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Stocks mixed as record-breaking week approaches end

By - Mar 13,2021 - Last updated at Mar 13,2021

NEW YORK — US and European stocks had a mixed finish on Friday, capping a week that saw equities set new records on both sides of the Atlantic but also struggle with inflation fears.

In Europe, London's FTSE 100 gained as a weaker pound helped take the sting out of data showing Britain's economy tanked amid the latest COVID-19 lockdown, and post-Brexit exports to the EU plunged.

In the eurozone, Frankfurt's DAX 30, which has streaked to fresh highs repeatedly this week, gave up gains made the previous day after the European Central Bank boosted sentiment by promising more support for the economy if needed.

The Dow and S&P 500 managed to edge to new records for the second day straight day in New York trading, but rising bond yields amid fears of oncoming inflation kept investors away from tech stocks, sending the Nasdaq down 0.6 per cent at the close.

"There is a tug of war in the market regarding where inflation will settle," Quincy Krosby of Prudential Financial said. 

Traders are watching how US President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus package will impact the economy, as well as mulling added push from the infrastructure package he is expected to soon propose.

"No one is suggesting at this point that we will be due for hyperinflation," Krosby said. But since the Federal Reserve has made it clear they will run the economy hotter, markets are now wondering, "how hot?"

Asian stock markets earlier closed mostly higher.

 

Incoming stimulus 

 

Less than two months after taking office, Biden on Thursday put his signature on the huge rescue plan, which paves the way for a spending splurge widely seen as ramping up both domestic and global growth.

The package — which includes up to $1,400 in cash handouts, extended unemployment benefits and other aid programmes — comes as the US government accelerates its vaccine drive against the coronavirus.

The ECB's decision on Thursday to ramp up its own stimulus, or bond-buying programme, provided some calm to markets.

Observers said the ECB move signaled to investors that central bank officials around the world were ready to step in to keep their monetary policies ultra-low for as long as needed to help the economy get back on track.

However, an increase in money market rates this year has led some economists to fear that the largesse of global central banks and central governments will cause a surge in inflation, potentially leading to an end of the cheap cash that has powered a year-long equity rally.

Those fears were in play once again on Friday, analysts said, pointing to the rate on benchmark 10-year US government bonds rising above 1.6 per cent.

"After some relative calm on the interest rate front, another jump in the 10-year Treasury yield seems to be pressuring stocks," said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade.

"It seems that the pressure on the Nasdaq is coming amid a reallocation from tech stocks and into cyclical equities" that benefit from an increase in economic growth, he said. "While such a shift can be unnerving, it's nothing to panic about".

Bitcoin passes $60,000 for first time

By - Mar 13,2021 - Last updated at Mar 13,2021

Bitcoin briefly rose above $60,000 for the first time on Saturday (AFP photo)

PARIS — Bitcoin passed the $60,000 mark for the first time on Saturday, with analysts saying the giant US stimulus package helped boost the world's most popular virtual currency on its record-breaking run.

The cryptocurrency hit $60,197 at 12:34 GMT and continued to hover around $60,000, according to the website CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin has tripled in value over the last three months — it was worth $20,000 in December — bolstered by increasing backing from corporate heavyweights.

Markets.com analyst Neil Wilson said that in recent days "Bitcoin went up as investors looked to the imminent arrival of stimulus cheques".

Individuals in the US earning up to $75,000 will receive a cheque for $1,400 from this weekend, after President Joe Biden signed his $1.9 trillion COVID-19 rescue plan into law this week.

Bitcoin has been on a meteoric rise since March last year, when it stood at $5,000, spurred by online payments giant PayPal saying it would allow account holders to use cryptocurrency.

Last month, Elon Musk's electric carmaker Tesla invested $1.5 billion in the virtual unit, while Twitter chief Jack Dorsey and rap mogul Jay-Z said they are creating a fund aimed at making Bitcoin "the internet's currency".

Others jumping on the bandwagon include Wall Street player BNY Mellon, investment fund giant BlackRock and credit card titan Mastercard.

Bitcoin, which was launched back in 2009, hit the headlines in 2017 after soaring from less than $1,000 in January to almost $20,000 in December of the same year.

The virtual bubble then burst in subsequent days, with bitcoin's value fluctuating wildly before sinking below $5,000 by October 2018.

However, the last year's rise has been more steady, with investors and Wall Street finance giants wooed by dizzying growth, the opportunity for profit and asset diversification, and a safe store of value to guard against inflation.

Bitcoins are traded via a decentralised registry system known as a blockchain.

The system requires massive computer processing power in order to manage and implement transactions.

That power is provided by "miners", who do so in the hope they will receive new bitcoins for validating transaction data.

Turkmenistan leader frets over foreign debt

By - Mar 13,2021 - Last updated at Mar 13,2021

ASHGABAT, Turkmenistan — Turkmenistan’s strongman leader has warned that the gas-rich country may struggle to pay its foreign debts unless creditors give it more time, a rare admission of economic problems in the isolated state.

President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov told ministers to “prepare appropriate proposals” for creditors regarding “repayment periods” as soon as possible, state newspaper Neutral Turkmenistan reported on Friday.

The president said $145 million of more than $600 million owed in foreign credit for agricultural development were due to be repaid over the course of this year.

He specifically ordered the government to “conduct negotiations” to restructure debt owed by state chemical company Turkmenhimiya.

“When attracting new foreign investment, as far as possible, it is necessary to achieve a low interest rate and favourable conditions for our country,” Neutral Turkmenistan’s report quoted him as saying.

Berdymukhamedov, 63, also said the country “can in no way be satisfied” with the growth of the economy, which he claimed stood at 5.9 per cent for 2020 and the first two months of this year.

Economic slowdowns in key partner states were partly to blame, he said.

Observers have long cast doubt over Turkmenistan’s economic reporting, with official annual growth averaging above 6 per cent for the last five years despite a sharp downturn in prices for hydrocarbons, which dominate exports.

Turkmenistan has no free media and tends not to relay bad news, with the country of around six million people famous for its claim to zero coronavirus cases. 

According to Turkmenistan’s foreign trade bank, 39 per cent of foreign credits for investment was owed to Japan and 25 per cent to China in 2020. 

The bank did not provide figures for the sums owed.

Turkey's Erdogan unveils economic plan

By - Mar 13,2021 - Last updated at Mar 13,2021

Ankara residents shop in the open markets during the Covid-19 crisis although more and more Turks are finding it difficult to cope with growing poverty and the sometimes daily rise in prices (AFP photo)

ISTANBUL — Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday unveiled a long-promised economic reform package that he hopes will boost the confidence of skittish foreign investors and temper inflation while boosting trade.

It included tax breaks for small business owners and a pledge to improve efficiency that could help export-driven growth.

But he made no mention of supporting the central bank's independence in future interest rate decisions — a key foreign investor demand.

He identified the fight against persistent inflation as "one of the main objectives" with the goal of quickly "bringing it down to single digits".

The Turkish lira lost more than half-a-per cent against the dollar in the course of Erdogan's hour-long address in Istanbul.

Erdogan has been promising to unveil a major reform package since overhauling his economic team in November.

That shakeup included installing market-friendly economist Naci Agbal as the new central bank chief and accepting his once-powerful son-in-law Berat Albayrak's resignation as finance minister.

Albayrak was widely credited with overseeing a failed policy that focused on supporting growth by keeping interests rates low despite soaring inflation.

The central bank burned through most of its reserves in the meantime while trying to support the lira.

Agbal's hike of the main interest rate to 17 per cent in the past four months has helped stabilise the currency.

But Erdogan's unorthodox belief that high interest rates cause inflation — instead of slowing it down — and past pressure on the central bank to keep rates low have drained investor confidence in the Turkish market.

Erdogan's pledges on Friday included an income tax break for 850,000 small businesses and improved transparency in public tenders. 

He also vowed to replace imports with domestic products to help local producers and to limit the spending of Turkey's sprawling government administration.

Other pledges included a plan to help banks deal with bad loans and improve their asset quality.

Erdogan set no deadlines for his proposals.

The government's ultimate goal is to bring the annual inflation rate down to 5 per cent by the time Erdogan faces a new election in 2023.

Stocks track Wall St. record as inflation fears ease

By - Mar 11,2021 - Last updated at Mar 11,2021

This photo shows the New York Stock Exchange in lower Manhattan, on Tuesday, in New York City. (AFP photo)

HONG KONG — Asian and European markets ticked higher on Thursday as inflation concerns eased, allowing investors to focus on the global recovery and progress in fighting the coronavirus pandemic.

Investors were given a positive lead from Wall Street, where the Dow ended at a new record, helped by news that Joe Biden's stimulus had cleared its last hurdle in Congress, as expected, meaning he can sign it into law before the weekend, pumping almost $2 trillion into the economy.

Hopes for an improvement in China-US relations were also given a lift by news that top Washington and Beijing officials will meet for their first talks next week.

Fears that a strong rebound in world growth this year will cause a surge in inflation that forces the Federal Reserve and other central banks to wind back their ultra-loose monetary policies -- including record-low interest rates -- have fuelled a sell-off across risk assets in recent months.

But data on Wednesday showing US prices rose slightly less than expected in February soothed those concerns, with the main diver of the increases being food and energy costs.

That came as a closely watched auction of benchmark US 10-year Treasuries went off without any problems with the notes selling at a yield broadly in line with expectations.

Worries about a surge in inflation have lifted US yields to around one-year highs, while a weak sale of seven-year bonds sparked a stock market sell-off. Yields rise as prices fall.

"For now there is nothing for the inflation …as to ring the alarm, while at the same time it provides the Fed plenty of breathing space" ahead of its meeting next week, said National Australia Bank's Rodrigo Catril.

The inflation data "suggests the music will keep playing for some time, with the Fed not even close to pondering the option of watering down the punchbowl".

He said the consumer price index will naturally jump next month owing to the low base effect from last year.

 

 

 Fresh China-US hopes 

 

Asian markets were positive on Thursday, taking their lead from Wall Street, as well as a third straight record in Frankfurt and a one-year high for Paris.

Hong Kong rose more than one per cent with Taipei, Shanghai jumped more than two per cent and Seoul 1.9 per cent. Tokyo, Singapore, Wellington and Bangkok also rose, while Sydney was barely moved and Manila fell.

London, Paris and Frankfurt all rose at the open.

The healthy US data came as the House of Representatives passed Biden's economic rescue package, which will plant up to $1,400 into struggling Americans' pockets, expend unemployment benefits, boost healthcare funding and ramp up vaccine distribution.

The get-together between key Chinese and US aides in Alaska also provided an optimistic tone Thursday, after four years of Donald Trump's sledgehammer diplomacy with Beijing that rattled world markets.

"Regional markets have seized on hopes that Sino-US relations could be about to improve, which will be bullish for trade and, by default, positive for Asia," said OANDA's Jeffrey Halley.

"Those hopes may be premature, but that hasn't stopped animal spirits from being released across mainland China equity markets, and their equally FOMO (fear of missing out) neighbours in Hong Kong, Taiwan and South Korea."

Eyes were still wide open on the European Central Bank's policy meeting that was due to be held later in the day, which will be followed for its outlook on interest rates and its vast bond-buying programme as the world economy recovers from last year's collapse.

The Fed holds its gathering next week, which Axi's Stephen Innes said "could provide a trigger for a renewed selloff in US rates" if policymakers continue to brush off the rise in bond yields.

Apple to invest over 1 billion euros in Munich microchip R&D hub

By - Mar 10,2021 - Last updated at Mar 10,2021

This file photo taken on September 21, 2012 shows customers queueing to enter the Apple Store where a giant logo is displayed in Munich, southern Germany (AFP photo)

BERLIN — US tech giant Apple said on Wednesday it planned to invest more than one billion euros ($1.2 billion) in Germany and open Europe's biggest research facility on mobile wireless semiconductors and software. 

Apple said it would make Munich its "European Silicon Design Centre", creating hundreds of new jobs at a facility for 5G and wireless technologies. 

"I couldn't be more excited for everything our Munich engineering teams will discover — from exploring the new frontiers of 5G technology, to a new generation of technologies," Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement.

"Munich has been a home to Apple for four decades," he added.

Apple has had a base in Munich since 1981 and now has hundreds of engineers developing microchips at its centres in southern Germany.

The latest investment in the region would "exceed one billion euros in the next three years alone", the company said. 

It added that the planned new facility in Munich, slated to open in 2022, would host "Apple's growing cellular unit, and Europe's largest R&D site for mobile wireless semiconductors and software". 

The announcement comes a day after the EU said it aims to capture 20 per cent of the world's semiconductor market by 2030 as Europe looks to become a tech power to rival the US and China.

Under a new roadmap, the European Commission also wants the EU to develop its first quantum computer before the end of the decade in order to be ready for a new era in fast computing.

A key component in everyday products such as cars and mobile phones, semiconductors are currently in short supply worldwide and Europe is dependent on Chinese and American imports in a market estimated at 440 billion euros ($523 billion) a year.

Shortages, caused by changes in supply chains because of the coronavirus pandemic, have forced some major German manufacturers including Volkswagen to suspend production lines.

Stocks shine as US inflation muted, stimulus nears

By - Mar 10,2021 - Last updated at Mar 10,2021

This photo shows the New York Stock Exchange stands in lower Manhattan, on Tuesday, in New York City (AFP photo)

LONDON — European and US equities mostly pushed higher, striking records on both sides of the Atlantic, as US inflation remained muted and the massive $1.9 trillion stimulus programme neared the legislative finish line on Wednesday.

This year's global equities rally on stimulus and the vaccine-driven reopening of the global economy has recently hit an air pocket over fears over the prospect of soaring inflation and rising interest rates.

As approval of US President Joe Biden's vast COVID-19 stimulus nears, investor focus has been on the impact of an expected post-lockdown spending splurge by the government and Americans.

Thus, markets were paying keen attention to US consumer price inflation data for February, which in the event rose only by 0.1 per cent over the month excluding volatile food and energy prices.

Annual "core" inflation, actually dipped a tenth of a percentage point to 1.3 per cent.

"Wednesday's data does suggest that, for now at least, the fears over inflationary pressures have been overstated," said market analyst Connor Campbell at Spreadex.

"Quick to express their relief, investors poured into a pricey Dow Jones, sending it more than 300 points higher" to strike an intra-day record peak of 32,200.

In Europe, Frankfurt's DAX also set records for a third day in a row, closing above 14,500 for the first time. Paris set a one-year high, nearing the record it set just before the pandemic, but London dipped.

Inflation concerns had recently pushed investors to sell their holdings of government bonds, as they worried that inflation would eat into their returns.

The markets will be watching an auction of 10-year US government bonds closely.

Fears that inflation would force the Federal Reserve to begin winding back ultra-loose monetary policies — including record low interest rates — that have been a key driver of the year-long equities rally, saw investors sell off equities last week.

Tech stocks, which are particularly sensitive to interest rates, were hit the hardest with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite actually falling into correction territory — a drop of more than 10 per cent from its record high set last month.

But the Nasdaq bounded higher on Tuesday, soaring 3.7 per cent, and was up 0.5 per cent in late morning trading on Wednesday.

The House of Representatives was expected to give final approval to the package later Wednesday, the final step before it is sent to Biden for signature into law.

In addition to $1,400 checks for most Americans, the package also extends supplemental unemployment insurance and provides money for state and local governments, many of which have seen their finances eroded by the pandemic.

"While traders have been looking for this package as means to turbocharge the US economic recovery, there are plenty of questions over the impact it could have upon inflation," said IG analyst Joshua Mahony.

Greenpeace activists land on ECB roof in climate protest

By - Mar 10,2021 - Last updated at Mar 10,2021

FRANKFURT AM MAIN — Two Greenpeace activists paraglided onto the roof of a European Central Bank (ECB) building in Frankfurt on Wednesday, accusing the institution of carrying out environmentally unfriendly bond purchases.

The two protesters landed on top of a building normally used for press conferences before unfurling a banner, an ECB spokeswoman confirmed.

Images posted by Greenpeace on Twitter showed a large yellow and black banner with the slogan "stop funding climate killers".

Greenpeace also published a report on Wednesday claiming the ECB has approved EUR300 billion in loan collaterals from corporate giants which it accused of being polluters, including Shell, Total, Eni, OMV and Repsol.

In a bid to help mitigate havoc wrought on the eurozone economy by the COVID-19 pandemic, the ECB rolled out an unprecedented bond-buying scheme last year to complement existing quantitive easing measures.

Greenpeace on Wednesday called on the ECB to support the transition to renewable energy and to align itself with the Paris climate agreement.

The ECB spokeswoman said climate change was "one of the greatest challenges faced by mankind this century" and the ECB was "contributing to the response within its mandate as a central bank, acting in step with those responsible for climate policy".

ECB chief Christine Lagarde highlighted climate change as one of the key issues to be tackled in a huge strategic review of the ECB's mandate launched shortly after she took office at the end of 2019. 

The results of this review, initially expected at the end of 2020, have been postponed to the second half of 2021 because of the pandemic.

Cathay Pacific posts record loss, warns of long recovery

Mar 10,2021 - Last updated at Mar 10,2021

This photo, taken on November 8, 2017, shows a Cathay Pacific airlines passenger plane preparing to take off from the international airport in Hong Kong (AFP photo)

By Jerome Taylor
Agence France-Presse

HONG KONG — Hong Kong carrier Cathay Pacific said on Wednesday it suffered a record $2.8 billion loss last year as the coronavirus pandemic wiped out demand for travel — and the airline warned of a long road to recovery ahead.

Chairman Patrick Healy described 2020 as the "most challenging" in the airline's 70-year history and said much will now depend on how effective and widespread global vaccination programmes are. 

"It is by no means clear how the pandemic and its impact will develop over the coming months," he warned, saying the group expected passenger traffic to remain "well below" half of pre-pandemic levels throughout 2021.

The company's losses were higher than estimates compiled by Bloomberg News.

Cathay racked up an attributable loss of HK$21.6 billion ($2.8 billion) for 2020, going deeper into the red as the year wore on.

Its second half losses clocked in at HK$11.8 billion, up from HK$9.9 billion in the first six months of the year when the pandemic first emerged.

Revenue was better than expected at HK$46.93 billion, thanks mainly to cargo which the airline has kept flying throughout the global health crisis.

Like all major airlines, Cathay Pacific has seen its business evaporate during the coronavirus pandemic but the Hong Kong carrier has had an especially torrid year because it has no domestic market to fall back on. 

It also entered the pandemic in an already vulnerable position. When the coronavirus first emerged Hong Kong had fallen into recession and Cathay Pacific in the red as months of huge and disruptive democracy protests in 2019 led to a plunge in customers, especially from the lucrative mainland Chinese market.

The airline also found itself punished by authorities in Beijing because some of its employees joined or voiced support for the protests.

First vaccinations 

 

As the pandemic spread, the airline went on a cost-cutting spree, closing its Cathay Dragon subsidiary, making about 8,500 redundancies and slashing executive pay.

With the help of a government bailout it underwent a recapitalisation in July that raised HK$39 billion. 

But passenger numbers have been some 98 per cent below pre-pandemic levels since April and for much of last year the company was burning through cash at a rate of up to HK$1.5 billion a month. 

By the time 2020 closed, Cathay's shares had fallen 29 per cent for the year. On Wednesday they closed 0.56 per cent down. 

In Wednesday's annual report, Cathay said it had managed to reduce the cash burn towards the end of the year but longer quarantine restrictions that Hong Kong placed on all long-distance flight crew in January was now cancelling out most of those savings.

It added that it would keep executive pay slashed and ask staff to go on a third round of unpaid leave — to which some 80 per cent of employees have already signed up.

Its liquidity at the end of 2020 was HK$28.6 billion and Cathay also issued HK$6.74 billion in convertible bonds in January to secure more funds.

Hong Kong managed to keep coronavirus infections comparatively low by bringing in strict quarantine measures for all arrivals early on in the pandemic.

Currently, most of those arriving in the city must quarantine in a hotel for 21 days, one of the longest mandatory quarantine periods in the world. Outbound travel is almost non-existent.

There is little sign of those measures being lifted any time soon.

The first vaccinations began last month but so far only 114,000 of the city's 7.5 million population have received a first dose, the vast majority China's Sinovac jab.

Authorities say they hope to vaccinate all residents by the end of the year.

Last week, the head of the city's tourist board warned it could be at least six months before residents would be able to travel again.

Stocks bound higher on recovery hopes

By - Mar 09,2021 - Last updated at Mar 09,2021

The Dow Jones industrial average was expected to close at a record level on Tuesday (AFP file photo)

LONDON — Stocks markets on both sides of the Atlantic pushed into record territory on Tuesday on growing confidence in the global economic recovery from the Covid pandemic.

A rally in equities across the world over the past months appeared to have run out of steam on concerns about a rise in interest rates, but those worries were pushed to the background on Tuesday as yields on US government bonds retreated.

"The dip in government bond yields has acted as the green light for the equity bulls," said David Madden at CMC Markets UK.

On Wall Street, the Dow came within striking distance of its all-time high set last month and could close at a record level.

Meanwhile, Frankfurt's DAX closed at a record high for a second straight day.

"The positive mood is being fuelled by the hopes the US government will implement the $1.9 trillion relief package soon," added Madden.

The package is on track to be signed by US President Joe Biden this week.

Sentiment was also boosted by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development sharply raising its 2021 global growth forecast as the deployment of vaccines and a huge US stimulus programme have greatly improved economic prospects.

Concerning inflation, the organisation said underlying price pressures generally remain mild and are being held in check by ample spare capacity around the world.

Next week's US Federal Reserve policy meeting will be pored over for signs of change in its outlook for interest rates and its huge bond-buying scheme, with Biden's stimulus likely to have been signed by then.

A rise in benchmark US Treasury yields in recent weeks has been fuelled by investors moving out of the haven assets, betting that a rise in inflation will eat into their returns.

Fears of higher rates has in particular hit US tech stocks hard, with the Nasdaq Composite having entered correction territory by falling more than 10 per cent from the record high it set last month.

However, the Nasdaq rebounded sharply on Tuesday, jumping 3.6 per cent in late morning trading.

Oil prices rose and then fell back, a day after Brent briefly shot above $71 per barrel following a drone attack on Saudi oil facilities, with the main international contract slumping below $68.

"Today's choppy trade could reflect hesitancy to have a big position before the EIA weekly crude oil inventory report," said analyst Edward Moya at currency trading platform Oanda, referring to the weekly US government data on the market.

"Energy traders will want to closely watch how strong US production can bounce back and if that poses a risk for OPEC+'s hesitancy to raise output," he added.

Last week, OPEC and its allies held back on most of its scheduled production cuts despite indications of greater demand as vaccination campaigns in the US and elsewhere help economies get back to work.

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