at Aug 14,2023

TAIPEI — Taiwanese tech giant and key Apple supplier Foxconn said on Monday it sees the potential to invest "several billion dollars" in India, with the firm looking to diversify its manufacturing away from China.

Foxconn — also known by its official name Hon Hai Precision Industry — is the world's biggest contract electronics manufacturer and assembles devices for many companies, most notably Apple's iPhones.

It operates in more than two dozen countries but the bulk of its operations is based in China — a dependence it is looking to reduce, with media reports of major investments in India.

"From the perspective of India's potential market size and if we can fully implement our plans there, I think several billion dollars in investment is only a beginning," Foxconn chairman Young Liu said when asked during an earnings call if the firm planned to invest $2 billion in India.

Foxconn in May announced the purchase of a huge tract of land on the outskirts of Indian tech hub Bengaluru for $37 million.

It currently operates about nine production campuses and has more than 30 factories in India, with "turnover of business size of roughly $10 billion annually", according to Liu.

The company is planning to expand its India operations to "critical components" for consumer electronics and electric vehicles to boost its competitiveness, he said, without giving more details.

"Shipping [for critical components] will probably have to wait till next year but this year, relevant constructions have started," Liu said, adding the operations will take place in three states in India.

Last month, Foxconn withdrew from a $19.4 billion deal with India's Vedanta to make semiconductors in Gujarat state — dealing a blow to New Delhi's plan to boost self-reliance in the tech supply chain.

Foxconn posted a one percent drop in second quarter net profits on Monday, while revenues fell 14 per cent on-year to $1.3 trillion Taiwan dollars ($40.8 billion) — an indication of a worsening market for global electronics during an economic downturn. 

Russian ruble plunges past 100 against dollar for first time since March 2022

Central bank hikes interest rate to 8.5% in July

By - Aug 14,2023 - Last updated at Aug 14,2023

Members of a social network group 'I Really Like Putin' perform in front of a two-meter Russian ruble coin on a street in Moscow on August 18, 2011, during their action in support of Russia's currency (AFP photo)

MOSCOW — The Russian ruble slid past 100 against the dollar Monday, its lowest level since March 23, 2022 — weeks after Moscow unleashed full-scale hostilities in Ukraine.

The ruble has shed around 30 per cent of its value against the dollar since the beginning of the year, as the country imports more and exports less.

Data from the Moscow Exchange showed the ruble trading at 101.01 to the dollar at 11:33am (0833 GMT), while against the euro it tumbled to a near 17-month low of 110.73.

The ruble could sink further to 115-120 per dollar, Alor Broker analyst Alexei Antonov warned in a note published by financial firms on Monday.

"For the decline in the ruble to end," Antonov said, "we need to wait for a reduction in imports or decisive steps by the monetary authorities."

Russia's central bank already hiked its key interest rate to a greater-than-expected 8.5 percent in July, and last week set aside its budget rule in a bid to stabilise the currency.

The decline in the ruble has prompted fears ordinary Russians' standard of living could take a hit, as inflation creeps up.

Kremlin aide Maxim Oreshkin blamed what he called "loose monetary policy" in an opinion piece published by the state-run TASS news agency Monday.

He said the central bank had all the "necessary tools" to address the situation and predicted the ruble exchange rate would return to normal in the near future.

Preliminary audit report slams Lebanon central bank, governor

Financial position of BdL ‘deteriorated rapidly’ between 2015 - 2020

By - Aug 13,2023 - Last updated at Aug 13,2023

Lebanese Parliament building (AFP file photo)

BEIRUT — A preliminary forensic audit of Lebanon's central bank by professional services firm Alvarez & Marsal (A&M) has painted a damning picture of the institution under long-serving former governor Riad Salameh.

Since late 2019, Lebanon has been mired in an economic crisis that the World Bank has dubbed one of the worst in modern times, but officials have largely failed to take action to stem the collapse or implement reforms demanded by creditors.

An audit of the central bank has been among the top demands of creditors as Lebanon seeks bailout funds.

The financial position of the central bank (BdL) "deteriorated rapidly" between 2015 and 2020, according to a leaked copy of the preliminary report which was seen by AFP on Friday.

"However, this deterioration was not reported in BdL's balance sheet presented in its annual financial statements, which were prepared using unconventional accounting policies," it said.

Those policies allowed the central bank "to overstate assets, equity and profits while understating liabilities", it added.

Former governor Salameh, who left his post at the end of last month, is widely viewed as a key culprit in the country's dramatic economic crash.

On Thursday, Britain, Canada and the United States announced sweeping sanctions against the 73-year-old, who is also wanted in Europe for alleged financial crimes. Salameh has denied all charges against him.

In 2015, he launched so-called financial engineering measures aimed at increasing central bank reserves, in measures that some have compared to a Ponzi scheme.

The preliminary audit report said the central bank's "accounting policy in respect of financial engineering was exceptional in the extent of personal, unscrutinised discretion given to the governor to determine accounting estimates", it said, calling the measures "costly".

 

'Misconduct' 

 

It recommended "immediate action" to "introduce further governance, oversight and scrutiny measures to mitigate any further risk arising from BdL's misconduct".

It also recommended implementing "strong internal controls across BdL's risk taking departments".

Salameh is the subject of judicial investigations at home and abroad into allegations including embezzlement.

In May, judicial authorities in France and Munich in Germany issued arrest warrants for Salameh over accusations including money laundering and fraud.

Lebanon does not extradite its nationals.

European investigators have been probing the central bank's ties to Forry Associates Ltd., a British Virgin Islands-registered company that listed Salameh's brother Raja as its beneficiary.

The US Treasury said on Thursday that Forry was a "shell company" used "to divert approximately $330 million from transactions involving the BdL".

"Salameh and Raja then moved these funds to bank accounts in their own names or the names of other shell companies," the statement said. 

A&M's preliminary audit report said "there is evidence of the payment of illegitimate commissions during the period totalling $111 million".

"This appears to be a continuation of the commission scheme under investigation by Lebanese and international prosecuting authorities," the report said.

"We have identified no records to confirm that a service was actually performed to justify the commission payments," it added.

A&M had agreed to complete its work in 12 weeks, the preliminary report said, but "the review was in fact completed 49 weeks after mobilisation due to the frequent delays in receipt of data".

It cited "many challenges in conducting the forensic audit, including that we have not been allowed access on site at BdL, nor have we been permitted to conduct interviews with BdL staff or leadership".

Bank tax hits investor confidence in Italian gov't

By - Aug 13,2023 - Last updated at Aug 13,2023

MILAN — Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's government watered down its surprise windfall tax on banks this week after a brutal market reaction, but the damage to investor confidence was done.

"The most damaging impact... will not be the hit to the earnings of Italian banks but the higher risk premium that investors will demand to compensate them for the risk of future government intervention," noted Johann Scholtz, analyst at Morningstar. 

Meloni's hard-right government announced out of the blue on Monday night that it would levy a 40-per cent tax on banks' "surplus profits" generated by interest rate hikes, due to last one year.

Shares in Italian banks plunged the next day on the Milan exchange, losing 9.5 billion euros ($10.5 billion) in capitalisation — a figure well in excess of the money Rome had hoped to raise from the tax.

That evening, the government announced the levy would be capped at 0.1 per cent of the total assets of a bank, causing them to recover some of their lost ground in trading on Wednesday and Thursday.

But ratings agency Moody's said on Thursday that the one-off tax would "lower profits systemwide and significantly reduce the benefit of increased interest rates to the sector".

Parliament must still approve the decree law but if implemented in its current form, the levy would represent "about 15 per cent" of Italian banks' net income in 2022, it said.

 

'Haphazard manner' 

 

It was Meloni's first showdown with the markets since she took office in October, after her far-right Brothers of Italy Party came top in September's general election.

Initial alarm at the potential for radical change in the eurozone's third-largest economy gave way to relief as Meloni mostly followed the path set by her predecessor, former European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi.

One of Draghi's ministers, Giancarlo Giorgetti of the far-right League party, stayed on as Meloni's economy minister.

He reassured banks in June that a windfall tax was not on the cards — but was absent on Monday when the measure was unveiled by League leader Matteo Salvini.

"An economy minister who does not show up for a press conference in such an occasion gives a very bad image of the country," noted Francesco Giavazzi, a former economic advisor to Draghi.

"The haphazard manner of the announcement, where the government changed the terms of the tax at least three times in one day, will do little to restore investor confidence," added Scholtz.

 

'Populist target' 

 

While Meloni left the announcement of the tax to Salvini, her deputy prime minister, she defended it in a video posted on social media on Wednesday.

She criticised the "unfair margins" of the banks, and said the money raised would help "fund measures of support for households and businesses" struggling with record inflation.

Italian banks, like their European counterparts, saw their net interest income soar in the wake of the European Central Bank's rise in interest rates.

According to the Italian media, Meloni agreed with Salvini to introduce the measure to help appease their right-wing electorate.

The government — which also includes the Forza Italia party of late former premier Silvio Berlusconi — has been criticised for cutting an anti-poverty mechanism and blocking opposition calls for a minimum wage.

"Banks are an easy populist target and their bashing can only attract political support," said Lorenzo Codogno, former chief economist at the Italian Treasury.

But he warned that "a Soviet-style tax" such as this week's levy "risks producing permanent damage to the attractiveness of Italy's economy".

 

IEA raises world oil demand forecast in 2023 towards all-time high

By - Aug 12,2023 - Last updated at Aug 12,2023

PARIS — The International Energy Agency (IEA) said Friday it had revised upwards its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2023 as demand is "scaling record highs".

World oil demand already hit a record 103 million barrels per day in June and August and "could see yet another peak", the Paris-based IEA said in its monthly report.

"For 2023 as a whole, global oil demand is set to expand by 2.2 million barrels per day to 102.2 million barrels per day," it said.

China accounted for 70 per cent of growth, the IEA said, adding that demand in the Asian giant was "also stronger than expected, reaching fresh highs despite persistent concerns over the health of the economy".

"World oil demand is scaling record highs, boosted by strong summer air travel, increased oil use in power generation and surging Chinese petrochemical activity," the IEA said.

The forecasted expansion in global demand in 2023 would mark its "highest ever annual level", according to the agency, which in February had already forecast an annual record for the year of 101.9mbd.

The increasing demand for oil comes amid tensions on world markets after significant output cuts by several members of the OPEC+ alliance — made up of 13 members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) headed by Saudi Arabia and their 10 allies led by Russia — to prop up prices.

As a result, global oil supply plunged by 910,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July, to 100.9mbd, the IEA said in its report.

A sharp reduction in production by Saudi Arabia last month saw output from the 23-nation OPEC+ alliance fall 1.2mbd, to 50.7 mbd "a near two-year low".

Volumes by non-OPEC+ members rose to 50.2mbd, the report added.

 

Price increase 

on horizon? 

 

In April, several OPEC+ members decided to slash production voluntarily by more than 1mbd — a surprise move that briefly buttressed prices but failed to bring about lasting recovery. 

Oil producers are grappling with falling prices and high market volatility, reflecting continued fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine and China's faltering economic recovery. 

Saudi Arabia also announced last week that it was extending its voluntary oil production cut of 1mbd for another month to include September.

Moscow has pledged, too, to cut production by 500,000bpd in August, and a further cut of 300,000bpd for September.

"Market balances are set to tighten further into the autumn as Saudi Arabia and Russia extend supply cuts at least through September," the IEA said.

If the bloc's current targets are maintained, oil inventories could fall in the second half of the year "with a risk of driving prices still higher".

Looking ahead to 2024 as the world races to combat climate change and reduce the use of fossil fuels, the IEA said it anticipated demand growth to slow.

"With the post-pandemic rebound running out of steam, and as lacklustre economic conditions, tighter efficiency standards and new electric vehicles weigh on use, growth is forecast to slow to 1 mbd in 2024," it said.

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