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EU, China to talk trade as tensions mount

By - Sep 12,2020 - Last updated at Sep 12,2020

BRUSSELS — EU leaders hold video talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Monday hoping to make progress on trade and investment.

The virtual meeting between top Chinese officials and EU Council President Charles Michel, European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, replaces a full summit with all 27 European leaders which had to be cancelled because of coronavirus.

China has said an investment deal already seven years in the making can be agreed by the end of the year, but EU officials warn significant obstacles remain and insist they will not agree to unfavourable terms simply to cut a deal.

"Even if there is a political objective to accelerate negotiations and conclude them by the end of the year, we will have this only if it is something worth having," an EU official said.

Brussels says "significant progress" has been made in talks since a similar video summit in June, and officials hope to agree a "roadmap" to get a deal done by the end of the year, but they also warn Beijing needs to do more to improve market access for European companies.

Brussels wants to reinforce respect for intellectual property, end obligations to transfer technology and see a reduction in subsidies for Chinese public enterprises.

 

China-US tensions 

 

No major breakthrough is expected on Monday, but the EU side hopes to persuade Xi, China's leader, to give fresh political impetus to the talks — and to allow his negotiators more room to compromise.

The meeting comes amid increasing trade disputes and tension between China and the US.

"The EU stands firm on its interests and values but also wants to cooperate with China," a senior EU official said.

Pompeo and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi have both toured European capitals over the summer seeking to drum up support.

"What is absolutely important in this is the EU would not become a battleground for these tensions, but the EU would be a stabilising factor and defend its own interests and universal values," the official said.

The EU is far from united on how to deal with China, with some member states urging a tougher stance to get Beijing to do better on rights and the environment and others favouring a gentler approach to boost trade.

Beijing has used its mammoth "Belt and Road" infrastructure scheme to effectively pick off investment-hungry EU member states such as Greece, Portugal and Italy.

On climate change, Brussels hopes to press China to be more ambitious in its efforts to cut emissions.

"Our Chinese friends do have a habit of not wanting to overpromise and under-deliver," an EU official said.

"They have been extremely prudent in the commitments they have made... but this is no longer the time for excess prudence."

The EU wants a commitment from Beijing to peak its emissions in 2025 and achieve climate neutrality by 2060, as well as ending investment in coal power.

EU pushes for tough curbs on cryptocurrencies

By - Sep 12,2020 - Last updated at Sep 12,2020

The photo shows participants in the Informal Meeting of Ministers for Economics and Financial Affairs, including French Finance and Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire (middle row, 2nd right) in the family photo, in Berlin, on Friday (AFP photo)

BERLIN — Finance ministers from the EU's top economies on Friday pushed for strict curbs on cryptocurrencies, including the Libra project launched by Facebook.

A joint statement by the finance ministers of Germany, France, Spain, Italy and The Netherlands insisted such projects should be carefully controlled and regulated.

"No global asset-backed crypto-asset arrangement should begin operation in the European Union until the legal, regulatory and oversight challenges and risks have been adequately identified and addressed," they said.

Facebook's announcement last year of plans to design the Libra cryptocurrency and payments system raised big red flags for global regulators who expressed criticism of privately-run currency.

Facebook has touted its initiative as a way to lower costs for consumers around the world, eliminating the high fees of cross-border transfers.

The European Central Bank "is the only one to be allowed to issue a currency", French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said in Berlin, at a meeting of EU finance ministers.

"This point is something that cannot be jeopardised or weakened by any kind of project, including the so-called Libra project," he said.

If created, all such currencies should be tied to the euro or another EU currency, the ministers said, and should be registered and deposited in an EU-approved bank.

"We are waiting for the commission to issue very strong and very clear rules to avoid the misuse of cryptocurrencies for terrorist activities or for money laundering," Le Maire said.

The commission, the EU's executive arm, is set to deliver its proposals later this month.

Kuwait ousts blue-collar expats as economic woes bite

By - Sep 11,2020 - Last updated at Sep 11,2020

An Arab blacksmith works at a workshop in Kuwait City on Thursday (AFP photo)

KUWAIT CITY — After more than 45 years washing cars in Kuwait to make ends meet, Egyptian Marzouq Mohammed will soon be kicked out of the country as economic woes and coronavirus stoke anti-foreigner sentiment.

The 65-year-old is among tens of thousands who will be forced to leave the oil-rich country, hard hit by collapsing crude prices. 

Last month, the cash-strapped government said that from January it will no longer renew work permits for expatriates over the age of 60 without university degrees. 

"Now they tell us this? Now they say 'he's 65, he must leave'. Leave where and to do what? We spent a lifetime here," Mohammed said. 

Like its Gulf neighbours, Kuwait depends heavily on cheap foreign labour, mainly Middle Eastern and Asian workers.

Many arrive as young adults to work in blue-collar jobs, occupations most Kuwaitis shun in favour of high-paying government positions.

But collapsing oil revenues, a vital source of state funds, are forcing a rethink.

Prime Minister Sabah Al-Khaled Al-Sabah has said the number of non-Kuwaitis should be capped at 30 per cent of the 4.8 million population, down from 70 per cent currently, to "resolve the demographic imbalance".

The country must rely more on Kuwaitis "to work in all professions" as it seeks to diversify its economy, he said. 

But for Iranian Hasan Ali, also among the more than 68,000 people whose visas will not be renewed, leaving a country where he has spent more than half his 67 years will be heartbreaking.

"I got married here, I had my children here, I lived my life here," Ali, a greengrocer at the Al-Mubarakiya souq in Kuwait City, said. 

"It's difficult that I have to leave 'just like that' after all these years."

 

 Business sense? 

 

The coronavirus pandemic, which disproportionately hit migrant workers living in crowded lodgings, spotlighted the presence of a community increasingly seen as a burden -- particularly as the downturn snuffed out their jobs.

One famous Kuwaiti actress made headlines at the height of the panic in April by saying foreigners should be expelled to free up hospital beds for locals.

"We should send them out... put them in the desert. I'm not against humanity, but we have reached a stage where we're fed up," Hayat Al-Fahad told a local television channel.

Her comments sparked outrage on social media. 

TV presenter Nadia Al-Maraghi faced legal action for "inappropriate rhetoric" after visiting a holding centre for foreign workers being ejected for visa violations, where she and a friend joked that they had to wear masks because of the stink.

While the latest move to slash the migrant population has been welcomed by some, experts say the decision will hurt the private sector and stifle consumption. 

The restaurants union has warned it could hit businesses already struggling after months of lockdown.

M.R. Raghu, head of research at Kuwait Financial Centre (Markaz), said the strategy was to create jobs for Kuwaitis while retaining more skilled foreign workers.

"By reducing the expats who do not add much value to the economy, jobs can be freed up to provide employment opportunities for nationals," he said.

However, despite a drive to encourage locals to enter the private job market, only about 72,000 locals work in the private sector -- just over five percent of the country's 1.4 million citizens. 

"The government would also need to take steps to make the private sector much more attractive for nationals, who currently prefer to work in the public sector," Raghu said.

 

 'Leave everything behind' 

 

Populations across the Gulf are dipping as the coronavirus and the ensuing oil crunch ravage economies.

Kuwait's crunch has been particularly acute. Last month, Finance minister Barak Al-Sheetan warned that there would not be enough cash to pay state salaries beyond October unless the government can secure fresh funds.

The country has one of the world's largest sovereign wealth funds, known as the Future Generations Fund, with assets estimated at $550 billion -- set aside for a post-oil era. 

Withdrawals require approval from parliament. 

But the legislature accuses the government of mismanaging public finances, and has rejected a bill to borrow 20 billion dinars ($65 billion) over the next 30 years.

It is a rude reckoning for a country once seen as the most dynamic in the Gulf, but where generous subsidies and public sector salaries now make up three-quarters of oil-fuelled state budgets.

But Syrian Khalil Abdullah, a 63-year-old mechanic, said he still hoped for a reprieve to let him stay in Kuwait into his old age.

"Those who have shops and companies, is it possible for them to just leave everything behind and go?" he asked.

Singapore Airlines to shed 4,300 jobs

By - Sep 11,2020 - Last updated at Sep 11,2020

This photo taken on March 16, 2020 shows Singapore Airlines planes parked on the tarmac at Changi International Airport in Singapore (AFP photo)

SINGAPORE — Singapore Airlines (SIA) said on Thursday it was cutting about 4,300 jobs -- around 20 per cent of its workforce -- due to the coronavirus, and warned any recovery would be "long and fraught with uncertainty".

SIA is the latest airline to announce massive layoffs as the global aviation industry faces its greatest-ever crisis due to travel restrictions to fight the spread of the pandemic.

The city-state's flag carrier said about 1,900 positions had already been eliminated in recent months due to a recruitment freeze, natural attrition and voluntary departures, reducing further expected job cuts to around 2,400.

Positions are being cut across full-service Singapore Airlines, regional carrier SilkAir and budget airline Scoot in Singapore and overseas.

“The future remains extremely challenging," said Singapore Airlines chief executive Goh Choon Phong.

"Given the expectation that the road to recovery will be long and fraught with uncertainty, it has come to the point where we have to make the painfully difficult decision to implement involuntary staff reduction measures."

He said Singapore Airlines was more vulnerable than other major carriers around the world, as it did not have a domestic market and is wholly dependent on international routes.

The carrier, which reported a net loss of more than US$800 million in the first quarter, is only operating at eight per cent of pre-pandemic capacity.

While this is expected to increase, the airline said it is still likely to be operating at less than 50 per cent of its pre-virus capacity by the end of the current financial year in March next year.

The cuts come despite the airline group raising a total Sg$11 billion in fresh funds to help it weather the crisis -- including Sg$8.8 billion from a rights issue backed by its majority shareholder, state investment fund Temasek.

Transport Minister Ong Ye Kung said the airline had "delayed this workforce reduction as long as they can but with air travel decimated by Covid-19, this has unfortunately become inevitable."

He added the government would strive to help impacted workers.

Industry body the International Air Transport Association (IATA) estimates that airlines operating in the Asia-Pacific region stand to lose a combined $27.8 billion this year.

In July, IATA forecast that global air traffic is unlikely to return to pre-coronavirus levels until at least 2024 -- a year later than previously projected.

Stocks rise but LVMH tiff takes Tiffany down

Sterling retreating, oil prices rebound slightly

By - Sep 09,2020 - Last updated at Sep 09,2020

This photo shows a general view of the offices of British-Swedish multinational pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical company AstraZeneca Plc. in Macclesfield, Cheshire, on July 21 (AFP photo)

LONDON — US and European markets rose on Wednesday, brushing aside falls in Asia and an overnight rout on Wall Street — but US jeweller Tiffany slumped on news its buyout by France's LVMH was off.

Wall Street bounced back from a three-day rout in early trading as the Dow added almost one per cent while the Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 1.8 per cent after recent sessions had trashed tech.

Tiffany shares sank 10.5 per cent after French luxury group LVMH said it was withdrawing from a $16.2 billion acquisition which would have been the biggest ever in the luxury industry, blaming arguments over deal-closing deadlines and threatened US taxes on French goods.

Two hours from the close in Europe, London's benchmark FTSE 100 gained 1.3 per cent, helped by the struggling pound which boosts earnings for multinationals trading on the index.

Shares in British drugs group AstraZeneca dropped 1.5 per cent before edging back after the company "voluntarily paused" a randomised clinical trial of its coronavirus vaccine, in what it called a routine action after a volunteer developed an unexplained illness.

The company, which is developing the drug alongside the University of Oxford, is a frontrunner in the global race for a Covid-19 vaccine. 

Sterling continued its retreat on fears that Britain will fail to strike a post-Brexit trade deal with the European Union as the euro barrelled still higher against the pound to 91.09 pence. The pound also struck a six-week low against the dollar at $1.2919.

Oil prices rebounded slightly, meanwhile, from recent sharp losses.

"European stocks and US index futures have recovered... following a big drop on Wall Street the day before, where technology shares were hammered on valuation concerns," noted Fawad Razaqzada, analyst at ThinkMarkets. 

"There has been no obvious trigger behind the rebound and it remains to be seen whether the recovery will hold once the US session gets underway."

Razaqzada said that hopes of further stimulus from the European Central Bank could be helping eurozone indices. 

 

Tech sell-off 

 

Tech giants including Apple, Microsoft and Tesla had led Tuesday losses to bring the Nasdaq's succession of record highs to a juddering halt — but analysts said on Wednesday the latest selling was broadening out.

Tesla, which on Tuesday collapsed 21 per cent — its worst day on record — was up almost nine per cent in early trading.

Asian stocks lost ground, with Tokyo, Shanghai, Seoul, Mumbai, Manila and Wellington all losing more than one per cent. 

While technology firms in the region were taking a hiding, energy firms were also in the cross-hairs after oil prices on Tuesday suffered their heaviest losses since the early days of the pandemic before pulling off week lows on Wednesday.

The commodity had retreated on concerns about demand as the global recovery stutters and after the US summer holiday season — when people traditionally take to the road — came to an end.

There are fears that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will begin picking up production soon, after an output cut put in place to support the market earlier in the year.

Pound, FTSE slide on latest Brexit tensions

Oil prices fall more than 6 per cent

By - Sep 08,2020 - Last updated at Sep 08,2020

A British one pound sterling coin and a US quarter dollar coin are arranged and photographed in central London, on October 5, 2017 (AFP file photo)

LONDON — Sterling slumped close to a one-month low against the dollar on Tuesday as investors fretted over heightened Brexit tensions ahead of crunch trade talks between London and Brussels.

In midday deals, the pound dropped more than 1 per cent versus the greenback to $1.3022 — a level last seen on August 12 — before edging back slightly. It also lost ground against the euro to extend a four-day losing streak.

The pound began its fall on Monday after Prime Minister Boris Johnson revived the prospect of a no-deal Brexit, saying if an EU trade deal is not struck by October 15 then there would not be one.

On Wall Street, coming off a long Labour Day holiday weekend, US tech stocks took a battering, with Tesla slumping more than 15 per cent while oil prices plunged more than 6 per cent as the coronavirus pandemic weighed on the outlook for demand.

About 10 minutes into trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1.6 per cent while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index lost 3 per cent for a third straight decline.

Sterling fell on confirmation that the head of the UK government's legal department has resigned over Johnson's last-minute changes to Britain's EU Withdrawal Agreement.

Northern Ireland Secretary Brandon Lewis admitted that the changes break international law in "tightly defined circumstances".

The eighth round of negotiations resume this week, with both sides talking tough as the end of a transition period approaches.

 

'Brexit wheels fall off?' 

 

"It looks like the wheels of the Brexit bus are finally falling off, as news of the head of UK government legal [department]resigns," said analyst Sebastien Clements at international payments company OFX.

"Whilst we should caution that this indicates disharmony, it is also possibly an overreaction by the market to a negative headline, and does not necessarily make a deal with the EU less likely than it was before," Markets.com analyst Neil Wilson added.

 

Asia ticks higher 

 

Asian stocks had ticked higher following steep drops last week, as investors brushed off US President Donald Trump's latest anti-China salvo.

Despite continued uncertainty about the timetable for economic recovery — and with no Covid-19 vaccine yet available — investors remain convinced central banks around the world are willing to play backstop and keep monetary policy supportive for years to come.

Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings indicated it expected global gross domestic product (GDP) to fall by 4.4 per cent in 2020, a small upward revision from the 4.6 decline forecast in June with China regaining its pre-virus level of GDP and US, French and British retail sales bouncing back.

"But we doubt this will become the much-lauded 'V'-shaped recovery," Fitch warned in its latest Global Economic Outlook.

AFP takes action against Google over copyright impasse

By - Sep 08,2020 - Last updated at Sep 08,2020

PARIS — Agence France-Presse (AFP) said on Tuesday that it had lodged a complaint with French regulators over a standoff with Google, saying the US giant is refusing to move forward on paying to display the agency's content in web searches.

Last April, France's competition authority ordered Google to negotiate "in good faith" with media groups, after it refused to comply with a new EU law governing digital copyrights.

The so-called "neighbouring rights" aim to ensure that news publishers are compensated when their work is shown on websites, search engines and social media platforms.

Although talks were carried out over several months, news publishers said Google was refusing to budge, prompting complaints by the newspapers' alliance APIG as well as French magazine publishers.

"We have also filed a complaint with the competition authority because we consider that Google has not negotiated in good faith," AFP's Chief Executive Fabrice Fries said.

"Google offered to extend the talks, but we refused because they were going nowhere — we determined they would not advance unless there was a change in method," he said.

Isabelle de Silva, president of the competition authority, said one option could be to name a mediator for the talks, as suggested by some participants in recent weeks.

For now, however, the regulator is waiting for a ruling from a Paris appeals court after Google challenged the validity of the negotiations imposed last April. 

De Silva said a court hearing was set for Thursday, and a ruling could come as soon as this month.

Google has maintained that it should not have to pay to display pictures, videos or text snippets alongside search results, saying the practice drives hundreds of millions of visits to publishers' websites each month.

Sterling sinks as Johnson resurrects spectre of no-deal Brexit

By - Sep 07,2020 - Last updated at Sep 07,2020

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson (left) reacts during his visit to the Solihull Interchange construction site for the HS2 high-speed railway project, near Birmingham, central England, on Friday (AFP file photo)

LONDON — The British pound sank on Monday after Prime Minister Boris Johnson appeared to revive investor fears of a no-deal Brexit, dealers said.

Heading into the half-way point in London, sterling deepened losses to shed 1 per cent versus the dollar. It was also down 0.8 per cent against the European single currency.

Johnson has given an October 15 deadline for a post-Brexit trade agreement with the European Union, brushing off fears about “no-deal” chaos if talks fail.

“If we can’t agree by then, then I do not see that there will be a free-trade agreement between us,” Johnson said, insisting it would still be a “good outcome” for Britain.

The Financial Times meanwhile reported that Johnson is planning legislation to override parts of the withdrawal treaty that Britain and the EU agreed last year.

The report cited three people close to the plans as saying a bill to be put before parliament this week would undermine agreements relating to Northern Ireland customs and state aid.

“Judging by today’s price action in the pound, investors appear to believe that Johnson has indeed resurrected the spectre of a no-deal Brexit,” ThinkMarkets analyst Fawad Razaqzada told AFP.

“However, I reckon it is all part of negotiation tactics — and in the end a cliff-edge Brexit will probably be avoided as it is not in either party’s interests.”

In response to the report, Downing Street said only that it was still “working hard to resolve outstanding issues with the Northern Ireland Protocol” but was considering “fall-back options”.

EU leader Ursula von der Leyen warned that Britain is legally obliged to respect the Brexit withdrawal agreement, which must form the basis of bilateral relations going forward.

The eighth round of negotiations resume in London this week, with both sides talking increasingly tough, amid accusations of intransigence and political brinkmanship.

The weak pound meanwhile handed a fillip to the London stock market, because it boosts the share prices of multinationals earning in dollars.

Frankfurt and Paris also charged higher as investors snapped up bargain stocks following heady losses last week.

Asian equities struggled on Monday, with a mixed US jobs report offsetting a pledge from Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell that interest rates would remain rock-bottom for years.

China-US tensions and a lack of progress in Washington stimulus talks — all against the backdrop of the coronavirus pandemic — were keeping markets from surging.

Wall Street nursed more losses on Friday, albeit shallower than Thursday’s rout that hammered the tech sector as traders took profits from months of huge gains.

In commodity markets on Monday, world oil prices sank on stubborn concerns over the long-term energy demand outlook, as economies struggle to shake off coronavirus fallout.

“The market is growing less and less confident that oil demand will recover as quickly as it hoped,” said Rystad Energy analyst Paola Rodriguez-Masiu.

 

Nordics welfare model limits corona economic damage

By - Sep 06,2020 - Last updated at Sep 06,2020

This photo, taken on August 25, shows employees working at the production line of Swedish auto maker Volvo Cars’s Torslanda production plant in Gothenburg, Sweden (AFP photo)

STOCKHOLM — While the coronavirus crisis has pushed Europe’s economies into record second quarter slumps, Nordic countries have fared better than most, with their well-oiled welfare states helping to limit the damage.

Without the government’s help, Markus Larsson insists, “we would have had to lay off maybe 20 more people”.

At the head of a chain of bakeries in Linkoping, southern Sweden, the small-business owner has the state to thank for helping keep his business afloat.

Larsson benefitted from state-sponsored reductions for his business’s rent and social benefits charges, and was able to reduce his staff’s working hours while the government topped up their salaries.

Those measures made it possible for him to limit lay-offs to around 20, out of a staff of 100.

Sweden has made headlines around the world for its softer approach to the new coronavirus, refusing to lockdown and keeping schools, restaurants and most businesses open throughout the pandemic.

It now has the world’s eighth-highest death toll relative to its population, at 573 per million.

In mid-March, the government was quick to announce economic aid worth up to 28 billion euros ($33 billion) to help businesses.

In Sweden — as in neighbouring Denmark, Finland, Norway and Iceland — “policy response to combat the economic impact of the pandemic has been prompt, large, and well-designed”, Robert Bergqvist, analyst at SEB bank, told AFP. 

Denmark, Finland, Norway and Iceland all adopted stricter confinement measures than Sweden, including shutting schools, but shops and businesses largely stayed open there as well.

In Finland, “we were able to get the virus under control relatively quickly with a relatively modest lockdown. We never had to close down the whole economy, or all the stores or factories,” said Danske Bank economist Jukka Appelqvist.

Like elsewhere, the Nordic countries introduced state aid, compensated employees whose hours were reduced, and agreed to postpone tax payments, but the effects seem to have paid off more in the Nordics than elsewhere.

 

Consumer confidence 

 

The economies of Norway, Finland, Sweden and Denmark all registered “historic” contractions in the second quarter, their economies shrinking year-on-year by between 6.3 and 8.2 per cent.

By comparison, the eurozone — of which only Finland is a member — saw overall gross domestic product (GDP) reduced by 15 per cent, according to Eurostat, weighed down by particularly sharp falls in France, Italy and Spain.

 

Why the big difference?

 

The Nordics enjoy longstanding and robust welfare states, solid public finances, strong online cultures facilitating working from home, and a large public sector, all of which helped limit the damage, according to economists.

With safety nets firmly in place before the crisis and relative job security, households remained confident and continued to spend.

“People in the Nordic countries never got the feeling that they might end up in a catastrophic financial situation,” says Kjersti Haugland, chief economist at DNB Markets. “Fear never got the better of them.”

Norwegians, for example, took advantage of the time freed up by furloughs and semi-confinement to renovate their homes and stay in shape: At the peak of the pandemic, sales of construction materials and bicycles, hiking and sporting gear soared.

 

Little tourism impact 

 

Meanwhile, one of Europe’s sectors hardest hit by the crisis, tourism, is only of modest importance in the Nordics.

The only exception is Iceland, a “very small economy [with] volatile quarterly numbers”, says Swedbank economist Andreas Wallstrom.

Its economy shrank by 9.3 per cent in the second quarter.

“Few countries are as dependent on tourism as Iceland is,” noted Erna Bjorg Sverrisdottir, chief economist at Arion Banki.

The slump in tourism, which accounted for 8 per cent of Iceland’s economy in 2019, is expected to leave its mark: Statistics Iceland predicted the country’s GDP would shrink by 8.4 per cent this year.

That is a much deeper contraction than in the rest of the region, where economists questioned have forecast declines ranging from -3.5 per cent to -5 per cent — less than half of the drop expected in the eurozone.

‘Made in Hong Kong’ brand suffers as US-China tensions deepen

By - Sep 06,2020 - Last updated at Sep 06,2020

In this photo, taken on August 27, printed labels which read Made in China are used by workers to cover Made in Hong Kong labelling on products at the Koon Chun Sauce Factory in Hong Kong, which produces soy, hoisin and oyster sauces found in Chinese restaurants and kitchens around the world (AFP photo)

HONG KONG — At the Koon Chun Sauce Factory workers are scrambling to cover hundreds of thousands of bottles with new "Made in China" labels as the popular Hong Kong brand falls victim to spiralling diplomatic tensions.

Founded nearly a century ago, the family-owned factory has survived a world war, multiple economic crises and the slow withering of Hong Kong's manufacturing base as companies looked for cheaper labour in mainland China.

It remains one of the financial hub's most enduring brands, churning out culinary staples such as soy, hoisin and oyster sauces found in Chinese restaurants and kitchens around the world.

But from November it can no longer place the words "Made in Hong Kong" on any products exported to the United States — part of Washington's response to Beijing imposing a new security law on the city.

The new rules, announced by US Customs in July, came just two days before a Koon Chun shipment of 1,300 boxes was about to set sail for Atlanta.

The factory suddenly had to relabel the entire shipment and all other cargo the firm planned to ship to the US this summer. 

"It was a mission impossible," Daniel Chan told AFP from the factory his great-grandfather founded in 1928.

 

 Impossible situation 

 

Economic consequences have rippled through the recession-hit hub. Rattled tech firms have declined to share data with local police while some companies and universities are struggling to attract international talent.

Banks have found themselves caught in an impossible situation. 

The US has sanctioned key Chinese and Hong Kong officials in response to the law. But that same security law also forbids companies from complying with any foreign sanctions regime. 

Another victim has been the "Made in Hong Kong" brand, a label that companies can place on products made exclusively in the city.

US President Donald Trump has turned increasingly hawkish towards China as he seeks reelection, and the crackdown on democracy supporters in Hong Kong has given him fresh ammunition.

This summer his administration declared Hong Kong no longer sufficiently autonomous to justify special trading status. Instead it would be treated like any other Chinese city.

Chan, who studied at Harvard in the US, said he expected the political landscape would shift in Hong Kong. But he never thought it would come so fast.

"I envisioned something closer to 2047, when Hong Kong is officially without One Country Two Systems," Chan said, referring to the China promise to let Hong Kong keep key liberties and autonomy for 50 years after the 1997 handover from Britain.

The past few weeks have been a blur of activity at the sauce factory as its 90 employees try to adjust to the new reality.

 Political fiasco 

 

On top of the stop-gap stickers, new labels are being drawn up for US exports — the large "Made in Hong Kong" lettering replaced with a much smaller "Made in China" declaration.

Much time has been spent rearranging storage for now-delayed cargo shipments.

Companies were given a reprieve when Hong Kong's commerce minister Edward Yau said Washington had postponed the label rule until early November, after the presidential election. 

"This buys us a little bit of time," Chan said. 

But he described it as "a short-term solution to this whole politically inspired fiasco".

Yau has slammed the labelling change and threatened to take the US to the World Trade Organisation.

He also stressed that Hong Kong-made shipments to the US were worth just HK$3.7 billion ($480 million) in 2019, less than 0.1 per cent of the city's gross exports.

But that is little consolation for Chan who says around half his products go to the US, where the brand is especially popular with the large Chinese diaspora in north America. 

"I would say we are the only company which is only based in Hong Kong and still doing this kind of mass production and shipping it to US," he said.

Looking ahead, Chan fears more international markets may follow America.

"In 20 years, 30 years from now, people will only have 'Made in China' and forget about Hong Kong," Chan said. "That's very sad."

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