Can UBI survive financialisation?

RIO DE JANEIRO — Universal basic income (UBI) is hardly a new concept, but it has taken on a new life in recent years. Voices on both the left and the right now argue that a UBI could be the key to addressing major social and structural problems, including technological unemployment and underemployment, extreme poverty, welfare traps and hidden disincentives to work. By freeing people from the shackles of low-quality jobs and endless bureaucracy, the logic goes, UBI would enable them to reach their full potential.

It is certainly an appealing argument, especially at a time of protracted wage stagnation, persistent poverty, rising inequality and low economic growth. But, so far, the only versions of UBI that have been tested, in places like Canada,Finland, Kenya and The Netherlands, are essentially just new modalities of unemployment and welfare benefits. These experiments contradict the fundamental logic of UBI.

To be sure, incremental approaches to UBI can drive forward welfare reform. In particular, by reducing or eliminating the need for means-testing and other forms of conditionality, these so-called UBI-based schemes can alleviate bureaucratic burdens and the associated administrative costs, while delivering a new income stream to the poor.

The controls and conditionalities that have characterised the means-tested programmes that have proliferated since the 1990s, especially in the Global South, are proving ineffective. Making income transfers truly “duty free”, as the Belgian philosopher and UBI proponent Philippe Van Parijs has stressed, would be a major victory. However, this may come about less in the name of justice and equity, and more because it serves a new regime of accumulation that can guarantee that everyone has a regular no-strings-attached monetary income. In turn, all citizens will be granted permanent access to financial markets, the advance of which has taken on staggering dimensions.

In 1990, global financial assets amounted to 50 per cent of global GDP, or some $150 trillion; in 2015, that figure exceeded 400 per cent of global GDP, or $500 trillion.

Under financialised capitalism, regular income streams facilitate market incorporation and financial inclusion. They serve as collateral in a world where debt, acquired through various kinds of loans and consumer credit lines, is increasingly used to pay not just for durable goods, but also for services like healthcare and education, which previously constituted the bulk of public provision.

Financial innovations based on income-backed loans to individuals are one pillar of a securitisation dynamic that enables the continuous renegotiation of debt, and thus the continuous expansion and consolidation of new financial instruments. The transformation of social policy into collateral reflects the logic of financialised capitalism, which converts cash transfers, pensions and other monetary schemes, that is, sources of regular income streams, into assets placed at the disposal of the financial sector.

When social policy is used primarily to service debt and secure new loans, it stops serving as a mechanism for decommodification, as it was originally conceived. Instead, it becomes both a vector for increasing household income and a source of financial profits for the banking system and the insurance industry.

Following this pattern, by providing a stable income stream and thus a reliable form of collateral, paid by the state, UBI would strengthen and even create financial markets, particularly for consumer credit, mortgages and pensions. Far from serving as a revolutionary route to freedom from the whip of the market, UBI may end up yoking all citizens to rentier capital through indebtedness.

It does not have to be this way. Certain conditions must be met to prevent UBI from being subordinated to the finance-dominated mindset.

That would mean, first and foremost, that UBI must be established not as a complement to welfare measures, but as a means of fully decommodifying access to basic needs, including food, clothing and transportation. Current experiments offer too little cash. Providing enough is the only way to diminish the chance that UBI will serve primarily and predominantly as collateral.

Second, governments would need to guarantee vital public services, such as free universal healthcare, education and training. Strong housing policies, including aggressive rent regulation, increased property taxation and an expanded supply of affordable housing, would also be needed, not least to ensure that the rise in real incomes does not fuel real-estate speculation.

Finally, financial-sector regulation would have to be strengthened considerably. High taxes on financial rents should also be introduced, in order to revitalise the real economy.

No doubt, this is a huge, and hugely complex, endeavour. But it must be undertaken if the ideal of a basic income is to remain intact and grounded in sound principles and decent values.

Lena Lavinas, professor of Welfare Economics at the Institute of Economics at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, is the author of ‘The Takeover of Social Policy by Financialisation: The Brazilian Paradox.’ Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2019.
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