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Biden defiant, but critics are circling

By - Jul 07,2024 - Last updated at Jul 07,2024

US President Joe Biden speaks during a campaign event in Madison, Wisconsin, on July 5, 2024 (AFP photo)

WASHINGTON — Joe Biden's presidential reelection bid hung in the balance Saturday, after efforts to put a disastrous debate showing behind him failed to silence voices urging that he quit the White House race.

In what had been billed as a make-or-break TV interview on Friday, Biden's strategy was to flatly deny the falling poll numbers and concerns over his mental and physical fitness triggered by his dismal performance against rival Donald Trump.

He blamed a severe cold for the debate debacle and insisted it was just a "bad night" rather than evidence of increasing frailty and cognitive decline.

And the 81-year-old was adamant that he would not be pressured to end his campaign.

"If the Lord Almighty came down and said, 'Joe, get out of the race,' I'd get out of the race," he said. "But the Lord Almighty is not coming down."

Calls for less divine intervention do, however, appear to be strengthening.

 

Internal dissent 

 

Murmurs of dissent within his own Democratic party have — in the case of five individual House representatives — morphed into direct calls to quit, and a number of key donors have threatened to cut off funding if Biden insists on staying the course.

"I do not believe that the President can effectively campaign and win against Donald Trump," Angie Craig, the latest House Democrat to break ranks, said Saturday.

The House minority leader, Hakeem Jeffries, has scheduled a virtual meeting of senior Democrat representatives for Sunday to discuss the best way forward, and Democrat Senator Mark Warner is reportedly working to convene a similar forum in the upper house.

Biden's campaign team is pushing ahead regardless, with an event planned in Pennsylvania on Sunday and visits to other battleground states later in the month.

At a rally in Wisconsin before Friday's interview, Biden had delivered a forceful, energetic stump speech, unequivocally declaring, "I'm staying in the race. I'll beat Donald Trump."

Then came the sit-down with the ABC network that appeared unlikely to soothe the concerns of critics who say that — away from a teleprompter — Biden can struggle to communicate.

Some of his answers ere tentative, meandering and difficult to follow, even as he sought to deflect questions about his mental acuity and dismissed the notion that his party would consider replacing him.

 

Out of touch? 

 

Democratic strategist David Axelrod suggested Biden was engaged in a form of denial.

“The president is rightfully proud of his record. But he is dangerously out-of-touch with the concerns people have about his capacities moving forward and his standing in this race,” Axelrod posted on X after the interview aired.

For now, Democrats are largely keeping a lid on any simmering discontent with their leader — at least in public.

But with election day just four months away, any move to replace Biden as nominee would need to be made sooner rather than later, and the meetings of top Congressional Democrats in coming days will be scrutinized for any signs of more open rebellion.

Meanwhile, for Biden and his campaign team, the strategy seems to be to ride it out.

His next major test will be a press conference scheduled for Thursday during the NATO leaders’ summit in Washington.

When pressed in the ABC interview on why he doesn’t take an independent neurological exam, Biden argued that the role of US president meant being subjected to constant mental assessment.

“I have a cognitive test every single day,” he said. “Not only am I campaigning, I’m running the world.” 

Starmer begins UK 'rebuild' after landslide election win

By - Jul 06,2024 - Last updated at Jul 06,2024

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds a press conference at the end of his cabinet's first meeting in Downing Street in London on Saturday (AFP photo)

LONDON — Newly elected UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer on Saturday began his first full day in charge with a meeting of his Cabinet after his Labour party's landslide election win ended 14 years of Conservative rule.

Starmer held the first meeting of his top team with Britain's first woman finance minister Rachel Reeves and new foreign minister David Lammy in attendance.

The Labour leader told his ministers they had "a huge amount of work to do, so now we get on with our work".

Starmer spent his first hours in Downing Street on Friday appointing his ministerial team, hours after securing his centre-left party's return to power with a whopping 174-seat majority in the UK parliament.

"The work of change begins immediately," Starmer said on Friday shortly after being confirmed as prime minister by King Charles III as flag-waving crowds of cheering Labour activists welcomed him to Downing Street.

“But have no doubt, we will rebuild Britain,” he added.

Reiterating his five key “missions” for government in his maiden speech, the 61-year-old vowed to put the state-run National Health Service “back on its feet”, ensure “secure borders” and provide safer streets.

But daunting challenges await his government, including a stagnating economy, creaking public services and households suffering from a years-long cost-of-living crisis.

“Changing a country is not like flicking a switch. The world is now a more volatile place. This will take a while,” Starmer said.

 

 ‘Historic’ result 

 

World leaders lined up to congratulate the new British leader. 

Starmer spoke by telephone with US President Joe Biden and “discussed their shared commitment to the special relationship between the UK and US and their aligned ambitions for greater economic growth”, according to London.

He also spoke to President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky.

However, former -- and potentially future -- US president Donald Trump ignored Starmer, instead hailing the electoral breakthrough of his ally Nigel Farage’s far-right Reform UK party.

Its capture of five seats and around 14 percent of the vote, alongside Farage becoming an MP on his eighth attempt, was one of the stories of the election.

But it paled in comparison to Labour’s triumphs, after the party neared its record of 418 seats under ex-leader Tony Blair in 1997 by winning 412.

The Conservatives suffered their worst-ever defeat, capturing just 121 constituencies, prompting Rishi Sunak to apologise to the nation and confirm that he will resign as Tory leader once a successor is selected.

Former leader William Hague, a Sunak mentor who represented the same northern English constituency until 2015, conceded it was “a catastrophic result in historic terms”.

A record 12 senior ex-government ministers lost their seats, alongside former prime minister Liz Truss, whose economically calamitous short-lived tenure in 2022 wounded the party irreparably ahead of the election.

It is now poised for another period of infighting between a moderate wing eager for a centrist leader and those who may be willing to court Farage as a new leader.

 

 ‘Challenges’ 

 

The election also saw the centrist Liberal Democrats make their biggest gains in around a century, claiming more than 70 seats to become the third largest party in parliament.

But it was a dismal contest for the pro-independence Scottish National Party, which was virtually obliterated in Scotland. It dropped from 48 seats to just nine, with one still to declare early on Saturday.

The Green Party had its best general election, quadrupling its MPs count to four.

Meanwhile, an unprecedented six independent lawmakers were elected -- four of them defeating Labour candidates in districts with large Muslim populations and campaigns centred around the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Delight within Labour at its seats landslide will be restrained by recognition that it only secured around 34 percent of the vote -- the lowest ever to secure a majority.

Meanwhile turnout, at just below 60 percent, was the lowest since 2001, suggesting widespread apathy.

“While this shouldn’t overshadow Labour’s victory today, it may point to some challenges Labour may face,” Chris Hopkins, political research director at the pollster Savanta, said of those factors.

“Simply put, they likely won’t be able to return 400-plus MPs [in the] next election with less than 40 per cent of the vote.”

France holds its breath ahead of uncertain vote

By - Jul 06,2024 - Last updated at Jul 06,2024

PARIS — France's tense election campaign was on hold Saturday on the eve of the final vote, but thoughts were turning to an uncertain future before polling even opens.

The traditional final day pause ahead of Sunday's second round run-off will do nothing to soothe fears of stalemate and stagnation in France, a world power and pillar of the EU.

Final opinion polls on Friday suggested that far-right leader Marine Le Pen's National Rally (RN) would fall short of winning an outright majority in the National Assembly.

But President Emmanuel Macron's gamble in calling snap elections to force a choice between his centrist path and the extremes of left and right has not paid off.

He now faces the final three years of his presidency with no clear ruling majority, and Prime Minister Gabriel Attal perhaps trying to hold together a caretaker government. 

According to pollsters Ipsos and Ifop, anti-immigrant, eurosceptic RN could secure 170 to 210 seats in the National Assembly — well short of 289, an absolute majority.

The Ipsos Talan poll for Le Monde, Radio France and France Televisions has the RN coming in just ahead of left-wing alliance the New Popular Front, on between 145 and 175 seats.

 

Outright win? 

 

Both the far-right and left-wing groups come in well ahead of an estimated 118 to 148 for Macron’s centrist allies, who held 250 seats in the outgoing parliament.

French voters could therefore go to bed on Sunday night with no idea who might be able to form and lead a government, or whether a weakened Attal will shoulder on.

Le Pen insists that she is still on course for victory and an absolute majority that would force Macron to appoint her 28-year-old lieutenant Jordan Bardella prime minister.

“Either the RN wins an absolute majority and I can, from Sunday, embark on my project to rebuild ... or the country is blocked,” Bardella warned on Thursday.

Attal, for his part, has vowed to stay on “as long as necessary” in a caretaker role, while Macron’s office is studying options to maintain some form of government.

Macron is to remain in office until presidential and legislative elections in April 2027, but he must now face the possibility of sharing power with political foes. 

The prospect of France forming its first far-right government since World War II has dismayed its European allies, already perplexed by Macron’s wild gamble on a snap poll.

And even if the RN falls short, as polling firms now predict, France will be heading into unknown political waters as Paris prepares to host the Olympic Games.

In an effort to halt the far-right rise seen in the first round of voting on June 30, centrists and left-wing parties have formed second round polling pacts.

Le Pen has denounced the move as a bid to steal victory “against the will of the people” by creating what she calls a “single party” to protect the political class.

But it is far from certain how many voters who saw their preferred candidates drop out to give another a clear run against the RN will bother to turn out on Sunday.

 

 Fears of violence 

 

Janine Mossuz-Lavau, emeritus director at the Cevipof institute, told AFP: “With the withdrawals, the person for whom voters were intending to vote has fallen by the wayside.

“Some are going to say to themselves: ‘No, in these conditions, it’s not possible’.”

With so much of the outcome uncertain, tensions are rising.

More than 50 candidates and campaign activists have been physically assaulted during the four-week campaign, the shortest in modern French history.

About 30,000 police will be deployed this weekend to head off trouble.

French stocks held steady Friday with investors expecting the far right to fail to win an absolute majority.

But analysts predict a turbulence if the RN tries to implement its costly economic programme, which includes reversing Macron’s hard-won pension reforms.

 

White House says zero chance Biden will withdraw

By - Jul 05,2024 - Last updated at Jul 05,2024

US President Joe Biden speaks during a Medal of Honor Ceremony in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on Wednesday (AFP photo)

WASHINGTON — Joe Biden is "absolutely not" pulling out of the US presidential race, his spokeswoman said on Wednesday, as pressure mounted following his disastrous debate performance against Donald Trump.

Panic has gripped his Democratic Party in the wake of last week's TV debate, and internal rumblings about finding a replacement candidate before November's election have been amplified by polls showing Trump extending his lead.

The New York Times and CNN reported that Biden, 81, had acknowledged to a key ally that his reelection bid was on the line if he failed to quickly reassure the public that he was still up to the job.

White House spokeswoman Karine Jean-Pierre rejected those reports outright, insisting Biden has no intention of withdrawing.

"The president is clear-eyed and he is staying in the race," she told reporters.

Biden told a call with campaign and party staffers that he is going nowhere.

"I'm in this race to the end and we're going to win because when Democrats unite, we will always win. Just as we beat Donald Trump in 2020, we're going to beat him again in 2024," he said, according to a source close to the campaign.

He repeated that message in an emergency meeting with Democratic governors, who pledged their continued support, attendees said afterward.

"As the president continued to tell us, and show us, that he was all in... we said that we would stand with him," Maryland Governor Wes Moore, seen as a rising star and potential future presidential candidate, told reporters alongside Minnesota's Tim Walz and Kathy Hochul of New York.

Walz said Biden was "fit to serve".

Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, who also attended the meeting at the White House and is seen as one of the top picks to replace Biden if he should drop out, said on social media platform X that "he is in it to win it and I support him".

Biden has admitted he performed poorly in the debate, and was blunt in a radio interview recorded on Wednesday with Wisconsin's Civic Media.

“I screwed up. I made a mistake. That’s 90 minutes on stage. Look at what I’ve done in 3.5 years,” he said.

He echoed that sentiment in an interview with Pennsylvania’s WURD radio on Thursday, saying “I had a bad debate.”

Aftermath

The Biden campaign has been desperate to reassure Democratic donors and voters that the president’s performance against Trump was a one-off.

But party figures have voiced bafflement over what they see as deflection and excuses from the president and his aides.

Netflix co-founder Reed Hastings, one of the Democratic Party’s biggest donors, told The New York Times that Biden should withdraw.

“Biden needs to step aside to allow a vigorous Democratic leader to beat Trump and keep us safe and prosperous,” he said in an email to the paper.

The concern was compounded by a New York Times poll conducted after the debate that showed Trump with his biggest lead ever over Biden — 49 per cent to 43 per cent of likely voters.

It wasn’t until Wednesday — six days after the debate — that Biden completed a round of calls with Democratic congressional leaders, and staffers have also voiced consternation over the glacial pace of the outreach.

“We are getting to the point where it may not have been the debate that did him in, but the aftermath of how they’ve handled it,” a senior Democratic operative told Washington political outlet Axios.

Biden may be tested on his ability to think on his feet when he sits with ABC News on Friday for his first television interview since the debate, and he will also hit the swing states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in the coming days.

‘More worrisome’

The president has cited fatigue as a new explanation for his poor debate showing, saying that he was unwise to travel “around the world a couple times” before the debate.

But he had been back in the United States for nearly two weeks and spent two days relaxing and six days preparing before the debate.

Democratic lawmakers have begun to go public with their doubts. Arizona congressman Raul Grijalva became the second sitting Democrat to call on Biden to drop out.

“If he’s the candidate, I’m going to support him, but I think that this is an opportunity to look elsewhere,” Grijalva said, according to the Times.

In the street where the president grew up in Scranton, Pennsylvania, there was sympathy for Biden — but no campaign signs for either candidate.

“I was embarrassed for him. I felt he didn’t feel well and he probably shouldn’t have gone on the stage,” said 73-year-old Jamie Hayes.

Putin, Xi vie for influence at Central Asian summit

By - Jul 04,2024 - Last updated at Jul 04,2024

In this pool photo distributed by the Russian state agency Sputnik, Russia's President Vladimir Putin meets with China's President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation member states leaders' summit in Astana on Wednesday (AFP photo)

ASTANA, Kazakhstan — The leaders of Russia and China on Wednesday hailed their efforts to harden their anti-Western alliance at a summit in Kazakhstan, seeking to press their influence in the strategic Central Asian region.

Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping were in Astana for a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) — a Beijing-led regional bloc that covers Central Asia, India and Iran and is designed as a counterweight to US influence in international affairs.

In televised opening remarks ahead of a bilateral meeting, Putin told Xi that Russia's ties with China were stronger than ever and touted the SCO as a powerful instrument to advance their foreign policy agendas.

"Russian-Chinese relations, our comprehensive partnership and strategic cooperation, are experiencing their best period in history," Putin said.

Moscow and Beijing have deepened their political, military and economic links since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022.

Both countries have railed against what they call US-led "hegemony" on the world stage and are trying to advance rival regional groups and alliances to push back against Western influence in regions they see as their backyards.

Putin said on Wednesday that the SCO was "strengthening its role as one of the key pillars of a fair multipolar world order", using language characteristic of how Moscow bashes the West.

Ahead of the gathering, China's foreign ministry said the summit would "make contributions to promoting security, stability and development of member countries", and advance "lasting peace and common prosperity in the world".

China's Xi said Moscow and Beijing needed to continue developing relations despite difficult global circumstances.

"In the face of the turbulent international situation and external environment, the two sides should continue to uphold the original aspiration of friendship for generations to come," Xi told Putin in brief opening remarks.

The five countries — Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan — are ex-Soviet republics and have historic cultural, linguistic and economic ties to Russia.

But China’s rising economic power and sprawling investment has challenged Russian influence.

Central Asia, key to China’s flagship Belt and Road infrastructure project, is rich in natural resources and crucial for the overland transport of goods between China and Europe.

Russia’s war on Ukraine has also been seen as creating an opening for other powers to swoop into regions that have been traditionally aligned with Moscow.

The ultra-closed Turkmenistan is not a member of the SCO, but the four other Central Asian states are, alongside India, Iran and Pakistan.

The nine-member bloc is complemented by 14 “dialogue partners”, such as Turkey and several Gulf states.

‘Fair peace’

Putin also met Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on the sidelines of the summit.

The NATO member, which is positioning itself as a possible mediator in the Ukraine war, is a key trade and finance centre for Moscow, which faces heavy Western sanctions.

Erdogan told Putin that Turkey “can lay the groundwork for a consensus to end the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, first with a ceasefire and then with peace”, according to a readout from the Turkish presidency.

“A fair peace that can satisfy both sides is possible,” it added.

Russia’s close ally Belarus is set to formally join the SCO on Thursday.

In an interview with Kazakh state media, Belarus’s President Alexander Lukashenko said the group was “demonstrating to the world that there are alternative international platforms, different centres of power”.

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres also planned to address the two-day summit on Thursday.

 

French PM urges united front to stop far-right takeover

By - Jul 04,2024 - Last updated at Jul 04,2024

France's President Emmanuel Macron reviews troops that will take part in the July 14th Bastille Day parade in Paris on Tuesday (AFP photo)

PARIS — France's prime minister on Wednesday urged voters to form a united front to block the far-right in legislative elections, warning the anti-immigration party of Marine Le Pen was the only faction capable of winning an absolute majority.

With four days to go until the second round in the polls, France's political future remains up in the air as the far-right National Rally (RN) Party seeks to take control of government for the first time.

The RN dominated the first round of polls, presenting the Party of Le Pen with the prospect of forming a government and her protege Jordan Bardella, 28, taking the post of premier in a tense "cohabitation" with President Emmanuel Macron.

But more than 200 candidates from the left and the centre this week dropped out of three-way races in the second round of the contest, aiming to prevent the RN winning the seat.

While the formation of this so-called "Republican Front" seems to have generally been a success for the government, the key question now is whether voters themselves will respond to the pleas to block the RN.

"There is one bloc that is able to have an absolute majority [in the national assembly] and it's the extreme right," Attal told France Inter radio.

"On Sunday evening, what's at stake in the second round is to do everything so that the extreme right does not have an absolute majority," he said.

"It's not nice for many French to have to block [the RN]... by casting a vote they did not want to," he added.

But "it's our responsibility to do this".

'Fighting for this'

In one extreme example of how the united front works, in one constituency in northern France the hard-left candidate pulled out to leave a straight contest between the far right and tough-talking Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin — long a hate figure for some on the left.

Former prime minister Edouard Philippe, still an influential voice in the pro-Macron camp, told TF1 television he would be voting for a Communist candidate to stop the far right in his constituency.

An absolute majority of 289 seats is needed in the 577-seat national assembly for a party to form a government on its own.

But Le Pen has said that the RN will try, if it gets any more than 270 seats, by then winning over other lawmakers.

"At the end of this second round, either power will be in the hands of a far-right government, or power will be in parliament. I am fighting for this second scenario," said Attal.

One option that is the subject of increasing media attention is the possibility that rather than a far-right government, France could be ruled by a broad coalition of pro-Macron centrists, the traditional right, Socialists and Greens.

But Attal was non-committal: “I did not speak about a coalition. I do not want to impose on the French a coalition that they did not choose.”

‘Grotesque image’

Philippe said that after the election he would support a new parliamentary majority that could span “the conservative right to the social democrats” but not include the hard-left France Unbowed (LFI).

His comments were also echoed by Xavier Bertrand, a heavyweight rightwinger who served as a minister under president Nicolas Sarkozy. He called for a “provisional government” focused on “rebuilding our country”.

“The only thing that is possible is to understand that there are alternatives other than a majority with an RN government or a backroom coalition,” he told TF1.

Le Pen meanwhile angrily denounced the tactical moves and alliances.

“The political class is giving an increasingly grotesque image of itself,” she wrote on X.

Macron has kept his distance from the final phase of voting, which will reveal the outcome of his election gamble that baffled even close colleagues.

He has not spoken in public since an EU summit on Thursday.

Speaking to a cabinet meeting, he said there was “no question” that a post-election coalition could include the LFI, a participant told AFP.

Moscow hit by heat not seen in over century

By - Jul 03,2024 - Last updated at Jul 03,2024

MOSCOW — Moscow and the surrounding region sweltered Wednesday as temperatures soared to levels unseen in over a century, with the state weather monitor warning of dangerously hot nights. 

Temperatures in the Russian capital hit 32.5ºC on Wednesday, beating a record established in 1917, the director of Rosgidromet weather service, Roman Vilfand, said. 

Vilfand told RIA Novosti news agency that in the next few nights, the temperature will not fall below 24.5 degrees, saying these “Egyptian nights” were dangerous because they did not allow people to recover from high daytime temperatures.

He said he expected the temperature to go down by 10 degrees in the following days, with storms and strong winds, before the heat returns next week. 

Muscovites tried to cool down in public fountains and parks. 

“It’s very hard,” 70-year-old Monira Galimova, who looked tired, told AFP as she sat at a bus stop. 

“We do not sleep at night... It’s very difficult, especially for our age group.” 

Olga Kryshina, a 34-year-old working in property refurbishments, sat to cool down by a fountain near the Bolshoi Theatre. 

Unlike many Muscovites who have escaped to their traditional summer “dacha” country houses, Kryshina said she had to stay in the city for work and was only “dreaming of travelling” outside of urban areas. 

Abnormal temperatures “more than 7 degrees above the climatic norm” are expected until the end of the week, Rosgidromet said on its website. 

The heatwave has hit the Moscow region as well as the southern and western Kursk, Belgorod and Voronezh regions.

‘Tone deaf’: Are Kenya’s protests, and its president, at a crossroads?

By - Jul 03,2024 - Last updated at Jul 03,2024

Protesters run from a charge of the Kenya anti-riot police during an anti-government demonstration called following nationwide deadly protests over tax hikes and a controversial now-withdrawn tax bill in downtown Nairobi, on Tuesday (AFP photo)

NAIROBI — Kenya has seen peaceful marches mostly led by Gen-Z youth against now-scrapped tax hikes descend into violence, with dozens killed in clashes with police as protesters accuse “goons” of hijacking demonstrations.

What does this mean for the movement, and what next for President William Ruto?

 

What happened? 

 

Protests broke out two weeks ago, sparked by proposed tax hikes included in the annual finance bill, and took Ruto’s government by surprise. 

Initially peaceful and organised on social media, the protests spiralled into violence in the capital Nairobi and elsewhere, with demonstrators ransacking the partly ablaze parliament complex and police firing live rounds at crowds last week.

At least 39 people have died, according to rights groups.

A planned march on Tuesday again descended into violence, with the police later announcing the arrests of nearly 300 people for “engaging in criminal activities in the guise of protesting”.

 

How has the president reacted?

 

Following last week’s unprecedented scenes showing parliament in chaos and partially on fire, Ruto pulled the finance bill and called for dialogue with the protesters.

But he also likened some of the demonstrators to “criminals”, while praising the police for having “done the best they could”, further inflaming the situation, analysts said.

“There is a general feeling that Ruto is tone deaf to both public concern and the magnitude of this crisis,” Declan Galvin, managing director of Exigent Risk Advisory, told AFP.

“Without a change in course in the coming days, Ruto’s spectacular rise and political career could be derailed.”

 

Are the protests still going?

 

It’s complicated. 

Many prominent demonstrators are sharing posters for fresh peaceful rallies and calling for Ruto to resign. 

But the situation on the ground is another story.

On Tuesday, what were billed as peaceful marches degenerated into running battles between stone-throwing young men and tear gas-firing cops. There were also multiple instances of looting in Nairobi and the port city of Mombasa. 

As images of the chaos hit Kenyan TV channels, one prominent protester said the rallies had been infiltrated by “goons”.

Another rally is planned for Thursday but some demonstrators told AFP on Wednesday that they were confused about what was happening and were not sure if they would hit the streets again — with one suggesting the movement might migrate entirely online.

 

Surely this is good news for Ruto?

 

Not really. 

The protests have tapped into long-running issues that Kenya is grappling with, say analysts.

Chiefly sparked by a cost-of-living crisis and corruption, public anger then shifted to the heavy-handed police response. 

And late Tuesday, when news broke of MPs poised to receive an annual salary hike, it added yet another dimension to the movement.

“The protest movement across Kenya is evolving from social and economic grievances associated with the Finance Bill into something more anti-government,” Galvin noted.

 

What can Ruto do? 

 

Galvin said the Kenyan leader could de-escalate the situation by organising a Cabinet reshuffle, while announcing tax cuts in line with demonstrators’ demands.

But Gabrielle Lynch, professor of comparative politics at the University of Warwick, said Ruto — a political outsider with a profound sense of faith — has a history of succeeding despite adversity.

“There’s a sense that God has willed it, and he should be there,” she told AFP. 

“It doesn’t look like he’ll change how he’s behaving... he seems to think that he’ll weather the storm, and he’ll see this decline in the protests as evidence of that.”

 

What happens next?

 

People are waiting to see what happens on Thursday.

Even if fewer people show up, Lynch said the strength of the movement should not be underestimated.

“I think it is a signal of deep-seated issues that are going to come back and again and again,” she said, suggesting it was also building on last year’s opposition protests against the previous finance bill.

Ex-senator among 5 killed in Pakistan attack

By - Jul 03,2024 - Last updated at Jul 03,2024

People carry the coffin of former senator Hidayatullah Khan to an ambulance after he was killed in a bomb explosion at Bajaur district of Pakistan’s Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province on Wednesday (AFP photo)

PAKISTAN — A former Pakistan senator running in a by-election was killed on Wednesday along with four others in a targeted attack on their car near the border with Afghanistan.

“It appears that a remote-controlled bomb targeted the car carrying the former senator,” a district police spokesman told AFP, who asked not to be named because he was not authorised to speak to the media. 

“An investigation is currently underway to ascertain the type of explosives used and who was behind it. But miscreants have stepped up their activities in the region lately.” 

Former senator Hidayatullah Khan, his two companions and two police guards were killed in Bajaur district, just 45 kilometres from the Afghan border, in an area where militancy has been rising since the Taliban took control of Kabul in 2021.

The deadly blast took place ahead of by-elections due on July 11 in which he was running as an independent candidate.

In January, a candidate supporting jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan was shot dead in the same district ahead of the general elections, in an attack claimed by the local chapter of the Islamic State group.

Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) — a separate group from the Afghan Taliban but with a similar ideology — and groups linked to it are the most active in the region, largely targeting security officials. 

No group has claimed responsibility for Wednesday’s attack, which the TTP denied involvement in.

Last month, the government announced the launch of a new counterterrorism operation to support armed forces in their fight against militancy.

Mauritania, stable outlier in turbulent region, reelects president

By - Jul 03,2024 - Last updated at Jul 03,2024

NOUAKCHOTT — Mauritania's incumbent President Mohammad Ould Cheikh El Ghazouani has comfortably won reelection at the helm of the vast desert nation, seen as a rock of relative stability in Africa's volatile Sahel region, officials said on Monday.

The former army chief won just over 56 per cent of the vote, the Independent National Electoral Commission (CENI) said on Monday, giving him a second five-year term during which Mauritania is set to become a gas producer.

Dozens of supporters massed outside Ghazouani's campaign headquarters in the capital Nouakchott after the final provisional results of Saturday's election were announced.

"I don't know how to express my joy. Our president is a great president. We are very happy," said 56-year-old Bekouma Mohamed.

"I promise to be president of all Mauritanians with no exceptions or discrimination, and to pursue the policy of outreach and concertation, dialogue and partnership with all political actors, including all opponents in the 2024 presidential vote," Ghazouani said in a video statement sent to AFP.

The results must now be sent to the Constitutional Council within 48 hours for confirmation.

Ghazouani, who was the overwhelming favourite to win, would have faced a second round had he not secured more than half the votes.

As it was, he placed well ahead of his main rival, anti-slavery activist Biram Dah Abeid, who won just over 22 per cent.

Abeid, who previously said he would not accept the CENI's results, on Monday denounced "massive fraud" and said he was waiting for his own teams to provide results before launching possible street demonstrations.

"Any protest you make must be peaceful," he told his supporters, according to his campaign's social media account.

Some of Abeid's supporters burnt tyres and disrupted traffic in Nouakchott late Sunday, with a spokesman saying his campaign manager was arrested.

The police presence in the capital increased significantly later in the evening.

A 2019 election brought Ghazouani to power, marking the first transition between two elected presidents since independence from France in 1960 and a series of coups from 1978 to 2008.

While the Sahel has in recent years seen a string of military coups and escalating jihadism — particularly in neighbouring Mali — Mauritania has not experienced an attack since 2011.

Ghazouani, 67, is widely regarded as the mastermind behind the West African state’s relative security.

‘Did everything we could’

Saturday’s vote had an overall turnout of 55.39 per cent, lower than in 2019.

The results had trickled in since Saturday evening and were published continuously by CENI on an official online platform as a transparency measure, giving an indication of the final outcome.

“We did everything we could to prepare the conditions for a good election and we were relatively successful,” electoral commission president Dah Ould Abdel Jelil said Monday as he announced the results.

Ghazouani’s other main rival, Hamadi Ould Sid’ El Moctar, who heads the Islamist Tewassoul party, came third with 12.8 percent, according to CENI.

Ghazouani has made helping youth a priority in a country of 4.9 million people where almost three-quarters are aged under 35.

After a first term hit by the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, the incumbent has said he hopes to make more reforms thanks to a favourable economic outlook.

Growth should average 4.9 per cent (3.1 per cent per capita) for the period 2024-2026, according to the World Bank, spurred by the launch of gas production in the second half of this year.

Inflation has fallen from a peak of 9.5 per cent in 2022 to five per cent in 2023, and should continue to slow to 2.5 per cent in 2024.

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