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Breakaway Moldovan region asks Russia for ‘protection’

By - Feb 29,2024 - Last updated at Feb 29,2024

A child stands on a T-34 Soviet tank set as a monument in the center of Tiraspol, capital of the self-proclaimed Moldovan Republic of Transnistria, on April 3, 2017 (AFP photo)

MOSCOW — Pro-Russian rebel officials in Moldova’s breakaway region of Transnistria appealed to Russia for “protection” on Wednesday, amid fears the territory could become a new flashpoint in Moscow’s conflict with neighbouring Ukraine.

The thin sliver of land has been de facto controlled by pro-Russian forces since the collapse of the Soviet Union, but is internationally recognised as part of Moldova.

At a special congress in the region — only the seventh in its history — lawmakers passed a resolution asking Russia’s parliament to “protect” Transnistria from mounting Moldovan pressure.

They said the Moldovan government in Chisinau had unleashed an “economic war” against Transnistria, blocking vital imports in the aim of turning it into a “ghetto”.

“The decisions of the current congress cannot be ignored by the international community,” the breakaway republic’s foreign policy chief Vitaly Ignatiev told the meeting.

The resolution comes just a day before President Vladimir Putin was set to make an annual address before Russian lawmakers and as Ukraine suffers setbacks on the battlefield.

The separatist territory last held a congress in 2006, when deputies announced a referendum on integrating with Russia. The vote resulted in an overwhelming majority in favour.

The call for help from Moscow has fuelled comparisons with February 2022, when Russian-backed militants in eastern Ukraine called for protection against what they said was relentless attacks and shelling by Kyiv’s forces.

Delegates at the conference on Wednesday made little mention of Ukraine, according to accounts of the session in state-run media, instead aiming their ire against Moldova, who they blamed for the territory’s economic woes.

A Moldovan government spokesman downplayed concerns ahead of the rare meeting.

“From Chisinau, things look calm... There is no danger of escalation and destabilisation of the situation in the Transnistrian region. This is another campaign to create hysteria,” they said in a post on Telegram.

 

Tensions 

 

Moldova has accused the Kremlin of stoking tensions in Transnistria, a primarily Russian-speaking region that depends heavily on Moscow for support.

Since Moscow began its full-scale assault on Ukraine, Chisinau has been concerned the Kremlin could use Transnistria to open a new front in the southwest, in the direction of Odesa.

The tiny region was rocked by unexplained blasts in 2022 that military analysts believe may have been a Russian attempt to drag the region into the conflict.

Then, in March 2023, Transnistria’s pro-Russian leadership accused Kyiv of an assassination attempt on their leader, an accusation that Ukraine rejected.

The Kremlin has around 1,500 soldiers permanently stationed in the region, and has warned Ukraine and Moldova that attacking them would incur serious consequences.

Russia still props up Transnistria’s economy with supplies of free gas, but the breakaway republic has found itself increasingly isolated from Moscow since the conflict in Ukraine.

The gathering of Transnistrian officials comes as Ukraine faces intense pressure on the frontlines, where it has recently lost ground to Russia amid mounting ammunition shortages.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky visited Albania on Wednesday for a summit of south-eastern European nations, where he was expected to renew his calls for more aid.

With 100,000 protest votes, Michigan sends message to Biden

By - Feb 28,2024 - Last updated at Feb 28,2024

Volunteers ask voters to vote uncommitted and not to vote for President Joe Biden outside of Maples School in Dearborn, Michigan, on Tuesday (AFP photo)

DETROIT — Just over 100,000 people in Michigan voted “uncommitted” in the swing state’s Democratic primary, provisional results showed on Wednesday, after a protest movement urged voters to punish President Joe Biden over his support for Israel’s war in Gaza.

Though Biden handily won the vote, the uncommitted ballots, representing 13 per cent of votes cast on Tuesday, sent a “clear and resounding message that we demand a permanent ceasefire now”, Layla Elabed, an organiser of the Listen to Michigan campaign, told a press conference.

The midwestern state is home to a large number of Arab and Muslim Americans, previously firmly part of the Democratic fold that helped elect Biden in 2020.

Whether Biden could change tack — and also whether voters who protested in the primary will continue to do so in November — could be key as the United States heads toward a likely rematch Biden and former president Donald Trump.

Though the percentage of uncommitted votes was similar to that seen in 2012 during Democrat Barack Obama’s reelection campaign, where it hit 11 per cent, that only represented some 20,000 votes.

Joining in the pressure campaign against Biden were elected officials, with local mayors as well as Rashida Tlaib, the only Palestinian American representative in Congress, casting uncommitted ballots.

Previous victories in Michigan — seen as crucial to winning the country as a whole — have been narrow: Donald Trump won by about 10,000 votes in 2016; Biden won by some 150,000 in 2020.

“It is my hope, Mr president, that you listen to us,” said Abdullah Hammoud, the mayor of Dearborn, a Detroit suburb home to a large number of Arab Americans.

“That you choose democracy over tyranny. That you choose the people of America over [Israeli prime minister] Benjamin Netanyahu.”

Asked about the risk of electing Trump in November, Hammoud said that was a question should be posed to Biden.

“President Biden is the one seeking the highest of office and he is the candidate who’s facing off against Donald Trump,” he said. “He has to earn the votes of the constituency that he’s trying to serve.”

In a statement Tuesday night after his victory was declared, Biden thanked “every Michigander who made their voice heard today”.

It did not mention the protest vote.

“Quite frankly, his statement last night did not unite,” said Abbas Alawieh, a Listen to Michigan spokesman, adding the president “ignored” the 100,000 uncommitted voters.

“This community here in Michigan needs him to change his policies before he comes back and asks for our votes.”

Ukrainian president rallies Balkan allies for support, weapons

By - Feb 28,2024 - Last updated at Feb 28,2024

TIRANA — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Wednesday pleaded with Balkan leaders for greater backing to help fend off Russian forces, emphasising how ammo shortages were impacting frontline troops.

Zelensky has been crisscrossing the globe in recent weeks to rally support for his embattled country, as fresh US support is tangled in domestic politics and Russia has made battlefield advances.

During opening remarks at the meeting in Albania, Zelensky thanked Balkan leaders for their military and humanitarian support over the past two years of war, but emphasised that supplies were still running low at the frontline.

"We see the problems with the supply of ammunition which are affecting the situation on the battlefield," said Zelensky, adding that his administration was interested in hosting a future "Ukrainian-Balkans defence industry forum".

Zelensky went on to stress that efforts to supply Ukraine must be streamlined immediately, warning against further delays that provided Russia with an advantage in the war.

“Every pause in supply, every doubt that the world is ready to defend itself, all this inspires one person. All this inspires Putin,” he told reporters, referring to the Russian president.

“We don’t have time and we don’t have alternatives,” he added.

The comments came hours after arriving in Albania late Tuesday for the “Ukraine-Southeast Europe Summit” — his first visit to the Balkan nation since Russia’s invasion in February 2022.

Following a sitdown with Albania’s Prime Minister Edi Rama on Wednesday, the Ukrainian president said the two sides were exploring further defence cooperation.

“Since the first days of the full-scale invasion, Albania has supported Ukraine in our struggle for freedom and territorial integrity,” Zelensky wrote on X.

“Today we also discussed Ukraine’s defence needs and potential joint arms production,” he added.

 

Urgent need for help 

 

Albania, a NATO member since 2009, has been a vocal supporter of Ukraine but has stayed largely quiet in public about supplying Kyiv with arms.

During a visit to Albania earlier this month, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken praised Tirana’s backing of Ukraine.

“It was one of the first countries to send military aid to Ukraine in the wake of the Russian aggression — guns, ammunition, mine resistant vehicles — and it’s currently one of the top ten per capita in terms of its support for Ukraine and security assistance,” Blinken said.

Leaders from across the Balkans — including Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vucic, Croatian Prime Minister Andrej Plenkovic, and Kosovo President Vjosa Osmani — were in attendance at the summit in Tirana.

Serbia remains a rare outlier in the region for refusing to sanction Russia, while Ukraine has never formally recognised Kosovo’s independence declaration in 2008.

Despite the lack of ties, Kosovo’s president said the government in Pristina was supportive of Ukraine.

“The moment of joint recognition will come with the freedom of Ukraine,” Osmani told reporters as she entered the summit.

Zelensky has repeatedly pleaded with allies for more aid, warning that Ukrainian victory depends on the West boosting support.

Already outgunned, his country is fending off a renewed Russian offensive with dwindling ammunition that has had to be rationed.

 

US aid dries up 

 

EU allies are rallying to address that shortfall with a Czech-led plan to buy artillery from outside the bloc.

More than two years after Russia’s invasion, the EU is facing the prospect of having to shoulder more of the aid burden as funds from the United States dry up.

Political infighting in the US Congress has stalled a vital $60 billion aid package, with the Republican right-wing, led by 2024 presidential candidate Donald Trump, souring against Ukraine’s cause.

House Speaker Mike Johnson, an ally of former president Donald Trump and head of a razor-thin Republican majority, has refused to allow a vote on the package.

French President Emmanuel Macron meanwhile provoked backlash from fellow allies and a warning from the Kremlin this week when he raised the possibility of sending Western troops into Ukraine.

Before arriving in Tirana, Zelensky stopped in Saudi Arabia, where he sought to promote his peace plan and discuss potential prisoner of war exchanges.

Saudi Arabia maintains relations with both Russia and Ukraine and has mediated between the warring parties before, including a deal struck in September 2022 that saw the release of more than 200 captive Ukrainians.

 

Far-left militant arrested in Germany after decades on run

By - Feb 27,2024 - Last updated at Feb 27,2024

An officer of the German Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) (front) leaves a building, on Tuesday, believed to be the site where a German activist of the notorious far-left Red Army Faction (RAF) wanted for more than 30 years for attempted murder and other crimes has been arrested in Berlin (AFP photo)

BERLIN — Police arrested a fugitive member of Germany’s notorious far-left militant group the Baader-Meinhof gang after more than 30 years on the run for attempted murder and other crimes, prosecutors said on Tuesday.

Daniela Klette, 65, was part of a trio from the group, officially known as the Red Army Faction (RAF), which carried out several bombings, kidnappings and killings in Germany in the 1970s and 1980s.

Klette was arrested on Monday in the German capital, a spokesman for prosecutors in Verden said, without giving further details.

Along with fellow RAF members Ernst-Volker Staub and Burhard Garweg, Klette is being investigated by the prosecutors in Verden for attempted murder and various serious robberies between 1999 and 2016.

The trio are believed to have been financing their lives on the run through robberies of money transporters and supermarket cash heists.

They are suspected of being behind the failed robbery of a money transporter in 2016 near the northern city of Bremen, among other offences.

In that incident, masked attackers armed with AK-47 automatic rifles and a grenade-launcher opened fire but fled without cash when security guards locked themselves inside the armoured vehicle, which was carrying about 1 million euros ($1.1 million).

 

Plane hijacking 

 

The anti-capitalist RAF emerged out of the radicalised fringe of the 1960s student protest movement.

The group, which had links to Middle Eastern militant organisations, declared itself disbanded in 1998.

At the height of its notoriety in 1977, the group kidnapped one of Germany’s top industrialists after opening fire with a machine-gun on his Mercedes.

After ambushing Hanns-Martin Schleyer’s convoy, they held him hostage for six weeks as the West German state negotiated for his release.

On October 13, four militants of the RAF-allied Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine hijacked Mallorca-Frankfurt flight LH 181, demanding the release of 11 RAF members.

During a five-day odyssey which included seven refuelling stops in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, the cell’s leader, who called himself Captain Martyr Mahmud, shot dead the pilot, Juergen Schumann.

German anti-terror commandos eventually stormed the Lufthansa jet in Somalia, shot its Palestinian hijackers and freed 90 hostages.

Schleyer, a former SS officer who became the head of Germany’s employers’ association, was then found dead in the boot of a car in eastern France.

 

‘Third generation’ 

 

Though the so-called German Autumn of 1977 marked the beginning of a long period of decline for the RAF, the group continued to operate for another two decades.

Staub, Garweg and Klette, alleged members of the RAF’s so-called “third generation” active during the 1980s and 1990s, are the chief suspects in a 1993 explosives attack against a prison under construction in Germany’s Hesse state.

In the attack, five RAF members climbed the prison walls, tied up and abducted the guards in a van, then returned to set off explosions that caused about 600,000 euros worth of property damage, according to German prosecutors.

Klette is also a suspect in two previous RAF operations.

Ten days ago, an alarm was raised in Wuppertal when a man on a regional train was mistaken for Staub.

However, it turned out to be a case of mistaken identity, and he and Garweg remain on the run.

Although far-right extremism has been a bigger focus for Germany in recent years, far-left attacks have also continued to keep the authorities busy.

A court in Dresden in May sentenced a left-wing extremist woman to more than five years in jail for attacking neo-Nazis, with Germany’s interior minister warning against “vigilante justice”.

The defendant, identified only as Lina E., and three other suspects were convicted of participating in a “criminal organisation” that carried out several assaults against right-wing extremists between 2018 and 2020.

 

EU leaders wary after Macron doesn't rule out Western troops in Ukraine

By - Feb 27,2024 - Last updated at Feb 27,2024

French President Emmanuel Macron speaks during a press conference at the end of the international conference aimed at strengthening Western support for Ukraine, at the Elysee Presidential Palace in Paris, on Monday (AFP photo)

PARIS — French President Emmanuel Macron on Tuesday faced uneasy reactions from European allies and a warning from the Kremlin after he refused to rule out the dispatch of Western ground troops to Ukraine in its fight against the Russian invasion.

Macron said after a conference of European leaders on Monday that "everything that is necessary" must be done to ensure the defeat of Russia, including deploying troops.

The Kremlin warned of the "inevitability" of confrontation between NATO and Russia if troops from the alliance were deployed in the conflict, which would break a major taboo the West has so far been reluctant to challenge.

Macron hosted the conference just over two years to the day after Russia invaded Ukraine — seeking to rally greater support for Kyiv, which faces increasing battlefield challenges and dwindling munition stocks.

He painted a grim picture of Russia under President Vladimir Putin, arguing there had been a “change of posture” even in recent months that had seen a hardening of its stance both domestically and in Ukraine.

While there was “no consensus” on the sending of Western ground troops to Ukraine, “nothing should be ruled out. We will do whatever it takes to ensure that Russia cannot win this war”, Macron added.

 

‘No plans for combat troops’ 

 

Macron had refused to say more about France’s position, citing the need for “strategic ambiguity” but saying the issue was mentioned “among the options”.

“We are convinced that the defeat of Russia is indispensable to security and stability in Europe,” Macron said.

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, accused by critics of being too cosy with Moscow, said after the meeting that there was disunity on the issue among European leaders.

“There are countries that are ready to send their own soldiers to Ukraine, there are countries that say never — Slovakia is among them — and there are countries that say that this proposal should be considered,” he said.

Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson of Sweden, which is set to join NATO, poured cold water on the idea, saying “it’s not on the cards at all for the moment”.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said: “What was agreed from the beginning among ourselves and with each other also applies to the future, namely that there will be no soldiers on Ukrainian soil sent there by European states or NATO states.”

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that if NATO troops appeared in Ukraine “we need to speak not about a possibility but of the inevitability” of confrontation.

“This is absolutely not in the interests of these countries, they should be aware of this,” he added.

A NATO official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, emphasised “there are no plans for NATO combat troops on the ground in Ukraine” despite the “unprecedented military support” from the alliance.

However, the UK issued a somewhat more circumspect reaction, with Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s spokesman saying there were no plans for “large-scale” troop deployment to Ukraine.

 

‘Specific activities’ 

 

French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal on Tuesday reaffirmed Macron’s comments, saying: “You can’t rule anything out in a war.”

Macron had also taken an apparent swipe at Germany, which was mocked in the first months of the war for its relatively soft promises of military support.

“I recall that two years ago many around this table said we will offer sleeping bags and helmets and now they say we need to do more and quicker to have missiles and tanks.”

Macron argued that the hardening of Russia’s approach had been “cruelly” manifested in the death in an Arctic prison on February 16 of President Putin’s top opponent Alexei Navalny.

“Russia is adopting an attitude that is more aggressive not just in Ukraine but against us all in general.”

It is understood that any Western troops eventually sent to Ukraine would have no mandate to fight Russian forces but work on priorities outlined by Macron in his news conference, including de-mining, securing neighbouring countries such as Moldova and thwarting cyber attacks.

“We are not talking about soldiers on the front line, in combat, but about specific activities, far from the front,” said Rym Momtaz, consultant research fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

 

Biden faces protest vote over Gaza in Michigan primary contest

By - Feb 27,2024 - Last updated at Feb 27,2024

DEARBORN, United States — Voters in Michigan headed to the polls on Tuesday for a US presidential primary expected to be another ticker-tape parade for Republican Donald Trump — but could deliver Democratic leader Joe Biden a bloody nose over the war in Gaza.

Biden, 81, faces no serious opposition to being nominated as the party's nominee.

But as the civilian death toll mounts in the conflict between Israel and Hamas, he has seen support erode among Muslims and Arab Americans, a bloc crucial to his narrow 2020 victory in Michigan over Trump.

The midwestern state has the largest proportion of residents who identify as being of Middle Eastern or North African descent in the country, with most of the population concentrated around Detroit.

Activists in the key battleground state — where Biden's winning margin four years ago was a mere 150,000 votes — want Democrats to vote "uncommitted" to pressure the president to back off from his Israel support and call for an immediate ceasefire.

“I was proud today to walk in and pull a Democratic ballot and vote “uncommitted” said Representative Rashida Tlaib, the only Palestinian American in Congress.

“Seventy-four per cent of Democrats in Michigan support a ceasefire yet President Biden is not hearing us, this is the way we can use our democracy to say ‘listen to Michigan”, she said in a video on social media.

The protest movement, Listen to Michigan, hopes to amass 10,000 uncommitted voters.

That won’t stop Biden’s easy march to the nomination, as his main would-be rival, Minnesota Congressman Dean Phillips, polls in single digits.

But a significant number of protest votes could set off alarm bells ahead of the November general election, when Biden cannot afford to lose even a fraction of his coalition in the swing state.

‘Stark numbness’ 

 

A similar write-in campaign calling for a ceasefire during the New Hampshire primary went nowhere, but Michigan has a significantly larger Muslim and Arab population.

Abdullah Hammoud, the mayor of Dearborn, a heavily Arab American suburb of Detroit, said that Tuesday’s vote was about “holding President Biden accountable”.

And Fatima Elzaghir, a 27-year-old nurse told AFP that she wanted her “uncommitted vote” to force Biden to change.

“I think it’s evident that appealing to human empathy does not sway most politicians so maybe wanting to win Michigan will pressure him to ceasefire,” she said.

On the Republican side, Trump has swept the early voting states and Michigan is not expected to interrupt his march to the nomination.

His sole remaining challenger, former UN ambassador Nikki Haley, lost her home state of South Carolina to Trump at the weekend but has refused to quit, saying she doesn’t believe Trump can defeat Biden.

“We are in a ship with a hole in it. You can either ignore the hole and go down with the ship, or you can acknowledge that we’ve got to look for a life raft,” she told CNN Tuesday morning.

Haley suffered another blow on Sunday when the wealthy Koch family network said it was halting its donations to her campaign.

 

Senegal leader announces amnesty to end poll-linked turmoil, politically related protest

By - Feb 26,2024 - Last updated at Feb 26,2024

DIAMNIADIO, Senegal — Senegal’s embattled President Macky Sall on Monday announced a general amnesty for political protests since 2021 during talks to set a new date for presidential polls he deferred this month, sparking deadly turmoil.

The West African nation is in the grips of its worst political crisis in decades after Sall abruptly delayed the February 25 presidential vote just hours before campaigning was due to begin.

Sall presented the amnesty move as a way of reuniting the country, after bouts of unrest that have killed dozens in the past three years.

Several hundred opposition members, or over a 1,000 according to some rights groups, have been arrested since 2021 amid the power struggle between opposition firebrand Ousmane Sonko and the state.

Sonko and his party’s substitute candidate, Bassirou Diomaye Faye, are in prison.

“In a spirit of national reconciliation, I will put before the National Assembly this Wednesday in the council of ministers a bill for a general amnesty for acts relating to political demonstrations that took place between 2021 and 2024,” Sall said Monday.

“This will make it possible to pacify the political arena,” he added.

Hundreds of imprisoned opponents have already been released in the past 10 days.

Cheikh Anta Diop University in Dakar also reopened on Monday after being closed for months following political unrest.

But various political actors have rejected the idea of an amnesty law on the ground it would exonerate the acts that some government or security officials are accused of committing during the protests.

They say an amnesty should not form part of the consultations to set a new date for the presidential election.

 

No ‘personal agenda’ 

 

The election postponement plunged traditionally stable Senegal into turmoil and sparked unrest that has left four people dead.

The constitutional council, the country’s top constitutional body, overturned the delay and called for the vote to be organised “as soon as possible”.

Major stakeholders have snubbed Monday’s talks for a new poll date.

Sall had proposed that all the candidates in the presidential race should be included in the dialogue, as well as those who had been disqualified from standing.

But 16 of the 19 candidates approved by the Constitutional Council to contest the election said they would not take part.

During the meeting in the new town of Diamniadio, some 30 kilometres from the capital Dakar, Sall said he wanted to organise the presidential election before the rainy season in June and July.

He reiterated that he had no “personal agenda” and repeated his commitment to leaving the presidency at the beginning of April.

“I have only one concern — to find a consensus on the date of the next presidential election so that the ballot can take place under the best possible conditions,” Sall said.

A movement of political and civil society figures is calling for a vote before April 2 when Sall is due to step down.

Sall in his opening speech acknowledged that only two of the 19 qualified candidates had accepted the invitation to the dialogue — including his handpicked successor Prime Minister Amadou Ba.

The president has said he hopes to reach an agreement on the date by late Tuesday.

The Aar Sunu Election (Protect Our Election) collective of over 100 civil society groups and personalities against the election delay have also boycotted the talks.

The collective has called for a general strike on Tuesday.

Some fear a possible power vacuum if Sall were to leave the presidency before a successor was installed.

Others have accused him of playing for time, either to stay in power beyond his mandate or to benefit his political allies who fear defeat at the ballot box.

Sall said he delayed the election over disputes about the disqualification of potential candidates and over concerns about a return to unrest seen in 2021 and last year.

Sharif’s daughter takes helm of Pakistan’s most populous region

By - Feb 26,2024 - Last updated at Feb 26,2024

This handout photo taken and released by the Directorate General Public Relations of Punjab province on Monday, shows Punjab Governor Muhammad Balighur Rehman take oath during a ceremony helmed by newly elected Chief Minister of Punjab province Maryam Nawaz Sharif as Pakistan’s former Prime Ministers and leader of Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz Party Nawaz Sharif and his brother Shehbaz Sharif look on at the Governor’s House in Lahore (AFP photo /Directorate General Public Relations of Punjab province)

LAHORE, Pakistan — The daughter of former prime minister Nawaz Sharif took control of Pakistan’s most populous region on Monday, becoming the country’s first woman to govern a province.

Maryam Nawaz Sharif was elected chief minister in her family’s long-time power base of Punjab province, after Pakistan held national and provincial polls on February 8.

Her father — widely known as the “Lion of Punjab” — served as Pakistan’s prime minister three times, his last stint ending in 2017.

Her uncle Shehbaz, also a previous premier, looks set to rule again after the family’s Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) party agreed to govern in coalition with the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP).

The alliance also saw the PPP’s Punjab lawmakers back Maryam for the chief minister’s office, where she will preside over the province of 127 million Pakistanis — more than half the national populace.

Maryam said Monday that her appointment was “the making of history”.

“It is a victory for every woman, a triumph for every daughter and mother,” she told regional lawmakers after they elected her to the role.

“It is proof that being a woman and being a daughter cannot constrain your dreams,” she said, ahead of a swearing-in ceremony scheduled for later that day.

Nepotism and cronyism are entrenched in Pakistani politics, with family connections sometimes boosting elite daughters into power despite social conservatism shutting most women out.

Benazir Bhutto became Pakistan’s first female leader in 1988 but the opportunity was credited to her lineage in the Bhutto dynasty which has historically rivalled the Sharifs, rather than social progress.

Only around a dozen women were elected to national office in this month’s elections. Most female lawmakers enter parliament in seats reserved for women and religious minorities.

Female politicians also face sexist criticism in patriarchal Pakistan, and Maryam has in the past been targeted over her appearance and taunted with suggestive remarks.

 

Punjab proving ground 

 

Analysts suggest the 50-year-old is being groomed to succeed the Sharif brothers, who are in their 70s and have suffered ailing health.

Both served as Punjab chief minister before leading the country. Maryam’s cousin Hamza Shahbaz also recently held the post.

Like her father Nawaz, Maryam has been jailed in the past over graft.

PML-N had been tipped to win this month’s polls after securing the backing of the powerful military establishment.

But jailed ex-prime minister Imran Khan delivered a surprise result at the polls, with candidates loyal to him securing more seats than any other party despite a crackdown which crippled their campaign.

Does Sweden joining make the Baltic Sea a ‘NATO lake’?

By - Feb 26,2024 - Last updated at Feb 26,2024

Representatives of the Hungarian parliament vote on the ratification of Sweden’s NATO membership in the main hall of the parliament building in Budapest on Monday (AFP photo)

BRUSSELS, Belgium  — Sweden’s accession to NATO adds a final puzzle piece to the alliance around the shores of the strategically important Baltic Sea — but Russia still poses a threat above and below water.

After Finland joined last year, Sweden’s membership — which cleared the final hurdle Monday with Hungary’s vote on ratification — means all the countries surrounding the Baltic Sea, except Russia, will be part of the US-led military alliance.

That has led some to label the sea a “NATO lake”, with the Western allies now appearing well-placed to strangle Russia’s room for manoeuvre in the crucial shipping route if a war with Moscow ever breaks out.

But analysts warn that while Sweden’s entry makes it easier for NATO to exert control and reinforce its vulnerable Baltic states, Russia can still menace the region from heavily-armed exclave Kaliningrad and threaten undersea infrastructure.

“If you look at a map then geographically the Baltic Sea is becoming a NATO lake, yes,” said Minna Alander a research fellow at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs.

“But there is still work to do for NATO.”

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a series of high-profile incidents involving pipelines and cables under the Baltic Sea have given NATO a wake-up call over its vulnerabilities.

In September 2022 a sabotage attack hit the Nord Stream gas pipelines between Russia and Europe. Over a year on, investigators have still not publicly named those responsible.

Then last October a gas pipeline and a cable from Finland and Sweden to Estonia were damaged. Finnish police say they believe a Chinese cargo ship was likely involved.

NATO has bolstered its naval deployments in response and is looking to step up its monitoring capabilities, but keeping an eye on what’s happening beneath the water is a major task.

“It’s very difficult to have overall control of a sea as you would control territories on land,” said Julian Pawlak, a researcher at Germany’s Bundeswehr University in Hamburg.

“What the Nord Stream sabotages have shown, among others, is that it remains hard to be aware exactly what is happening below the surface and on the seabed.”

 

Kaliningrad threat 

 

Sweden has long had a close partnership with NATO but its formal membership will allow it to be fully integrated into the alliance’s defence plans.

Beyond its long Baltic coastline, Sweden brings with it the island of Gotland which would play a central role in helping NATO impose its will.

But just across the water Russia has its own vital outpost — the exclave of Kaliningrad.

Wedged between Poland and Lithuania, Moscow has in recent years turned the region into one of the most militarised in Europe, with nuclear-capable missiles stationed there.

Russia’s Baltic fleet based in Kaliningrad is a shadow of what it was during the Cold War and the invasion of Ukraine has sapped some of its forces from the region.

But John Deni, a research professor at the US Army War College, said the Kremlin has kept up investments in undersea capabilities and still has the firepower to stage small-scale landings or threaten NATO supply routes.

“In terms of artillery, indirect fires and nuclear-capable weapons they out-gun and out-range NATO allies in the region,” Deni told AFP.

“Allies have to meet that threat and counter it.”

On the other side, while Stockholm brings with it a rich heritage of naval history, like other NATO states in the area its sea power in the Baltic remains understrength.

“Even if you count Sweden, NATO naval assets are relatively limited,” Deni said, adding that the allies need to develop their ability to carry out demining under fire.

 

Reinforcing the

Baltic states 

 

Three countries breathing a particular sigh of relief over the entry of Sweden — and Finland — are NATO’s Baltic states, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, long seen as an Achilles heel for the alliance.

War planners have struggled to work out how to stop them being cut off if Russian land troops seized the 65 kilometre Suwalki Gap between Belarus and Kaliningrad.

Sweden’s position straddling both the North and Baltic Seas opens up a key route for transiting more NATO forces to protect them in case of attack.

“It allows US forces to reinforce the Baltic Sea nations in a timely manner, but especially the frontline states,” said Tuuli Duneton, Estonian undersecretary for defence policy.

Despite the joy at NATO over welcoming Sweden to the fold, however, US academic Deni insisted the alliance should lay off considering the Baltic its own property.

“Calling it a ‘NATO lake’ leads to complacency,” Deni said.

“The challenge and the threat posed by Russia in the region is significant in some ways and the allies for now lack the capacity to counter that in a crisis.”

Trump coasts to another victory in race for Republican nomination

By - Feb 25,2024 - Last updated at Feb 25,2024

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump gestures to supporters at an election night watch party at the State Fairgrounds on Sunday in Columbia, South Carolina (AFP photo)

CHARLESTON, United States — Donald Trump cruised to a lightning victory Saturday in South Carolina’s Republican primary, blitzing rival Nikki Haley in her home state and continuing his march to the nomination and a White House rematch with Joe Biden in November.

Trump completed a sweep of the first four major nominating contests, converting a year of blockbuster polls into a likely insurmountable lead going into the “Super Tuesday” 15-state voting bonanza in 10 days.

Haley had vowed to fight on regardless of the outcome but Trump, seeking to move quickly from the primary to the general election, didn’t mention her once during a victory speech in which he turned his fire on Biden.

“We’re going to be up here on November 5 and we’re going to look at Joe Biden — we’re going to look him right in the eye, he’s destroying our country — and we’re going to say, Joe, you’re fired. Get out,” Trump said to cheers at his victory party in state capital Columbia.

Haley has repeatedly questioned the 77-year-old former president’s mental fitness and warned another Trump presidency would bring “chaos”, but her efforts appeared to do little to damage his standing among Republicans.

By about 7am (1200 GMT) Sunday, major national news outlets had Trump just shy of 60 per cent of the vote, with almost all votes counted.

US networks had felt able to call the race for Trump within seconds of the polls closing, suggesting little doubt over the outcome.

David Darmofal, a politics professor at the University of South Carolina, said the speed of Trump’s projected victory confirmed him as “effectively the presumptive Republican nominee for president”.

“This quick call is a bad result for former governor Haley in her home state. The quickness of the call will likely lead to additional pressure for her to drop out of the race,” he told AFP.

Haley, a popular governor of South Carolina in the 2010s and the only woman to have entered the Republican contest, was looking to outperform expectations in her own backyard and ride into Super Tuesday with wind in her sails.

But she was never able to compete in a battleground that preferred Trump’s brand of right-wing “America first” populism and personal grievance over the four criminal indictments and multiple civil lawsuits he faces.

Trump had already won Iowa by 30 points and New Hampshire by 10, while a dispute in Nevada led to the real estate tycoon running unopposed in the first official contest in the western United States.

 

‘Not giving up’

 

Biden reacted to the South Carolina result with a brief written statement warning Americans of “the threat Donald Trump poses to our future as Americans grapple with the damage he left behind”.

Meanwhile Haley reminded supporters as she congratulated Trump in her concession speech that she had already vowed to fight on, regardless of the outcome.

“I’m a woman of my word. I’m not giving up this fight when a majority of Americans disapprove of both Donald Trump and Joe Biden,” she said.

Trump aides have been clear that they want to see off Haley long before the Republican National Convention in July — and are expecting the party to coalesce around the front-runner ahead of the first of his criminal trials on March 25.

A traditional conservative who espouses limited government and a muscular foreign policy, Haley has argued that a Trump presidency would be mired in scandal from day one.

Her central argument — that polling shows her performing better than Trump in hypothetical matchups with Biden — may have fallen on deaf ears but she has vowed to stay in the race at least through Super Tuesday.

Analysts say she is building her profile for a potential 2028 run — and is poised to step in should legal or health problems knock Trump out of the race.

“Nikki Haley’s an incredible role model,” said one Republican voter, Julie Taylor. “She’s not giving up, she’s showing strength and grace and courage.”

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